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Oligopoly Characteristics Small number of firms

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1 Oligopoly Characteristics Small number of firms
Product differentiation may or may not exist Barriers to entry Chapter 12 24

2 Oligopoly Examples Automobiles Steel Aluminum Petrochemicals
Electrical equipment Computers Chapter 12 25

3 Oligopoly The barriers to entry are: Natural Scale economies Patents
Technology Name recognition Chapter 12 26

4 Oligopoly The barriers to entry are: Strategic action
Flooding the market Controlling an essential input Chapter 12 27

5 Oligopoly Management Challenges Question Strategic actions
Rival behavior Question What are the possible rival responses to a 10% price cut by Ford? Chapter 12 28

6 Oligopoly Equilibrium in an Oligopolistic Market
In perfect competition, monopoly, and monopolistic competition the producers did not have to consider a rival’s response when choosing output and price. In oligopoly the producers must consider the response of competitors when choosing output and price. Chapter 12 29

7 Oligopoly Equilibrium in an Oligopolistic Market Defining Equilibrium
Firms doing the best they can and have no incentive to change their output or price All firms assume competitors are taking rival decisions into account. Chapter 12 30

8 Oligopoly Nash Equilibrium
Each firm is doing the best it can given what its competitors are doing. Chapter 12 31

9 Oligopoly The Cournot Model Duopoly
Two firms competing with each other Homogenous good The output of the other firm is assumed to be fixed Chapter 12 32

10 Firm 1’s Output Decision
MR1(0) If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce nothing, its demand curve, D1(0), is the market demand curve. P1 D1(50) MR1(50) 25 If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce 50 units, its demand curve is shifted to the left by this amount. MR1(75) D1(75) 12.5 If Firm 1 thinks Firm 2 will produce 75 units, its demand curve is shifted to the left by this amount. MC1 50 What is the output of Firm 1 if Firm 2 produces 100 units? Q1 Chapter 12 38

11 Oligopoly The Reaction Curve
A firm’s profit-maximizing output is a decreasing schedule of the expected output of Firm 2. Chapter 12 39

12 Reaction Curves and Cournot Equilibrium
Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Q*1(Q2) x Firm 1’s reaction curve shows how much it will produce as a function of how much it thinks Firm 2 will produce. The x’s correspond to the previous model. Q1 100 Firm 2’s Reaction Curve Q*2(Q2) Firm 2’s reaction curve shows how much it will produce as a function of how much it thinks Firm 1 will produce. 75 In Cournot equilibrium, each firm correctly assumes how much its competitors will produce and thereby maximize its own profits. Cournot Equilibrium 50 25 Q2 25 50 75 100 Chapter 12 43

13 Oligopoly Questions 1) If the firms are not producing at the Cournot equilibrium, will they adjust until the Cournot equilibrium is reached? 2) When is it rational to assume that its competitor’s output is fixed? Chapter 12 44

14 The Linear Demand Curve
Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Duopoly Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = Q1 + Q2 MC1 = MC2 = 0 Chapter 12 4 45

15 The Linear Demand Curve
Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Chapter 12 4 46

16 The Linear Demand Curve
Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Chapter 12 4 47

17 The Linear Demand Curve
Oligopoly The Linear Demand Curve An Example of the Cournot Equilibrium Chapter 12 4 48

18 The demand curve is P = 30 - Q and both firms have 0 marginal cost.
Duopoly Example Q1 The demand curve is P = 30 - Q and both firms have 0 marginal cost. Firm 2’s Reaction Curve 30 15 10 Cournot Equilibrium Firm 1’s Reaction Curve 15 30 Q2 Chapter 12 54

19 Profit Maximization with Collusion
Oligopoly Profit Maximization with Collusion Chapter 12 4 55

20 Profit Maximization with Collusion
Oligopoly Profit Maximization with Collusion Contract Curve Q1 + Q2 = 15 Shows all pairs of output Q1 and Q2 that maximizes total profits Q1 = Q2 = 7.5 Less output and higher profits than the Cournot equilibrium Chapter 12 4 56

