1. Optimization for Sustainable Water Resources Management (OPTIMA) Presentation of Jordan Case Study Zarqa River Basin to the Third Management Board Meeting May 18-19, 2006 Gumpoldskirchen, Austria

2. Project Team NameSpecialtyGender Muhammad ShatanawiWater ResourcesMale Jawad al-BakriGIS and Land useMale Maisa’a ShammoutNatural ResourcesFemale Sawsan NaberIrrigated AgricultureFemale Nedal al-AfayfahGIS in Land and WaterMale

3. Contribution to WP 01 Requirements and Constraints FEEM Level of Efforts by UJO2 m/m Activities: Stakeholders were identified Gender information were obtained Source of information were identified Data availability against requirements were defined Data constrains were identified Status: D01 (D1.1 and D1.2) were submitted by FEEM

4. Contribution to WP 02 Socio-Economic frame work; objectives, criteria and indicators IRMCO Level of Efforts by UJO1 m/m Activities: Hydrological Map, Main Cities and Towns, Land Use of 2002, The location of the Basin in Jordan and some photos were sent to IRMCO for the Poster. Challenges, water issues, gender issues and other related information were also sent Status: D02 were submitted by IRMCO

7. Contribution to WP 03 Analytical tools: simulation and optimization models ESS Level of Efforts by UJO1 m/m Activities: Hydrological data were collected and used to validate the WRM. Many problems were solved with the model using problem reporting. Wastewater treatment node needs to be treated not like geometry node. Status: D03 were submitted by ESS

8. Contribution to WP 04 Techno-economic data compilation and analysis INTERGEO Level of Efforts by UJO1m/m Activities: The link to this WP has been opened Needs time to understand and enter required data. Many items were found missing; need updating regarding technologies used in UJO CS. Status: D04 (D4.1 and D4.2) are due in July 2006

9. Contribution to WP 05 Land use change: remote sensing and GIS data NCRS Level of Efforts by UJO1 m/m Activities:  GIS data for the followings were sent to NCRS: DEM, TIN, LU2002, area location, contours, wells, surface water bodies, administration boundaries, cities, towns and villages, main roads, streams, soils, rainfall and metrological stations, runoff gages, wastewater treatment plants. Status: D05 (D5.1) is due in July 2006

11. Contribution to WP 06 System integration and implementation ESS Level of Efforts by UJO1 m/m Activities: Able to use the WRM from web server at ESS. Use the forum, problem reporting, access to deliverable and other tools. Status: D06 (D6.1) is due in July 2006

12. Contribution to WP 10 Jordan Case study: Zarqa River Basin UJO Level of Efforts by UJO30 m/m Activities: The basin was divided into 6 sub-basin considering topography, rainfall variation and urbanization. Water supply for each sub-basin was obtained or determined in quantity, time series and location Water Demand for each sub-basin was obtained or determined in time series and in quantity for each sector.

13. Contribution to WP 10 Jordan Case study: Zarqa River Basin UJO Activities: Data on supply and demand for each node were entered and stored as time series. WRM is now operational for the base-line scenario. Land use/ cover change were assessed from 1992 till 2002 using Markov chain model. Results of the base line scenario are obtained. Status D10.1: Jordan problem analysis due July 2006 D10.2: Optimization results due May 2007.

25. Contribution to WP 10 Case study: Zarqa River, Jordan Milestone: M3 PM18:The case study have been implemented WRM is operational for the baseline scenario The results of the baseline scenario have been discussed with the stakeholders M4 PM24:Analysis of optimization scenario will start after the 3 rd board meeting Performance: The baseline scenario has been defined based on compiling all data and operating all tools.

26. Contribution to WP 10 Case study: Zarqa River, Jordan Impact Indicator: The stakeholders expressed their satisfaction on the approach and results of the baseline scenario. However, some constructive remarks have been raised and will be considered in the process of updating the scenario. The stakeholder have suggested some guidelines to build the future scenarios to be incorporated in the optimization strategy.

