1. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Henry Phillips (FORECAST Project) Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry Oak Park, Carlow 11 th February 2011

2. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Outline Potential Wood Supply Factors which influence supply + assumptions Estimate of Potential Wood Energy Availability Factors which influence availability + assumptions Estimated Demand for Wood Energy Factors driving demand Supply – Demand Balance

3. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Supply – All Ireland

4. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume)

5. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Supply (Net Realisable Volume)

6. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Supply Factors Which Influence Supply 1.Price 2.Availability of support for road construction 3.Harvesting infrastructure 4.Owners’ intentions 5.Regulatory framework

7. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Energy Availability How to Define Wood Energy Assortment 1.Size category 1.Tip – 7cm 2.7-13cm 3.14-19cm 4.20+ cm 2.Species 3.PCRW 4.Processing Residues (Co-products) 5.Harvesting lop and top Traditional Markets Energy Markets Wood Volumes

8. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Energy Availability (ROI)

9. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Potential Wood Energy Availability Factors Driving Demand 1.Global Energy Prices 2.EU Renewables Energy Directive 3.Government Response and Schemes 1.ReHeat programme 2.Renewable Energy Feed-In Tariff (REFIT) 4.Societal Values

10. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Supply – Demand Balance – Republic Only

11. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Supply – Demand Balance (All Ireland)

12. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Concluding Remarks 1)There is an increasing imbalance between supply and demand for Wood Energy 2)It will be extremely challenging to leverage supplies from the private sector 3)Coillte will remain the dominant supplier and user of small sized roundwood 4)Possible to 1)Import, 2)Increase SRC and 3)Create more enabling environment 5)No obvious solution – combination of initiatives but needs to be planned

13. Overview of Wood Energy Supply and Demand Dynamics Round Table Forum on Short Rotation Forestry Thank You