21 Duopoly Example Q1 30 15 10 7.5 Firm 2’s
Collusion Curve 7.5 Collusive Equilibrium For the firm, collusion is the best outcome followed by the Cournot Equilibrium and then the competitive equilibrium Firm 2’s Reaction Curve 15 Competitive Equilibrium (P = MC; Profit = 0) 10 Cournot Equilibrium Firm 1’s Reaction Curve Q2 30 Chapter 12 54

22 First Mover Advantage-- The Stackelberg Model
Assumptions One firm can set output first MC = 0 Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = total output Firm 1 sets output first and Firm 2 then makes an output decision Chapter 12 58

23 First Mover Advantage-- The Stackelberg Model
Firm 1 Must consider the reaction of Firm 2 Firm 2 Takes Firm 1’s output as fixed and therefore determines output with the Cournot reaction curve: Q2 = /2Q1 Chapter 12 59

24 First Mover Advantage-- The Stackelberg Model
Firm 1 Choose Q1 so that: Chapter 12 60

25 First Mover Advantage-- The Stackelberg Model
Substituting Firm 2’s Reaction Curve for Q2: Chapter 12 61

26 First Mover Advantage-- The Stackelberg Model
Conclusion Firm 1’s output is twice as large as firm 2’s Firm 1’s profit is twice as large as firm 2’s Questions Why is it more profitable to be the first mover? Which model (Cournot or Shackelberg) is more appropriate? Chapter 12 62

27 Price Competition Competition in an oligopolistic industry may occur with price instead of output. The Bertrand Model is used to illustrate price competition in an oligopolistic industry with homogenous goods. Chapter 12 63

28 Price Competition Assumptions Bertrand Model Homogenous good
Market demand is P = 30 - Q where Q = Q1 + Q2 MC = $3 for both firms and MC1 = MC2 = $3 Chapter 12 64

29 Price Competition Assumptions Bertrand Model The Cournot equilibrium:
Assume the firms compete with price, not quantity. Chapter 12 64

30 Price Competition Bertrand Model How will consumers respond to a price differential? (Hint: Consider homogeneity) The Nash equilibrium: P = MC; P1 = P2 = $3 Q = 27; Q1 & Q2 = 13.5 Chapter 12 65

31 Price Competition Bertrand Model
Why not charge a higher price to raise profits? How does the Bertrand outcome compare to the Cournot outcome? The Bertrand model demonstrates the importance of the strategic variable (price versus output). Chapter 12 66

32 Price Competition Criticisms Bertrand Model
When firms produce a homogenous good, it is more natural to compete by setting quantities rather than prices. Even if the firms do set prices and choose the same price, what share of total sales will go to each one? It may not be equally divided. Chapter 12 69

33 Price Competition Price Competition with Differentiated Products
Market shares are now determined not just by prices, but by differences in the design, performance, and durability of each firm’s product. Chapter 12 70

34 Differentiated Products
Price Competition Differentiated Products Assumptions Duopoly FC = $20 VC = 0 Chapter 12 71

35 Differentiated Products
Price Competition Differentiated Products Assumptions Firm 1’s demand is Q1 = P1 + P2 Firm 2’s demand is Q2 = P1 + P1 P1 and P2 are prices firms 1 and 2 charge respectively Q1 and Q2 are the resulting quantities they sell Chapter 12 71

36 Differentiated Products
Price Competition Differentiated Products Determining Prices and Output Set prices at the same time Chapter 12 72

37 Differentiated Products
Price Competition Differentiated Products Determining Prices and Output Firm 1: If P2 is fixed: Chapter 12 73

38 Nash Equilibrium in Prices
Firm 2’s Reaction Curve $4 Nash Equilibrium $6 Collusive Equilibrium Firm 1’s Reaction Curve P2 Chapter 12 77

39 Nash Equilibrium in Prices
Does the Stackelberg model prediction for first mover hold when price is the variable instead of quantity? Hint: Would you want to set price first? Chapter 12 78

40 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble
Differentiated Products Scenario 1) Procter & Gamble, Kao Soap, Ltd., and Unilever, Ltd were entering the market for Gypsy Moth Tape. 2) All three would be choosing their prices at the same time. Chapter 12 79

