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Introduction to Gene-Finding: Linkage and Association

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1 Introduction to Gene-Finding: Linkage and Association
Danielle Dick, Sarah Medland, (Ben Neale)

2 Aim of QTL mapping… LOCALIZE and then IDENTIFY a locus that regulates a trait (QTL) Locus: Nucleotide or sequence of nucleotides with variation in the population, with different variants associated with different trait levels.

3 Location and Identification
Linkage localize region of the genome where a QTL that regulates the trait is likely to be harboured Family-specific phenomenon: Affected individuals in a family share the same ancestral predisposing DNA segment at a given QTL

4 Location and Identification
Association identify a QTL that regulates the trait Population-specific phenomenon: Affected individuals in a population share the same ancestral predisposing DNA segment at a given QTL

5 Linkage Overview

6 Progress of the Human Genome Project
Human Chromosome 4

7 Genetic markers (DNA polymorphisms)
ATGCTTGCCACGCE ATGCTTCTTGCCATGCE Microsatellite Markers can be di(2), tri(3), or tetra (4) nucleotide repeats ATGCTTGCCACGCE ATGCTTGCCATGCE Single Nucleotide Polymorphism

8 DNA polymorphisms Can occur in gene, but be silent
Can change gene product (protein) Alter amino acid sequence (a lot or a little) Can regulate gene product Upregulate or downregulate protein production Turn off or on gene Can occur in noncoding region This happens most often!

9 Mutations

10 How do we map genes? Deviation from Mendel’s Independent Assortment Law Aa & Bb = ¼ AB, ¼ Ab, ¼ aB, ¼ ab We’re looking for variation from this

11 Recombination

12 Recombination Another way of introducing genetic diversity
Allows us to map genes! Crossovers more likely to occur between genes that are further away; likelihood of a recombination event is proportional to the distance Interference – tend not to see 2 crossovers in a small area Alleles that are very close together are more likely to stay together, don’t assort independently

13 Linkage Mapping (is a marker “linked” to the disease gene)
Collect families with affected individuals Genome Scan - Test markers evenly spaced across the entire genome (~every 10cM, ~400 markers) Lod score (“log of the odds”) – what are the odds of observing the family marker data if the marker is linked to the disease (less recombination than expected) compared to if the marker is not linked to the disease

14 Thomas Hunt Morgan – discoverer of linkage

15 Linkage = Co-segregation
A1A2 A3A4 A1A3 A2A4 A2A3 Marker allele A1 cosegregates with dominant disease A1A2 A1A4 A3A4 A3A2

16 Lod scores >3.0 evidence for linkage <-2.0 can rule out linkage
In between – inconclusive, collect more families

17 Linkage = Co-segregation
Parametric Linkage used very successfully to map disease genes for Mendelian disorders Problematic for complex disorders: requires disease model, penetrance, assumes gene of major effect, phenotypic precision A1A2 A3A4 A1A3 A2A4 A2A3 A1A2 A1A4 A3A4 A3A2

18 Nonparametric Linkage
Based on allele-sharing More appropriate for phenotypes with multiple genes of small effect, environment, no disease model assumed Basic unit of data: affected relative (often sibling) pairs

19 x Graphing can also be done in Microsoft's charting program. Again you will have to experiment a bit or come and talk to me. But it is an easy program to use, unlike Corel Chart. You can also insert graph and charts from other programs via the insert function. 1/4 1/4 1/4 1/4

20 IDENTITY BY DESCENT Sib 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 Sib 2 1 2 1 1 1 2
1 2 1 Sib 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 4/16 = 1/4 sibs share BOTH parental alleles IBD = 2 8/16 = 1/2 sibs share ONE parental allele IBD = 1 4/16 = 1/4 sibs share NO parental alleles IBD = 0

21 Genotypic similarity between relatives
IBS Alleles shared Identical By State “look the same”, may have the same DNA sequence but they are not necessarily derived from a known common ancestor - focus for association M1 M2 M3 M3 IBD Alleles shared Identical By Descent are a copy of the same ancestor allele - focus for linkage Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 M1 M2 M3 M3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 IBS IBD M1 M3 M1 M3 2 1 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q4

