1. National Urban Freight Conference Long Beach, California December 6, 2007 Mortimer L. Downey Chairman, PB Consult, Inc Long Beach, California December 6, 2007 Mortimer L. Downey Chairman, PB Consult, Inc

2. National Urban Freight Conference Plenary Session Freight Policy Issues and Research Opportunities Plenary Session Freight Policy Issues and Research Opportunities

3. National Urban Freight Conference Legislative Context For Goods Movement Policy Legislative Context For Goods Movement Policy

4. National Urban Freight Conference AASHTO Freight Transportation Bottom Line Report, 2006

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6.  Source: Cambridge Systematics Study for Association of American Railroads Railroad Freight Flows 2035

7. National Urban Freight Conference  Trade Policy Needs Transportation Policy as its Support Our Trade Policy is for 2007 Our Transportation Policy is vintage 1956-1977  Trade Policy Needs Transportation Policy as its Support Our Trade Policy is for 2007 Our Transportation Policy is vintage 1956-1977

8. National Urban Freight Conference  Matching our System to Today’s Demands  And Thinking About the Future  Matching our System to Today’s Demands  And Thinking About the Future

9. National Urban Freight Conference  We Want Economic Growth and Prosperity  But They Can Bring Along Congestion  How Can We Respond Quickly?  We Want Economic Growth and Prosperity  But They Can Bring Along Congestion  How Can We Respond Quickly?

10. National Urban Freight Conference  Changes in Transportation Policy Don’t Happen Overnight 1894-1916 What Can We Do 1916-1956 Get the Farmer Out of the Mud 1956-1991 Build the Interstates 1991-2009 Environment and System Enhancement What’s Next? And When?  Changes in Transportation Policy Don’t Happen Overnight 1894-1916 What Can We Do 1916-1956 Get the Farmer Out of the Mud 1956-1991 Build the Interstates 1991-2009 Environment and System Enhancement What’s Next? And When?

11. $450 billion gap to maintain $1.2 trillion gap to improve 3.7 trillion to “maintain” 4.5 trillion to “improve” 3.3 trillion in Resources Source: Based on Future Highway and Public Transportation Finance Study, US Chamber of Commerce (2005) National Urban Freight Conference

12.  Many Groups Are Looking at the Future  Goods Movement is on their Agenda  Many Groups Are Looking at the Future  Goods Movement is on their Agenda

13. National Urban Freight Conference  Looking to the Future Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors—”Corridor Summit” – Alameda East – Ben Franklin – Atlantic Commerce – I-95 – I-80 – Liberty Corridor (NJ)  Looking to the Future Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors—”Corridor Summit” – Alameda East – Ben Franklin – Atlantic Commerce – I-95 – I-80 – Liberty Corridor (NJ)

14. National Urban Freight Conference  Looking to the Future Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors—”Corridor Summit” – Northern Tier (ME-Canada) – FAST Corridor – West Coast Coalition – Tehachapi Corridor – Heartland Corridor  Looking to the Future Coalition for America’s Gateways and Trade Corridors—”Corridor Summit” – Northern Tier (ME-Canada) – FAST Corridor – West Coast Coalition – Tehachapi Corridor – Heartland Corridor

15. National Urban Freight Conference  Looking to the Future American Road and Transportation Builders Association – Critical Commerce Corridors Program US Chamber of Commerce -Americans for Transportation Mobility  Looking to the Future American Road and Transportation Builders Association – Critical Commerce Corridors Program US Chamber of Commerce -Americans for Transportation Mobility

16. National Urban Freight Conference  Looking to the Future National Committee for America 2050 – Mega-Regional Focus  Looking to the Future National Committee for America 2050 – Mega-Regional Focus

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18.  Looking to the Future National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission – Report at Year End 2007 National Surface Transportation Financing Commission – Interim Report at Year End 2007  Looking to the Future National Surface Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commission – Report at Year End 2007 National Surface Transportation Financing Commission – Interim Report at Year End 2007

19. National Urban Freight Conference  What’s The Vision?  How Do We Change Policy?  What’s the Legislative Opportunity?  How Can Research Influence Policy?  What’s The Vision?  How Do We Change Policy?  What’s the Legislative Opportunity?  How Can Research Influence Policy?

20. National Urban Freight Conference  Legislative Opportunity New Legislation (TEA-4?) – Need to be in place October 1, 2009 – Comes After Next Election  New President, New Congress – Old Issues Will Return – Backdrop of Revenue Problems  Trust Fund Solvency  Long Term Federal Budget Issues  Legislative Opportunity New Legislation (TEA-4?) – Need to be in place October 1, 2009 – Comes After Next Election  New President, New Congress – Old Issues Will Return – Backdrop of Revenue Problems  Trust Fund Solvency  Long Term Federal Budget Issues

21. National Urban Freight Conference  Hopeful Signs for Freight Policy Lessons learned in the 1990’s- especially in Alameda Corridor Ongoing USDOT Efforts – Congestion Focus – National Freight Framework Freight as a Focus in SAFETEA-LU  Hopeful Signs for Freight Policy Lessons learned in the 1990’s- especially in Alameda Corridor Ongoing USDOT Efforts – Congestion Focus – National Freight Framework Freight as a Focus in SAFETEA-LU

22.  Constraints to Change Fiscal – Short Term and Long Term Budget Problems Programmatic – Donor/Donee and Earmarks – Interest Group Politics Institutional – Silos within the Administration and the Congress – Roles of States and MPOs – Separation of Public and Private Transportation Modes  Constraints to Change Fiscal – Short Term and Long Term Budget Problems Programmatic – Donor/Donee and Earmarks – Interest Group Politics Institutional – Silos within the Administration and the Congress – Roles of States and MPOs – Separation of Public and Private Transportation Modes National Urban Freight Conference

23.  Building an Action Agenda-Key Levers for Change Concern for Economic Growth and Competitiveness Fear of Trust Fund Bankruptcy Climate Change Debate  Building an Action Agenda-Key Levers for Change Concern for Economic Growth and Competitiveness Fear of Trust Fund Bankruptcy Climate Change Debate

24. National Urban Freight Conference  Key Elements of Change Adequate Resources Goods Movement Institutions Greater Flexibility of Funding Earmark Control Sustainability Research and Technology  Key Elements of Change Adequate Resources Goods Movement Institutions Greater Flexibility of Funding Earmark Control Sustainability Research and Technology

25. National Urban Freight Conference  Policy Innovations New Revenue Mechanisms – Greater Use of Congestion Pricing and Tolling – Eventual Road Pricing Public Private Partnerships in Service Delivery Attention to Urban Freight Issues  Policy Innovations New Revenue Mechanisms – Greater Use of Congestion Pricing and Tolling – Eventual Road Pricing Public Private Partnerships in Service Delivery Attention to Urban Freight Issues

26. National Urban Freight Conference  Summary There Should be Legislation in 2009 It Should be the First Step in a new Cycle – “New Authorization not Reauthorization” It Won’t be the Last Step but it needs to Set the Pattern  Summary There Should be Legislation in 2009 It Should be the First Step in a new Cycle – “New Authorization not Reauthorization” It Won’t be the Last Step but it needs to Set the Pattern

27. National Urban Freight Conference  Questions?