41 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble
Differentiated Products Scenario 3) Procter & Gamble had to consider competitors prices when setting their price. 4) FC = $480,000/month and VC = $1/unit for all firms Chapter 12 80

42 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble
Differentiated Products Scenario 5) P&G’s demand curve was: Q = 3,375P-3.5(PU).25(PK).25 Where P, PU , PK are P&G’s, Unilever’s, and Kao’s prices respectively Chapter 12 81

43 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble
Differentiated Products Problem What price should P&G choose and what is the expected profit? Chapter 12 81

44 P&G’s Profit (in thousands of $ per month)
Competitor’s (Equal) Prices ($) P&G’s Price ($) 82

45 A Pricing Problem for Procter & Gamble
What Do You Think? 1) Why would each firm choose a price of $1.40? Hint: Think Nash Equilibrium 2) What is the profit maximizing price with collusion? Chapter 12 83

46 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
Why wouldn’t each firm set the collusion price independently and earn the higher profits that occur with explicit collusion? Chapter 12 84

47 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
Assume: Chapter 12 85

48 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
Possible Pricing Outcomes: Chapter 12 86

49 Payoff Matrix for Pricing Game
Firm 2 Charge $4 Charge $6 Charge $4 $12, $12 $20, $4 $16, $16 $4, $20 Firm 1 Charge $6 Chapter 12 88

50 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
These two firms are playing a noncooperative game. Each firm independently does the best it can taking its competitor into account. Question Why will both firms both choose $4 when $6 will yield higher profits? Chapter 12 89

51 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
An example in game theory, called the Prisoners’ Dilemma, illustrates the problem oligopolistic firms face. Chapter 12 90

52 Competition Versus Collusion: The Prisoners’ Dilemma
Scenario Two prisoners have been accused of collaborating in a crime. They are in separate jail cells and cannot communicate. Each has been asked to confess to the crime. Chapter 12 91

53 Payoff Matrix for Prisoners’ Dilemma
Prisoner B Confess Don’t confess Confess -5, -5 -1, -10 -2, -2 -10, -1 Prisoner A Would you choose to confess? Don’t confess Chapter 12 92

54 Payoff Matrix for the P & G Prisoners’ Dilemma
Conclusions: Oligipolistic Markets 1) Collusion will lead to greater profits 2) Explicit and implicit collusion is possible 3) Once collusion exists, the profit motive to break and lower price is significant Chapter 12 95

55 Payoff Matrix for the P&G Pricing Problem
Unilever and Kao Charge $1.40 Charge $1.50 Charge $1.40 $12, $12 $29, $11 $3, $21 $20, $20 P&G What price should P & G choose? Charge $1.50 Chapter 12 97

56 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligipolistic Pricing
Observations of Oligopoly Behavior 1) In some oligopoly markets, pricing behavior in time can create a predictable pricing environment and implied collusion may occur. Chapter 12 99

57 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligipolistic Pricing
Observations of Oligopoly Behavior 2) In other oligopoly markets, the firms are very aggressive and collusion is not possible. Firms are reluctant to change price because of the likely response of their competitors. In this case prices tend to be relatively rigid. Chapter 12 100

58 The Kinked Demand Curve
$/Q If the producer raises price the competitors will not and the demand will be elastic. MR D If the producer lowers price the competitors will follow and the demand will be inelastic. Quantity Chapter 12 109

59 The Kinked Demand Curve
$/Q MC MC’ So long as marginal cost is in the vertical region of the marginal revenue curve, price and output will remain constant. D P* Q* Quantity Chapter 12 MR 109

60 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing
Price Signaling & Price Leadership Price Signaling Implicit collusion in which a firm announces a price increase in the hope that other firms will follow suit Chapter 12 110

61 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing
Price Signaling & Price Leadership Price Leadership Pattern of pricing in which one firm regularly announces price changes that other firms then match Chapter 12 110