22 Genotypic similarity – basic principals
Loci that are close together are more likely to be inherited together than loci that are further apart Loci are likely to be inherited in context – ie with their surrounding loci Because of this, knowing that a loci is transmitted from a common ancestor is more informative than simply observing that it is the same allele Critical to have parental data when possible

23 Linkage Markers…

24 For disease traits (affected/unaffected) Affected sib pairs selected
1000 750 500 250 IBD = 2 Expected 1 2 3 127 310 IBD = 1 Markers IBD = 0

25 For continuous measures
Unselected sib pairs 1.00 0.25 0.75 0.50 IBD = 0 IBD = 1 IBD = 2 Correlation between sibs 0.00

26 So how does all this fit into Mx?

27 IDENTITY BY DESCENT Sib 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 Sib 2 1 2 1 1 1 2
1 2 1 Sib 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 4/16 = 1/4 sibs share BOTH parental alleles IBD = 2 8/16 = 1/2 sibs share ONE parental allele IBD = 1 4/16 = 1/4 sibs share NO parental alleles IBD = 0

28 In biometrical modeling A is correlated at 1 for MZ twins and
In biometrical modeling A is correlated at 1 for MZ twins and .5 for DZ twins .5 is the average genome-wide sharing of genes between full siblings (DZ twin relationship)

29 In linkage analysis we will be estimating an additional variance component Q
For each locus under analysis the coefficient of sharing for this parameter will vary for each pair of siblings The coefficient will be the probability that the pair of siblings have both inherited the same alleles from a common ancestor

30 PTwin1 PTwin2 MZ=1.0 DZ=0.5 MZ & DZ = 1.0 Q A C E E C A Q q a c e e c

31 How do we do this? 1.Genotyping data.
Linkage How do we do this? 1.Genotyping data.

32 Microsatellite data Ideally positioned at equal genetic distances across chromosome Mostly di/tri nucleotide repeats

33 Microsatellite data Raw data consists of allele lengths/calls (bp)
Different primers give different lengths So to compare data you MUST know which primers were used

34 Binning Raw allele lengths are converted to allele numbers or lengths
Example:D1S1646 tri-nucleotide repeat size range Logically: Work with binned lengths Commonly: Assign allele 1 to 130 allele, 2 to 133 allele … Commercially: Allele numbers often assigned based on reference populations CEPH. So if the first CEPH allele was 136 that would be assigned 1 and 130 & 133 would assigned the next free allele number Conclusions: whenever possible start from the RAW allele size and work with allele length

35 Error checking After binning check for errors An iterative process
Family relationships (GRR, Rel-pair) Mendelian Errors (Sib-pair) Double Recombinants (MENDEL, ASPEX, ALEGRO) An iterative process

36 ‘Clean’ data ped file Family, individual, father, mother, sex, dummy, genotypes

37 Estimating genotypic sharing…
The ped file is used with ‘map’ files to obtain estimates of genotypic sharing between relatives at each of the locations under analysis

38 Estimating genotypic sharing…
Merlin will give you probabilities of sharing 0, 1, 2 alleles for every pair of individuals.

39 Estimating genotypic sharing…
Output

40 Estimating genotypic sharing…
Output Why isn’t P0, P1, P2 exact for everyone?

41 Estimating genotypic sharing…
Output Why isn’t P0, P1, P2 exact for everyone? -missing parental genotypes -low informativeness at marker 1/2 2/2 1/2 2/2

42 PTwin1 PTwin2 MZ=1.0 DZ=0.5 MZ & DZ = 1.0 Q A C E E C A Q q a c e e c

43 Genotypic similarity between relatives
IBD Alleles shared Identical By Descent are a copy of the same ancestor allele Pairs of siblings may share 0, 1 or 2 alleles IBD The probability of a pair of relatives being IBD is known as pi-hat M1 M2 M3 M3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 M1 M2 M3 M3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 IBS IBD M1 M3 M1 M3 2 1 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q4

44 Estimating genotypic sharing…
Output

45 Distribution of pi-hat
Adult Dutch DZ pairs: distribution of pi-hat at 65 cM on chromosome 19 < 0.25: IBD=0 group > 0.75: IBD=2 group others: IBD=1 group pi65cat= (0,1,2)

46 Linkage Analyses Advantage Disadvantages
Systematically scan the genome Disadvantages Not very powerful Need hundreds – thousands of family member Broad peaks

