2. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com

3. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com

4. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com “Avoiding a Global Workforce Meltdown” Agenda Part I: 2010 Issues Part II. 2010 Solutions

5. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Part I: 2010 Issues Demographics Technology “The Unflat World” ― Education Critical Mass Help Wanted: Worldwide

6. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com World Demographics

7. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Ratio of population 65+ to that ages 20-64

8. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Median Age in Selected Countries (2000, 2025,and 2050) 2000 2025 2050 United States 35.5 39.3 40.7 France 37.6 43.3 45.2 Germany 40.1 48.5 50.9 Japan 41.2 50.0 53.1 China 30.0 39.0 43.8 India 23.7 31.3 38.0 Source: United Nations, 2001

9. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Canada 50%+ Increase in Workers Aged 55-64 Over the Next 10 Years Source: Forum of Labour Market Members (FLMM)

10. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Canada 48% Labour Market Population Aged 45-64 Over the Next 10 Years Source: Forum of Labour Market Members (FLMM)

11. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com U.S. Workforce between 2010 & 2020 70 Million retire from the workforce 40 Million enter the workforce Source: U.S. Department of Labor, 2005.

12. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Growth of U.S. Population Age 65+

13. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Change in U.S. Population 2000-2020 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

14. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Annual Growth Rates of U.S. Labor Force 1950-2030

15. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Jobs & the Economy A Century of Transition “Old” AmericaTransitional“New” America (20th Century) Events(21st Century) Mass Production1970sHigh Tech = Low-Skill/PCs IntroducedHigh-Skill/High-Wage High-Wage JobsJobs

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17. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com What Does It Mean To Be A “Skilled Person”?

18. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Late 1800s Able to write your name 1930sThree of more years of schooling (Civilian Conservation Corps) WWIIFourth-grade education (Army) 1947Five or more years of school (Census Bureau)

19. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 1952Six or more years of school (Census Bureau) 1960Eighth-grade education (U.S. Office of Education) 21st CenturyHigh school education plus (U.S. Office of Education & the Conference Board)

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25. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Education Critical Mass The Unflat World

26. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Unflat World 2003 PISA Rankings of Selected Nations CountryMathReadingScience Finland 111 South Korea 223 Japan 4122 Canada 538 Germany 161815 Poland 211316 United States 241519

27. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 55% of Canadian 15 Year-Old Students Read Below Grade Level

28. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 66% of U.S. Students Grades 1-12 Read Below Grade Level

29. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Adult Literacy & Life Skills Survey 2003 Conducted by the OECD & Statistics Canada First report: Learning A Living (2005)

30. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Unflat World Numeracy (% of adults at each level) CountryLevel 1Level 2Level 3Levels 4/5 Bermuda 21.432.729.916.0 Canada 19.530.333.416.9 Italy 43.536.716.83.0 Norway 10.629.641.518.6 Switzerland 8.630.737.822.9 U.S. 26.831.828.812.7

31. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Unflat World Prose Literacy (% of adults at each level) CountryLevel 1Level 2Level 3Levels 4/5 Bermuda 12.525.635.626.3 Canada 14.627.338.619.5 Italy 47.032.517.03.5 Norway 7.926.245.320.6 Switzerland 15.936.335.712.1 U.S. 20.033.634.612.8

32. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Education Critical Mass India Canada Population1.1B (Est.) 32M Literate Adult61.0% 97.7% Youth76.4% 99.6% Women Illiterate 51% 2.8% Source: UNESCO, 2002-04

33. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Education Critical Mass IndiaCanada Primary School Enroll. 1 89% 95% Second. School Enroll. 1 51% 91% College Enroll. 1 12% 70% GDP Spend on all Educ. 2 4.2% 3 7.3% 1 UNESCO 2002-03 2 OECD, 2004 3 Majority Spent on Higher Education.

34. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Education Critical Mass China Canada Population1.4B 32M Literate Adult90.9% 97.7% Youth98.9% 99.6% Source: UNESCO, 2002-03

35. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Education Critical Mass China Canada Primary School Enroll. 1 94% 95% Second. School Enroll. 1 69% 91% College Enroll. 1 19% 70% GDP Spend on all Educ. 2 2% 7.3% 1 UNESCO 2002-03 2 OECD, 2004

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37. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Help Wanted Worldwide

38. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com “Smart People” Deficit 2020 Worldwide Estimate ― 32-39 million jobs Country Breakdowns : U.S. – 17 million Japan – 9 million Russia – 6 million France – 3 million Germany – 3 million Britain – 2 million Source: All India Management Association, 2003.

39. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 12+ Million Canadian Workers Lack Reading Writing Math Skills to do their jobs properly

40. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Canada 44% Canadians Aged 56-65 Unable to Meet Labor Market Education Levels Source: Forum of Labour Market Members (FLMM)

41. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Canada 60% New Jobs Require A Post-Secondary Education Component Source: Forum of Labour Market Members (FLMM)

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43. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Percent of Adults Ages 16-65 at Levels 1 and 2 (IALSS, 2003)

44. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Percent of Population 16 & Over at Prose Literacy Levels 1 & 2 19942003 CANADA48% Ontario47%48% Quebec54%55% Alberta36%40% British Columbia43%40%

45. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com U.S. Jobs Shifts 2000-2020 (In Millions) Job Categories 2000 2010 2020 Professionals/Executives 44 52 60 Sales, Technical 42 50 60 Tech Support/ Skilled Craft 22 29 43 Low End Service 20 25 27 Other Low Skill Jobs 24 21 17 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2005

46. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Predicted 2010 Labor Shortages 1,000,000 Nurses 50,000 Clinical Pathologists 10,000 Dentists 7,000 Air Traffic Controllers 50,000 Auto Mechanics 1,000,000 Math, Science & Special Ed Teachers 1,000,000 Computer Engineers & Support Personnel

47. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com +14% Increase in Literacy Skills Needed for All U.S. Occupations (1996-2006) Source: Barton, 2000

48. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 25 Fastest Growing U.S. Occupations Demand High Literacy Source: Barton, 2000

49. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 25 Fastest Declining Occupations in the U.S. Have Low Literacy Requirements Source: Barton, 2000

50. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Halton Region Top Growth Enterprises 1.Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 2.*Construction 3.Management of Enterprises 4.Real Estate & Rental & Leasing 5.Administrative & Support 6.*Transportation & Warehousing 7.Manufacturing 8.Finance & Insurance Source: Statistics Canada

51. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Canadian Workforce 1.Smart People (25%) 2. The Walking Dead (25%) 3.Techno-Peasants (50%)

52. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The “Walking Dead”

53. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Techno-Peasants Matching high-tech jobs with ill-prepared workers “In 2020, there will be two distinctly disparate social segments: college- educated information pushers... and manual laborers with corresponding demarcations in race and status.”

54. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com “Smart People”

55. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Labour Force by Education Halton Region & Ontario 2001 HaltonOntario Less than High School Certificate 15.7%19.7% High School Certificate only 13.3%15.0% Some Post Secondary 12.8%12.5% Total41.8%47.2% Source: Statistics Canada

56. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com U.S. “Smart People” Deficits YearDeficits 2010 5M 1 202012-17M 2 2030 35M 3 1 U.S. Dept. of Labor, 2005 2 Anthony P. Carnavale, 2002 3 Manpower, 2001

57. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Small Business: Unfilled Positions Near Record High Businesses Hiring or Attempting to Hire50% Reporting Few or Unqualified Applicants80% Firms with One or More Unfilled Positions31% Source: National Federation of Independent Businesses (NIFB), April 2006

58. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com “There is a supply problem in our labor markets.” - William Dunkelberg, Chief Economist National Federation of Independent Businesses

59. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Shopping the World

60. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Outsourcing

61. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com H-1B Visa

62. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Reality Check India outsourcing: 131,000 U.S. jobs United Kingdom outsourcing: 1,100,000+ U.S. jobs Source: OECD, 2005

63. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Reality Check China outsourcing: 344,000 U.S. jobs Canada outsourcing: 1,000,000+ U.S. jobs Source: OECD, 2005

64. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The 2010 Meltdown “If a country’s workforce contracts and its smart people decrease, then the economy will shrink”

65. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The Technology Paradox

66. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Technology Globalization The 2010 Meltdown Demographics Education and Career Skills Employment High Wage/High Skill or Low/Wage/Low Skill Economy Expands or Contracts

67. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Agenda 2010 Solutions 1.Business Culture 2.Career Culture 3.Mobilizing Community Culture 4.The 2010 Challenge & Beyond

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69. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Viewpoints on Change “Everyone thinks of changing the world, but no one thinks of changing himself.” Leo Tolstoy

70. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Business Culture

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72. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Life-Time Mean Training Hours All LevelsDrop Outs High School Grads Some College College Grads Canada21091115142028635444 Germany18331397236120272668 United Kingdom 1666926193733313339 United States 1403364111615752523 Source: OECD and Statistics Canada, International Adult Literacy Survey, 1994-95.

73. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com U.S. Business Training & Development Expenditures Year$ (Billion)+/- % Rounded 199045.5▬ 199552.2+15 199659.8+15 199758.6-2 199860.7+4 199962.5+3

74. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com U.S. Business Training & Development Expenditures Year$ (Billion)+/- % Rounded 200054.0-14 200156.8+5 200254.2-5 200351.3-5 200451.4▬ Source: Annual Industry Reports,” Training

75. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Practicing the “Sixth Discipline”

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77. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The Learning Organization

78. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Corporate University

79. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 1.Intel 2.McDonald’s 3.Harley-Davidson

80. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 1.Lumonics 2. Dofasco 3. Metra

81. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com What Business Needs: A Measurable Definable Process that is Transferable Return-on-Investment (ROI)

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84. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The Sixth Discipline’s “ Winning Formula” High-Tech Highly Increased Increased Workplace + Educated = People + Profit Workers Productivity

85. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Career Culture

86. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Career Education

87. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Human Ability Areas 1.Linguistics 2.Logical-Mathematical 3.Spatial 4.Musical 5.Bodily Fine-Gross Motor 6.Interpersonal 7.Intrapersonal Source: Robert J. Sternberg, 1996

88. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Then

89. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Now

90. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Germany Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Dresden Dual System

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92. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Mobilizing Community Culture

93. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs)

94. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Community development starts at the grass roots Formula for Success: People plus Ideas plus the right resources

95. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com How to get started? OVERCOME three clichés

96. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com 1.“Timing is everything” (Take action during a crisis) 2.“It’s WHO you know” (Networking) 3.“It takes two to tango” (Giving up some turf)

97. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Timing Is Everything Taking Action During a Crisis

98. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Santa Ana, California  Research Center  Workforce Institute  High School, Inc.

99. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com It’s Who You Know Centre of Excellence in Petroleum Development (Nova Scotia, Canada)

100. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Career CultureEducation Culture The 2010 Challenge and Beyond Education Prep. and Lifelong Learning Career and Job Alternatives Employment High Wage/High Skill or Low/Wage/Low Skill Business Culture

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102. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com The “C” (Culture) Factor Culture X Literacy = Education X Marketplace = GDP C = A nation’s attitudes & motivation on the importance of personal learning & applying it throughout life. L = Personal reading practices & formal schooling. E = The “critical mass” of a nation’s knowledge. M = The socioeconomic forces driving business, government and non-profit activities. GDP = Gross Domestic Product: The wealth of a nation.

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104. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Viewpoints on Change “You must be the change you wish to see in the world.” Mahatma Gandhi

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106. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Today

107. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Tomorrow

108. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com BusinessEducators The 2010 Solution Employment High Wage/High Skill Economy Expands Labor NGO Intermediary Agency Liberal Arts Education & Career Prep. Incumbent Worker Lifelong Learning Parents & StudentsGovernment

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110. Edward E. Gordonwww.imperialcorp.com Dr. Edward E. Gordon www.imperialcorp.com 312-664-5196