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The CEO POVERTY MEASURE Association of Public Data Users September 2010.

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Presentation on theme: "The CEO POVERTY MEASURE Association of Public Data Users September 2010."— Presentation transcript:

1 The CEO POVERTY MEASURE Association of Public Data Users September 2010

2 CEO’s Mandate, Direction, & Key Challenge Create a more useful tool for policymaking Adopt National Academy of Sciences’ (NAS) recommendations Employ American Community Survey –Large annual sample for NYC –But ACS does not include much of what is needed to measure family resources as recommended by NAS

3 Thresholds based on a percentage (80.5) of median annual reference family expenditures for these necessities: –Food –Clothing –Shelter –Utilities Plus a little more for miscellaneous expenses (x 1.2) Adjusted for inter-area differences in housing costs (via HUD Fair Market Rents) Resources based on annual income available to family to obtain items in threshold including: –Cash Income, after-taxes –Value of in-kind subsidies for food –Adjustment for Housing Status –Deduction for work-related expenses (child care and transportation) –Deduction for medical out-of- pocket expenses (MOOP) CEO Application of NAS Method

4 Creation of the CEO Poverty Threshold Reference Family (Two adults, Two children), 2008 Source: US Bureau of the Census and US Dept. of Housing and Urban Development NAS Threshold for U.S. (FCSU-CE)$24,755 Shelter & Utility Share, 44% =$10,892 Non-Shelter & Utility Share, 56% =$13,863 Shelter & Utility Share, Adjusted for Ratio of NYC/US Fair Market Rent (1.52) = $16,556 CEO Threshold: Adjusted Shelter & Utility Share + Non-Shelter & Utility Share = $30,419

5 Alternative Thresholds Two Adult, Two Child Family, 2008 Source: US Bureau of the Census and US Dept. of Housing and Urban Development

6 Measurement of Family Resources (1) Pre-tax cash –Source: ACS Taxation –Federal Payroll Taxes –Federal, State, City Income tax liabilities and credits –Source: CEO Tax Model Cash-Equivalent Value of Nutritional Assistance –Food Stamps –Source: ACS, Administrative records –School Lunch Program –Source: ACS, Program rules, Census valuation of meals

7 Measurement of Family Resources (2) Adjustment for Housing Status –Households do not require same level of expenditures to obtain housing of similar size and quality –Adjustment: If household is living in public housing, receives a tenant-based subsidy, resides in a rent controlled apartment or owns its home free and clear, then add to family income: Shelter and Utility portion of threshold – out-of-pocket expenditures for these items –Source: NYC Housing and Vacancy Survey

8 Measurement of Family Resources (3) Work-Related Expenses –Cost of commuting –Source: ACS and transportation agency data –Cost of child care –Source: Survey of Income and Program Participation Medical Out-of-Pocket Expenses –Source: Medical Expenditure Panel Survey

9 Alternative Resource Measures At the 20 th Percentile, 2008 Source: Tabulated from the American Community Survey PUMS as augmented by CEO.

10 Alternative Poverty Rates for NYC, By Age, 2008 Source: Tabulated from the American Community Survey PUMS as augmented by CEO.

11 Effect of Additional Resource Measures On 2008 Poverty Rates, by Age Group Source: Tabulated from the American Community Survey PUMS as augmented by CEO. Percentage Point Change in Poverty Rates Due to:

12 Change in NYC Poverty Rates, 2005-2008 Source: Tabulated from the American Community Survey PUMS as augmented by CEO.

13 Rise in CEO Threshold Outpaces Growth in Income Source: Income and poverty rates are tabulated from the American Community Survey PUMS as augmented by CEO.

14 Rise in Poverty Thresholds Over Time Source: US Bureau of the Census and NYC Center for Economic Opportunity.

15 Measuring Poverty in the Recession When the economy contracts: –Earned income plummets. –Increases in income from the safety net do not fully replace this decline. –Total pre-tax cash income falls and the official poverty rate rises. What will happen to CEO income? –Increased participation and benefit levels in Food Stamp program –Expansion and creation of new tax credits –This makes change in total income harder to predict

16 For More Information CEO Poverty Measurement Reports: http://www.nyc.gov/ceo/ http://www.nyc.gov/ceo/ Mark Levitan, Director of Poverty Research: levitanm@hra.nyc.govlevitanm@hra.nyc.gov

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