47 Lod scores 1cM = 1MB 1MB=1000kb 1kb=1000bp 1cM = 1,000,000 bp

48 Strategy 1. Ascertain families with multiple affecteds
2. Linkage analyses to identify chromosomal regions  allele-sharing among affecteds within a family 3. Association analyses to identify specific genes Gene A Gene B Gene C

49 BREAK

50 Linkage vs. Association
Linkage analyses look for relationship between a marker and disease within a family (could be different marker in each family) Association analyses look for relationship between a marker and disease between families (must be same marker in all families)

51 Extension of linkage to the population
Allelic Association: Extension of linkage to the population 3/5 2/6 3/5 2/6 3/6 5/6 3/2 5/2 Both families are ‘linked’ with the marker, but a different allele is involved

52 Extension of linkage to the population
Allelic Association Extension of linkage to the population 3/5 2/6 3/6 5/6 3/6 2/4 4/6 2/6 3/2 6/2 6/6 6/6 All families are ‘linked’ with the marker Allele 6 is ‘associated’ with disease

53 Localization Linkage analysis yields broad chromosome regions harbouring many genes Resolution comes from recombination events (meioses) in families assessed ‘Good’ in terms of needing few markers, ‘poor’ in terms of finding specific variants involved Association analysis yields fine-scale resolution of genetic variants Resolution comes from ancestral recombination events ‘Good’ in terms of finding specific variants, ‘poor’ in terms of needing many markers

54 Allelic Association Three Common Forms Direct Association
Mutant or ‘susceptible’ polymorphism Allele of interest is itself involved in phenotype Indirect Association Allele itself is not involved, but a nearby correlated marker changes phenotype Spurious association Apparent association not related to genetic aetiology (most common outcome…)

55 Indirect and Direct Allelic Association
Direct Association M1 M2 Mn Assess trait effects on D via correlated markers (Mi) rather than susceptibility/etiologic variants. D Indirect Association & LD D * Measure disease relevance (*) directly, ignoring correlated markers nearby Semantic distinction between Linkage Disequilibrium: correlation between (any) markers in population Allelic Association: correlation between marker allele and trait

56 Decay of Linkage Disequilibrium
Reich et al., Nature 2001

57 Average Levels of LD along chromosomes
CEPH W.Eur Estonian So why did we use human chromosome 22? Since this was the first human chromosome to be fully sequenced we have now accrued a wealth of information about the genomic landscape – which we can correlate with LD measures. Many of you will have heard Ian Dunham’s talk on Wednesday evening when he showed the current status of the 582 genes that have been annotated. In addition, there are an abundance of SNPs and other variants between which to measure LD. Chromosome 22 has been the focus of 2 chromosome-specific SNP finding projects – the Sanger pilot study for the SNP consortium, which found 2, 730 SNPs. And a project in which we found just over 12,000, variants in the sequence of the overlaps between clones used for the whole chromosome sequence. In addition, the genome wide efforts of the SNP consortium found another 8,300 SNPs. With the efforts since these publications and other snps in the public domain, we estimate that there are SNPs and other small sequence variants on chromomse 22, giving an average density of 1 SNP every 1.3 kb. With such a high density, along the length of the chromosome, we are able to effectivley study long-range haplotypes. Chr22 Dawson et al Nature 2002

58 Characterizing Patterns of Linkage Disequilibrium
Average LD decay vs physical distance Mean trends along chromosomes Haplotype Blocks

59 Linkage Disequilibrium Maps & Allelic Association
1 2 3 D n Marker LD Primary Aim of LD maps: Use relationships amongst background markers (M1, M2, M3, …Mn) to learn something about D for association studies Something = * Efficient association study design by reduced genotyping * Predict approx location (fine-map) disease loci * Assess complexity of local regions * Attempt to quantify/predict underlying (unobserved) patterns ···

60 Deliverables: Sets of haplotype tagging SNPs

61 Building Haplotype Maps for Gene-finding
1. Human Genome Project  Good for consensus, not good for individual differences Sept 01 Feb 02 April 04 Oct 04 2. Identify genetic variants  Anonymous with respect to traits. April 1999 – Dec 01 3. Assay genetic variants  Verify polymorphisms, catalogue correlations amongst sites  Anonymous with respect to traits Oct present

