1. Mid-Atlantic Regional Planning Roundtable 4 November 9, 2007 Tom Christoffel, AICP “I see regions.” Roundtables Review – Regional Analysis 3.0

2. Roundtable I – October 21, 2005 - Middletown, Virginia - Northern Shenandoah Valley Northern Shenandoah Valley Regional Commission response to Wash COG 2030 projections –Impacts perceived of continued growth –Strong impact since 9/11 –Region may not want to continue to supply labor and be affordable housing solution –Other outlying regions interested in the conversation –Why were we concerned about the Mid-Atlantic?

3. The Mid-Atlantic has been our Market area for 20 Years

4. This is the Wash COG – MSA View of the World

5. Area – Roundtable I Begin looking at the Mid-Atlantic as Regions This is where we started

6. Presentations oMetropolitan Washington Council of Governments oBaltimore Metropolitan Council oNorthern Virginia Regional Commission oRappahannock-Rapidan Regional Commission - Warrenton – Culpeper oNorthern Shenandoah Valley – Front Royal – Winchester oEastern Panhandle – Region 9 - Martinsburg – Charles Town oRegion 8 – Romney, WV

7. Super-Region Label - Issue Areas Multi-State Transportation Corridors - 9/340/I-81/270/I-95/ Hazard mitigation Metro Evacuation Homeland Security Air Quality Water - ground and surface (ICPRB) Vision/Scenario/Alternatives (from a local region process related to those in other regions) Infrastructure Broadband Regional Policy No new bypasses in metro region puts more pressure on existing roads. Freight & Multi-modal/multi-state freight/rail and ports Labor chain - everyone imports labor from outside their region - no surplus of labor even at the fringes

8. Roundtable II – Expanded Area Co-sponsors – NARC, NADO, AMPO

9. Roundtable II – February 17, 2006 Washington, D.C. Presentations Tri-county Southern Maryland – George Washington – then RADCO – Fredericksburg – WILMAPCO - Wilmington Area Planning Council Kent/Dover MPO Tri-county Western Maryland State perspectives on Transportation - Virginia DOT - Maryland DOT

10. County to County Work- flows: 2000 CTPP Sussex Future? Region to Region work flow like WILMAPCO

11. Roundtable III – Baltimore Participation area grows – NARC, NADO & AMPO Co-sponsor

12. Roundtable III – December 8, 2006 Baltimore, MD Presentations Mid-Atlantic Regional Analysis Air Quality – Air Pollution Transport - Maryland Department of the Environment and Air Quality Planning Branch, EPA - Region III Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission PA- NJ Lancaster County, PA – Growth Management Plan Thomas Jefferson – Charlottesville Freight Movement Study - Commonwealth's Multimodal Transportation Planning Office Integrated Corridor Analysis Tool (ICAT) - I-95 Corridor Coalition Next Sponsor? – APA Regional & Intergovernmental Planning Division

13. Base map: Sub-State Regions

14. Regional 3.0? 1998 National Regional summit – NARC Opinion of experts – regionalism had failed in the U.S. I knew our region worked. No interest in a single layer of Regions as Virginia had Search for perfect set of regional boundaries. 2007 – “We really don’t know how to do regional planning.” Ron Thomas, Calgary, Canada

15. Regional Communities The emergence of Regional Community – the sense of being a “community of communities” had become operational in PD-7. The PDC was another layer of community. Northern Shenandoah Valley gave a recognizable name that contributed to the alignment built into Virginia. Looking to geography, there were many criteria for regions – watershed, bioregion, culture, economy, etc. – most acted like political boundaries were mistakes.

16. State as Region County – substate Region In 1967, W.G. East wrote: “There is only one region-the surface of the earth-on which mankind finds its home.” Gwilliam Law – Administrative Subdivisions of Countries – U.S. only States listed, not counties. Why? Counties too unstable. States are semi-autonomous regions. This led to a scale approach.

17. Local-Regional Scale – A Proposal If this is “Local Community”Then this is “Regional Community.”Level unincorporated area, township & municipal corporations → e.g. Gore, Middletown, Winchester City County - e.g. – Frederick1.0 County → Defined multi-county/independent city regional organization(s); e.g. – Planning District 7 – served by Northern Shenandoah Valley Regional Commission; Winchester Airport Authority 2.0 Multi-county region → Region to region cooperation – e.g. I-81 Corridor; Shenandoah Valley water and air; Mid-Atlantic Roundtable; crossing State lines or inclusive of an entire State - e.g. – Virginia Association of PDCs 3.0 State → Multi-State – e.g. - Quad State Legislators MD-PA-VA-WV; ICPRB; Chesapeake Bay 4.0 Multi-State → Nation - e.g. – United States5.0 Nation → Multi-national continental/oceanic – e.g. The Americas, North, Central and South - e.g. – NAFTA – Canada, Mexico, U.S. 6.0 Multi-national → World/planet/globe – e.g. – United Nations, WTO,...7.0 Global → Solar system – galaxy – universe – e.g. – a Galactic Federation ?8.0 Thought: “Local is whole. All politics are local. When a regional geography is whole, it becomes local, the local region”

18. 1.0 Scale - County If this is “Local Community” Then this is “Regional Community.” unincorporated area, township & municipal corporations → e.g. Gore, Middletown, Winchester City County - e.g. – Frederick

19. 2.0 Scale – Multi-County Region If this is “Local Community” Then this is “Regional Community.” County → Defined multi- county/independent city regional organization(s); e.g. – Planning District 7 – served by Northern Shenandoah Valley Regional Commission; Winchester Airport Authority

20. 3.0 Scale – Region to Region If this is “Local Community” Then this is “Regional Community.” Multi-county region → COG, PDC, RC, etc. Region to region cooperation – e.g. I-81 Corridor; Shenandoah Valley water and air; Mid- Atlantic Roundtable; crossing State lines or inclusive of an entire State - e.g. – Virginia Association of PDCs

21. 4.0 Scale – Multi-State If this is “Local Community” Then this is “Regional Community.” State → Multi-State – e.g. - Quad State Legislators MD-PA-VA-WV; ICPRB; Chesapeake Bay

22. Roundtable 4 – Fredericksburg November 9, 2007 Mid-Atlantic – New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia, West Virginia What about the Bos-Wash Mega-Region? –Old news - Jean Gottmann's book Megalopolis: The Urbanized Northeastern Seaboard of the United States in 1961. 1971 - Bos-Rich? Bos- Fork? –Mid-Atlantic Super-Region? Colonial U.S. Network. American Planning Association organized with Division and State Chapters to do Multi-State Regional Planning Roundtables in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic Regional planning analysis

23. 1 st product – second generation.

24. 2 nd Product % change - a different picture.

25. 3 rd – 2005 Population density by region.

26. Loss of countryside – viewshed? Region land area less Federal and State Lands – including Urban Areas

27. Overall density in 2005 drops when Urban areas pulled out – with time series we could see better the sprawls as build out occurs.

28. Contact Tom Christoffel, AICP E-mail: tom.christoffel@gmail.comtom.christoffel@gmail.com Phone: 540-636-8800 x 209