27. Land Use Changes

28. Land use/cover Visual interpretation of Landsat TM (1992,1998 and 2002) following CORINE scheme GIS- analysis  Area of each LU/C  Transition matrices (probability of change) Prediction of future Land use in the basin:  Using Markov chain  Based on the rate of change in the period 1992- 2002.

29. DefinitionClass Areas occupied by dwellings and buildings used by administrative/public utilities, including their connected areas (associated lands, approach road network, parking lots) (111,1) Continuous Urban Fabrics Artificial areas Areas occupied by dwellings and buildings, most of the land are covered by structures which occupy discontinuous but significant surfaces. Buildings, roads and artificially surfaced areas associated with vegetated areas and bare soil are also included in this class. (112,2) Discontinuous Urban Fabrics Areas with an open-pit extraction of construction material (sandpits, quarries). Spaces under construction development. (131,3) Mineral Extraction and Construction Sites Rainfed wheat in the high rainfall areas and barley in the low rainfall areas. (211,4) Non-irrigated arable lands Arable lands Agricultura l areas Crops irrigated permanently or periodically, most of the crops that cannot be cultivated without an artificial water supply. (212,5) Permanently Irrigated lands Areas of annual crops associated with permanent crops on the same parcel, annual crops and orchards. This class also included agro forestry areas in Jarash. (240,6) Heterogeneous agricultural areas Areas of forests and woodlands used mainly for recreation. (310,7) Forests Forests and semi- natural areas Scree, cliffs, rock outcrops, exposed rocks and limestone. (332,8) Bare rock Open spaces with little or no vegetation Heavily grazed open shrub and herbaceous rangeland. (333,9) Sparsely vegetated areas King Talal Dam and Khirbat Assamra wastewater treatment plant. Natural or artificial stretches of water including Qa’a (mud field) and small earth dams were water is harvested. (512,10). Water bodies Land use/cover classification scheme

30. Accuracy of mapping Accuracy Confusion class Mis- interpretation Accurate interpretation # of samplesClass 93.3%class 211415 Continuous urban fabrics 100.0% -010 Discontinuous urban fabrics 100.0% -044 Mineral extraction sites 85.7%class 9167 Non-irrigated arable lands 84.9%class 4,6,6,8 and 952833 Permanently irrigated lands 100.0% -044 Heterogeneous agricultural areas 100.0% -055 Forest 75.0%class 5,9 and 93912 Bare rocks 83.3%class 8156 Sparsely vegetated area 100.0% -044 Water bodies

31. Land use map of 2002

32. %Class 6.1Continuous urban fabrics 2.1Discontinuous urban fabrics 1.6Mineral extraction sites 11.6Non-irrigated arable lands 10.5Permanently irrigated lands 1.6Heterogeneous agricultural areas 2.0Forest 35.1Bare rocks 29.1Sparsely vegetated area 0.2Water bodies 4120.0Total area 9.9urban 10.5Irrigated 13.2Agricultural 2.0Forest 64.1open spaces 0.2water Land use of 2002

34. 1992 512333332310240212211131112111Code 0.070.020.030.00 0.050.020.210.191.00111 0.010.020.010.00 0.02 0.040.760.00112 0.01 0.030.00 0.010.360.00 131 0.050.090.100.010.030.110.390.040.010.00211 0.110.060.030.010.000.590.060.030.010.00212 2002 0.000.02 0.030.830.000.01 0.00 240 0.020.01 0.760.020.000.010.00 310 0.170.120.690.110.090.050.250.200.010.00332 0.120.650.080.070.030.170.240.090.020.00333 0.430.00 0.010.00 512 Probability matrix between different classes, period 1992-2002 (10 years period).