62 Haplotype Tagging for Efficient Genotyping
Cardon & Abecasis, TIG 2003 Some genetic variants within haplotype blocks give redundant information A subset of variants, ‘htSNPs’, can be used to ‘tag’ the conserved haplotypes with little loss of information (Johnson et al., Nat Genet, 2001) … Initial detection of htSNPs should facilitate future genetic association studies

63 HapMap Strategy Samples Genotyping Four populations, small samples
5 kb initial density across genome (600K markers) Subsequent focus on low LD regions Recent NIH RFA for deeper coverage

64 Hapmap validating millions of SNPs.
Are they the right SNPs? Distribution of allele frequencies in public markers is biased toward common alleles Expected frequency in population Frequency of public markers Updated with phase 2—more similar to expectation Phillips et al. Nat Genet 2003

65 Summary of Role of Linkage Disequilibrium on Association Studies
Marker characterization is becoming extensive and genotyping throughput is high Tagging studies will yield panels for immediate use Need to be clear about assumptions/aims of each panel Density of eventual Hapmap probably cover much of genome in high LD, but not all Challenges Just having more markers doesn’t mean that success rate will improve Expectations of association success via LD are too high.

66 Two types of association studies
Case-control Family-based

67 Allelic Association Controls Cases
6/2 6/6 3/5 3/4 3/6 5/6 2/4 3/2 3/6 6/6 4/6 2/6 2/6 5/2 Allele 6 is ‘associated’ with disease

68 Primary Concern with Case-Control Analyses
Main Blame Primary Concern with Case-Control Analyses Population stratification Analysis of mixed samples having different allele frequencies is a primary concern in human genetics, as it leads to false evidence for allelic association.

69 Population Stratification
Leads to spurious association Requirements: Group differences in allele frequencies AND Group differences in outcome In epidemiology, this is a classic matching problem, with genetics as a confounding variable

70 + Population Stratification Spurious Association
c21 = 14.84, p < 0.001 Spurious Association

71 Family-based association methods
TDT – Transmission Disequilibrium Test 1/2 3/3 2/3 50/50 chance the 2 is transmitted Looking for overtransmission of a particular allele across affected individuals (undertransmission to unaffecteds)

72 TDT Advantages/Disadvantages
Robust to stratification Genotyping error detectable via Mendelian inconsistencies Estimates of haplotypes possible Disadvantages Detection/elimination of genotyping errors causes bias (Gordon et al., 2001) Uses only heterozygous parents Inefficient for genotyping 3 individuals yield 2 founders: 1/3 information not used Can be difficult/impossible to collect Late-onset disorders, psychiatric conditions, pharmacogenetic applications

73 Association Studies 2000+ :
Association studies < 2000: TDT TDT virtually ubiquitous over past decade Grant, manuscript referees & editors mandated design View of case/control association studies greatly diminished due to perceived role of stratification Association Studies : Return to population Case/controls, using extra genotyping +families, when available

74 Detecting and Controlling for
Population Stratification with Genetic Markers Idea Take advantage of availability of large N genetic markers Use case/control design Genotype genetic markers across genome (Number depends on different factors) Look if any evidence for background population substructure exists and account for it

75 Two types of association studies
Case-control Adv: more powerful Disadv: population stratification limited by case/control definition Family-based Adv: population stratification not a problem Disadv: less powerful, hard to collect parents for some phenotypes

76 Association Analyses vs Linkage
Advantage More powerful Disadvantage Not systematic (in the past) Now! Genome wide association scans

77 Current Association Study Challenges 1) Genome-wide screen or candidate gene
Hypothesis-free High-cost: large genotyping requirements Multiple-testing issues Possible many false positives, fewer misses Candidate gene Hypothesis-driven Low-cost: small genotyping requirements Multiple-testing less important Possible many misses, fewer false positives

78 Current Association Study Challenges 2) What constitutes a replication?
GOLD Standard for association studies Replicating association results in different laboratories is often seen as most compelling piece of evidence for ‘true’ finding But…. in any sample, we measure Multiple traits Multiple genes Multiple markers in genes and we analyse all this using multiple statistical tests What is a true replication?