62 Implications of the Prisoners’ Dilemma for Oligopolistic Pricing
The Dominant Firm Model In some oligopolistic markets, one large firm has a major share of total sales, and a group of smaller firms supplies the remainder of the market. The large firm might then act as the dominant firm, setting a price that maximized its own profits. Chapter 12 110

63 Price Setting by a Dominant Firm
MCD MRD SF The dominant firm’s demand curve is the difference between market demand (D) and the supply of the fringe firms (SF). Price D DD At this price, fringe firms sell QF, so that total sales are QT. P1 QF QT P2 QD P* Quantity Chapter 12 115

64 Cartels Characteristics 1) Explicit agreements to set output and price
2) May not include all firms Chapter 12 116

65 Cartels Characteristics 3) Most often international
Examples of unsuccessful cartels Copper Tin Coffee Tea Cocoa Examples of successful cartels OPEC International Bauxite Association Mercurio Europeo Chapter 12 117

66 Cartels Characteristics 4) Conditions for success
Competitive alternative sufficiently deters cheating Potential of monopoly power--inelastic demand Chapter 12 119

67 Cartels Comparing OPEC to CIPEC
Most cartels involve a portion of the market which then behaves as the dominant firm Chapter 12 120

68 The OPEC Oil Cartel Price P* QOPEC TD SC MCOPEC MROPEC DOPEC Quantity
TD is the total world demand curve for oil, and SC is the competitive supply. OPEC’s demand is the difference between the two. Price MROPEC DOPEC QOPEC P* OPEC’s profits maximizing quantity is found at the intersection of its MR and MC curves. At this quantity OPEC charges price P*. Quantity Chapter 12 124

69 Cartels About OPEC Very low MC TD is inelastic
Non-OPEC supply is inelastic DOPEC is relatively inelastic Chapter 12 125

70 The OPEC Oil Cartel Price QC QT P* Pc QOPEC TD SC MCOPEC
The price without the cartel: Competitive price (PC) where DOPEC = MCOPEC QC QT MROPEC DOPEC P* Pc QOPEC Quantity Chapter 12 124

71 The CIPEC Copper Cartel
QCIPEC P* PC QC QT TD and SC are relatively elastic DCIPEC is elastic CIPEC has little monopoly power P* is closer to PC Price MRCIPEC TD DCIPEC SC MCCIPEC Quantity Chapter 12 130

72 Cartels Observations To be successful:
Total demand must not be very price elastic Either the cartel must control nearly all of the world’s supply or the supply of noncartel producers must not be price elastic Chapter 12 131

73 The Cartelization of Intercollegiate Athletics
Observations 1) Large number of firms (colleges) 2) Large number of consumers (fans) 3) Very high profits Chapter 12 132

74 The Cartelization of Intercollegiate Athletics
Question How can we explain high profits in a competitive market? (Hint: Think cartel and the NCAA) Chapter 12 133

75 The Milk Cartel 1990s with less government support, the price of milk fluctuated more widely In response, the government permitted six New England states to form a milk cartel (Northeast Interstate Dairy Compact -- NIDC) Chapter 12

76 The Milk Cartel 1999 legislation allowed dairy farmers in Northeastern states surrounding NIDC to join NIDC, 7 in 16 Southern states to form a new regional cartel. Soy milk may become more popular. Chapter 12

77 Summary In a monopolistically competitive market, firms compete by selling differentiated products, which are highly substitutable. In an oligopolistic market, only a few firms account for most or all of production. Chapter 12 134

78 Summary In the Cournot model of oligopoly, firms make their output decisions at the same time, each taking the other’s output as fixed. In the Stackelberg model, one firm sets its output first. Chapter 12 135

79 Summary The Nash equilibrium concept can also be applied to markets in which firms produce substitute goods and compete by setting price. Firms would earn higher profits by collusively agreeing to raise prices, but the antitrust laws usually prohibit this. Chapter 12 136

80 Summary The Prisoners’ Dilemma creates price rigidity in oligopolistic markets. Price leadership is a form of implicit collusion that sometimes gets around the Prisoners Dilemma. In a cartel, producers explicitly collude in setting prices and output levels. Chapter 12 137

81 Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly
End of Chapter 12 Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly 1


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