35. Predicted in 2022 Predicted in 2012 LU in 2002 11.18.66.1Continuous urban fabrics 4.83.62.1Discontinuous urban fabrics 2.12.01.6Mineral extraction sites 11.211.6 Non-irrigated arable lands 9.910.310.5Permanently irrigated lands 3.22.51.6 Heterogeneous agricultural areas 2.72.42.0Forest 29.631.935.1Bare rocks 25.226.829.1Sparsely vegetated area 0.2 Water bodies Predicted land use

36. 202220122002 18.014.29.9urban 14.414.213.2Agricultural (rainfed and mixed agr. areas) 9.910.310.5Irrigated 54.958.764.1Open spaces (non-cultivated) 2.72.42.0Forest 0.2 Water bodies Summary of predicted land use

37. Non irrigated arable land (211,4) Permanently irrigated land (212,5)

38. Forest; al-Alouk forest (310,7) Bare rock, open spaces (333,9)

39. Water harvesting In Qa’a Khana Khirbat es-Samra wastewater treatment plant Water bodies (512,10)

40. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2006 (Deliverable No 10.1) 1.Description of the case study 2.Water management issues 3.Stakeholder participation 4.Institutional arrangement 5.Water allocation among sector

41. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2005 (Deliverable No 10.1) 6.Building baseline scenario  identify and defining basin objects  Collecting input data for supply node  Verifying time series data  Incorporating inter basin transfer  Exporting data into the main server  Building the topology features of the WRM  Comparison of calculated results of the mass balance with that observed at control stations (nodes).

42. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2005 (Deliverable No 10.1) 7.Baseline evaluation and analysis:  direct and indirect cost  Cost benefit ratio  Constraints and instrument  Stakeholder view of the baseline scenario  Modification needed to baseline scenario

43. Structure of the Problem Analysis Report Due in July, 2006 (Deliverable No 10.1) 8.Land use changes:  Land uses by sector  Evaluation of changes from 1992-2002  Prediction of changes for the next 15 years  Recommendation on land use 9.Next step  Future scenario  Optimization strategy  Water technologies

44. Contribution to WP 14 Evaluation post-optimal analysis COR Level of Efforts by UJO1 m/m Activities: XNot yet Status: D14.1: Decision analysis report due May 2007 D14.2: Stakeholder involvement report due May 2007

45. Contribution to WP 15 Comparative analysis: generic lessons and best practice ELARD Level of Efforts by UJO3 m/m Activities: XNot yet  Status: D15.1: Case study comparative analysis due May 2007 D15.2: Best practices report due May 2007

46. Contribution to WP 16 Dissemination, networking and exploitation IRMCO Level of Efforts by UJO2 m/m Activities: Data on stakeholder were sent Maps and pictures were sent for poster production A paper on “Water Management in Zarqa Basin” was presented in WATMED2 in Marrakech, Morocco, Nov., 2005. The project has been announced under UNESCO chair web page within the University site. The Project has been introduced to the stakeholder in the workshop on May 16, 2006.

47. Contribution to WP 16 Dissemination, networking and exploitation IRMCO Status: D16.1: project website due June 2007 D16.2: Guidelines for local participation due June 2007 D16.3 Regional dissemination workshop due June 2007 D16.4 Dissemination report due June 2007

48. Stakeholders Workshop

49. AGENDA 09:00 – 09:15Registration and Interaction 09:15 – 09:30Welcome Session, workshop agenda 09:30 – 10:20Oral Presentations -OPTIMA project and the Zarqa Basin case study, Shatanawi -Land use change model, al Bakri -The participative approach, corridoio.zero -Introduction to the Baseline Scenario, Shatanawi and Shammout 10:20 – 10:40Coffee break 10:40 – 11:50Working Session I (Plenary) -Sharing and understanding the baseline scenario -Planned actions and expected changes 11:50 – 12:10Coffee break 12:10 – 13:20Working session II (Parallel Groups) -Problems and issues -From problems to objectives -Actions and instruments 13:20 – 14:30Working Session III (Plenary) -Introduction of the results -Sharing objectives and priorities 14:30 – 15:30Lunch

50. Thank you