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Peking University Dayi Hu Sept 16, IHF,Beijing, 2005 Atrial Fibrillation in China.

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Presentation on theme: "Peking University Dayi Hu Sept 16, IHF,Beijing, 2005 Atrial Fibrillation in China."— Presentation transcript:

1 Peking University Dayi Hu Sept 16, IHF,Beijing, 2005 Atrial Fibrillation in China

2 Atrial Fibrillation (AF) The most common significant heart rhythm disturbance Incidence increases with age and the development of structural heart disease Common cause of stroke (10-15% of all strokes) Associated with significant cardiovascular morbidity and mortality Tends to recur in at least half the patients being treated with antiarrhythmic drug therapy

3 34% Atrial Fibrillation 6% PSVT 6% PVCs 4% Atrial Flutter 9% SSS 8% Conduction Disease 3% SCD 10% VT AF accounts for 1/3 of all pts discharges with arrhythmia as principal diagnosis 2%VF Baily D. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1992; 19: 41A. 18% Unspecified

4 Percent of subject died in follow-up years Higher Mortality Rate In Patients With AF Benjamin EJ, Circulation 1998; 946-952 10% 30% 50% 0 13465278910 70% Women, No AF Men, AF Women, AF Men, No AF menwomen Odds Ratio for Death 1.2-1.8 1.5-2.2

5 0 10 20 30 Wolf et al. Stroke 1991;22:983-988. 50–59 60–69 70–79 80–89 The Framingham Study: Attributable Risk of Stroke % AF prevalence Strokes attributable to AF Age Range (years)

6 Dorian P et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2000; 36: 1303-1309. Quality of life: AF vs. CAD vs. healthy controls Higher scores = better QQL 0 2 4 6 8 General health Physical function Social function Mental health SF-36 score 10 * ** *† † AF CAD Controls * P<0.05, patients with AF compared to healthy controls † P<0.05, patients with AF compared to those with CAD

7 Ryder KM, et al. Am J Cardiol 1999; 84: 131R-138R. Prevalence of AF in different countries 5.5% 5.4% ≥ 50 yrs, USA (CHS), single ECG ≥ 65 yrs, UK, single ECG ≥ 60 yrs, Netherlands, single ECG & medical record ≥ 50 yrs, UK, single ECG ≥ 55 yrs, Netherlands, single ECG ≥ 35 yrs, USA, medical record ≥ 50 yrs, UK, single ECG Review results ≥ 60 yrs, Australia, triennial survey ≥ 40 yrs, Japan, single ECG ≥ 60 yrs, Hong Kong, single ECG ≥ 35 yrs, Denmark, single ECG 25 - 64 yrs, west German, single ECG ≥ 15 yrs, India, single ECG 0.1% 5.1% 3.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.60% 0.28% Estimate of prevalence of AF vary based on the characteristics of population studied and how AF is ascertained.

8 Atrial Fibrillation Demographics by Age Adapted from Feinberg WM. Arch Intern Med. 1995;155:469-473. U.S. population Population with atrial fibrillation Age, yr <55- 9 10- 14 15- 19 20- 24 25- 29 30- 34 35- 39 40- 44 45- 49 50- 54 55- 59 60- 64 65- 69 70- 74 75- 79 80- 84 85- 89 90- 94 >95 U.S. population x 1000 Population with AF x 1000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 500 400 300 200 100 0

9 Prevalence of AF is increasing in USA Number (×10,000) 19841994 0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 11.1 27.0 NEJM 1997 337:1360-1369

10 Cardiovascular Medicine at the Turn of the Millennium: Triumphs, Concerns, and Opportunities Two new epidemics of cardiovascular disease are emerging: heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Eugene Braunwald NEJM 1997 337:1360-1369

11

12 % of hospitalization 7.65% 7.90% 8.16% 199920002001 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.0% Qi W, et al. Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916 Percent of Hospitalization in Patients with AF Is Increasing in China Average 7.90%

13 The Epidemical Investigation of AF in China Fourteen Natural Populations, 13 Different Provinces

14 Incidence of AF Stratified by Age and Sex in Chinese Population Age Group, y Rate per 100 30-3940-4950-5960-69Overall Men (n=13358) Women (n=15521) 0.30.2 0.50.6 1.41.1 3.6 2.6 7.57.4 70-79≥80 0.9 0.7 Data collected from 13 natural populations from 14 different provinces across China Hu D, et al. 2004 Chin J Intern Med; in press.

