1. Issues and Opportunities in the Mexican Energy Sector Presented by: Alejandro Dieck Profesor of Graduate School of Government at I.T.E.S.M adieck@prodigy.net.mx Oct 12th,2007 Cancún, Quintanaroo.

2. CONTENT INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION WHAT’S AHEAD? WHAT’S AHEAD? IS THE OUTLOOK REALLY BRIGHT? IS THE OUTLOOK REALLY BRIGHT?

3. INTRODUCTION BudgetLimitationsCreative Models for PS ParticipationUnderInvestmentR&DActivities 80’s and mid 90’s YesNoHighLimited Late 90’s and beyond YesYesModerateLimited THE ENERGY SECTOR IN MEXICO: THE INVESTMENT ALLOCATION

4. INTRODUCTION

5. INTRODUCTION

6. INTRODUCTION

7. WHAT’S AHEAD? (Minor) Structural Reforms Energy Efficiency Renewable Sources (Major) Structural Reforms Which are the (relevant) drivers that will push growth in the sector?

8. WHAT’S AHEAD? Constitutional Changes Improve Investors Confidence and Certainty (Major) Structural Reforms

9. WHAT’S AHEAD? Kyoto Protocol: CER’S of CO 2 Incentives to Improve Portfolio: LAFRE Renewable Sources

10. WHAT’S AHEAD? Ample Opportunities CONAE/FIDE: Insufficient Resources Energy Efficiency

11. WHAT’S AHEAD? PEMEX Autonomy of Management Concessions for Marginal Petroleum Fields (Minor) Structural Reforms Private Sector Participation in exploration & production of non Associated Gas Private Sector Participation in Exploration and Production in Deep Waters Private Sector Participation in Oil Refining Strengthening the Energy Regulatory Commission Renewable Sources of Energy Unitization of Transborder Reserves

12. IS THE OUTLOOK REALLY BRIGHT? 95-0000-06 BEYOND 06 CREATIVE MODELS FOR PRIVATE LimitedAvailability Fully Availability Fully Availability New Models. STABILIZATION DIVIDENDS NoneAvailable Fully Available SOVEREIGN CREDIT RISK Bad Initial Stages Investment Grade Maturity (MINOR) STRUCTURAL REFORMSNonAvailableNonAvailableComing (MAJOR) STRUCTURAL REFORMSNonAvailableNonAvailable? PRICE ENVIROMENT UnfavorableGood Expected Better

13. Issues and Opportunities in the Mexican Energy Sector Presented by: Alejandro Dieck Profesor of Graduate School of Government at I.T.E.S.M adieck@prodigy.net.mx Oct 12th,2007 Cancún, Quintanaroo.