79 What is a true replication?
Replication Outcome Explanation Association to same trait, but different gene Association to same trait, same gene, different SNPs (or haplotypes) Association to same trait, same gene, same SNP – but in opposite direction (protective  disease) Association to different, but correlated phenotype(s) No association at all Genetic heterogeneity Allelic heterogeneity Allelic heterogeneity/pop differences Phenotypic heterogeneity Sample size too small

80 Measuring Success by Replication
Define objective criteria for what is/is not a replication in advance Design initial and replication study to have enough power ‘Lumper’: use most samples to obtain robust results in first place Great initial detection, may be weak in replication Skol et al. 2006—lumping is better for power ‘Splitter’: Take otherwise large sample, split into initial and replication groups One good study  two bad studies. Poor initial detection, poor replication

81 Current Association Study Challenges 3) Do we have the best set of genetic markers
There exist 6+ million putative SNPs in the public domain. Are they the right markers? Allele frequency distribution is biased toward common alleles Expected frequency in population Frequency of public markers

82 Current Association Study Challenges 3) Do we have the best set of genetic markers
Tabor et al, Nat Rev Genet 2003

83 (Müller-Myhsok and Abel, 1997)
Greatest power comes from markers that match allele freq with trait loci ls = 1.5, a = 5 x 10-8, Spielman TDT (Müller-Myhsok and Abel, 1997)

84 Current Association Study Challenges 4) Integrating the sampling, LD and genetic effects
Questions that don’t stand alone: How much LD is needed to detect complex disease genes? What effect size is big enough to be detected? How common (rare) must a disease variant(s) be to be identifiable? What marker allele frequency threshold should be used to find complex disease genes? 1

85 Complexity of System In any indirect association study, we measure marker alleles that are correlated with trait variants… We do not measure the trait variants themselves But, for study design and power, we concern ourselves with frequencies and effect sizes at the trait locus…. This can only lead to underpowered studies and inflated expectations We should concern ourselves with the apparent effect size at the marker, which results from 1) difference in frequency of marker and trait alleles 2) LD between the marker and trait loci 3) effect size of trait allele 1

86 Practical Implications of Allele Frequencies
‘Strongest argument for using common markers is not CD-CV. It is practical: For small effects, common markers are the only ones for which sufficient sample sizes can be collected  There are situations where indirect association analysis will not work Discrepant marker/disease freqs, low LD, heterogeneity, … Linkage approach may be only genetics approach in these cases At present, no way to know when association will/will not work Balance with linkage

87 Current Association Study Challenges 5) How to analyse the data
Allele based test? 2 alleles  1 df E(Y) = a + bX X = 0/1 for presence/absence Genotype-based test? 3 genotypes  2 df E(Y) = a + b1A+ b2D A = 0/1 additive (hom); W = 0/1 dom (het) Haplotype-based test? For M markers, 2M possible haplotypes  2M -1 df E(Y) = a + bH H coded for haplotype effects Multilocus test? Epistasis, G x E interactions, many possibilities

88 Current Association Study Challenges 6) Multiple Testing
Candidate genes: a few tests (probably correlated) Linkage regions: 100’s – 1000’s tests (some correlated) Whole genome association: 100,000s – 1,000,000s tests (many correlated) What to do? Bonferroni (conservative) False discovery rate? Permutations? ….Area of active research

89 Despite challenges: upcoming association studies hold some promise
Availability of millions of genetic markers Genotyping costs decreasing rapidly Cost per SNP: ($0.25)  2003 ($0.10)  2004 ($0.01) Background LD patterns being characterized International HapMap and other projects

90 Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS) Underway:
Genetic Analysis Information Network (GAIN) Psoriasis, ADHD, Schizophrenia, Bipolar Disorder, Depression, Type 1 Diabetes Welcome Trust Case Control Consortium Bipolar Disorder, Coronary Artery Disease, Crohn’s disease, Rheumatoid Arthristis, Type 1 Diabetes, Type 2 Diabetes Genes, Environment, & Health Initiative (Gene/Environment Association Studies: GENEVA) Addiction, diabetes, Heart Disease, Oral Clefts, Maternal Metabolism and Birth Weight, Lung Cancer, Pre-Term Birth, Dental Carries Genes, Environment, & Development Initiative (GEDI)


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