15 Difference in Trend between Paroxysmal AF and Persistent AF Hu D, et al. 2004 Chin J Intern Med; in press.

16 Similar trends and relatively lower prevalence of AF in China compared with USA, Australia and UK FHS: the Framingham study. Wolf PA et al. Sroke 1991; 22: 983-988 Australia: Lake FR, et al. Aust NZ Med 1989; 19: 321-326 UK: Hill JD et al. J R Coll Gen Pract 1987; 37: 172-173 % years

17 Prevalence of AF in China and other countries 5.5% 5.4% ≥ 50 yrs, USA (CHS), single ECG ≥ 65 yrs, UK, single ECG ≥ 60 yrs, Netherlands, single ECG & medical record ≥ 50 yrs, UK, single ECG ≥ 55 yrs, Netherlands, single ECG ≥ 35 yrs, USA, medical record ≥ 50 yrs, UK, single ECG Review results ≥ 60 yrs, Australia, triennial survey ≥ 40 yrs, Japan, single ECG ≥ 60 yrs, Hong Kong, single ECG ≥ 35 yrs, main land, China, single ECG ≥ 35 yrs, Denmark, single ECG 25 - 64 yrs, west German, single ECG ≥ 15 yrs, India, single ECG 0.1% 5.1% 3.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.77% 0.60% 0.28% Patients with AF In China 8 million

18 Hospitalized Patients with AF in China: Causes and Associated Condition Idiopathic AF RVD CHF CAD Advanced age 040%50%60%30%20%10% 58.1% 40.3% Hypertension caidiomyopathy 34.8% 33.1% 23.9% 7.4% 5.4% 4.1% Diabetes CAD: coronary artery disease; CHF: congestive heart failure; RVD: rheumatic valve disease Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916

19 Prevalence of Stroke in Chinese Patients with AF % 12.95% 24.81% 17.5% Hu D, 2004Qi W, 2003 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Hu D, 2004 Hu D, et al. 2004 Chin J Intern Med; in press. Random sample of population Qi W, et al. 2003 Chin J Cardiol; 31: 913-916. Case-control study. Hospitalized patients Hu D, et al. 2003 Chin J Intern Med; 42: 157-161. Case-control study. Hospitalized patients

20 Prevalence of Stroke in Patients with None Valve AF Stratified by Age years 0 5 10 15 20 25 Prevalence (%) 30 >40 40 ~ 4960 ~ 69 50-59 70 ~ 79 >80 HU D, et al. Chin J Intern Med, 2003; 42: 157-161

21 Framingham Heart Study: Significant Multivariable Risk for developing AF Prior MI HTN DM VHD CHF AGE 0456321 789 Male Female 2.1 (1.8-2.5) 2.2 (1.9-2.6) 4.5 (3.1-6.6) 4.2 (4.2-8.4) 1.8 (1.2-2.5) 3.4 (2.5-4.5) 1.4 (1.0-2.0) 1.5 (1.2-2.0) 1.4 (1.1-1.8) 1.4 (1.0-2.0) 1.6 (1.1-2.2) Benjamin EJ, et al. JAMA, 1994; 271: 840-844

22 Risk Factors for Stroke in Chinese with Non Vascular AF: A Case-control Study AGE >76 yrs Hypertension Diabetes LA thrombi SBP 1.76 (1.08-2.89) 1.52 (1.28-1.80) 1.39 (1.11-1.76) 1.71 (1.21-2.28) 12345 2.77 (1.25-6.13) HU D, et al. Chin J Intern Med, 2003; 42: 157-161

23 Risk of Stroke: Case-control Study HU D, et al. Chin J Intern Med, 2003; 42: 157-161 % Lone AF Persistence AF Control of heart rate StrokeControl 5.6 62.4 75.2 2.3 94.4 97.7 P<0.001 0 25 66.9 37.6 Paroxymal AF Conversion 50 75 24.8 51.9 P=0.21 100 None valve AF P=0.009 21.2 18.8

24 Control the ventricular rate Restore/maintain sinus rhythm Prevent embolic complications AF Treatment – Possible Objectives

25 0 2 4 6 8 AFASAK 58% 7– 81 SPAF 67% 27– 85 BAATAF 86% 51– 96 CAFA 42% - 68– 80 SPINAF 79% 52– 90 TOTAL 68% 50–79 Risk reduction AF Investigators. Arch Intern Med 1994;154:1449-1457. Atwood et al. Herz 1993;18:27-38. Stroke Incidence (%) 95% CI AF Investigators: Meta-analysis Warfarin for Stroke Prevention p < 0.03 p < 0.01 p < 0.02 p > 0.2 p < 0.002 p < 0.001 Controls Warfarin

26 Antiplatetet and Anticoagulation showed Significant Lower Stroke in Chinese Hospitalized Patients with AF Number of Strokes Prevented Qi W, et al. Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916 05%10%15%20%25% No Therapy Anticoagulation Antiplatetet 5.5% 6.7% 24.2% P<0.001 stroke rate

27 Treatment of Chinese Hospitalized patients with paroxymal AF Qi W, et al. Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916 Amiodarone 31.0% Cedilanid 29.6% β-Blocker 18.3% Propafenone 14.3%

28 Treatment of Chinese Hospitalized patients with persistent AF Qi W, et al. Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916 Amiodarone Digoxin β-Blocker CCB

29 Prevalence of Antiplatetet and Anticoagulation in Chinese Hospitalized Patients with AF Qi W, et al. Chinese J Cardiol, 2003 ; 31 : 913-916

30 Prevalence of Antiplatetet and Anticoagulation in Patients with AF in Chinese Natural Population Hu D, et al. 2004 Chin J Intern Med; in press

31 Atrial fibrillation in China: A Long Way to Go!


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