1. Distillate Workshop 21.05.07 DfT Thoughts

2. There’s a lot going on (even more than usual) There’s a lot I’m not directly involved in I’ll try to take quick questions But may need to follow up after

3. Issues covered today Modelling / Appraisal developments in DfT –Recent, current, upcoming Current concerns / interests Any specific role for Distillate?

4. Things happening NATA “refresh” announced 21st May, will include Much revised format Review shape of guidance, easier to use Review cross modal consistency Include something for maintenance schemes Proportionality (size / cost of scheme) Review vfm guidance, eg in light of Eddington – wider economic benefits, social inclusion / distribution, environment) Update 2002 base year

5. Can we also incorporate? Streamlining? What we require at Programme Entry versus CA, and how we ask for it. Role for “lite” models? (Going beyond Major Scheme Appraisal) Circumstances where clear conclusions can be reached much easier? Option development etc?

6. Recent Webtag revisions External costs of Rail use (April) Walking and Cycling Schemes (March) Speed / flow relationships (March) Values of time and operating costs (minor changes) (February) Option values and non-use values (Feb) Modelling and appraisal of road pricing schemes (still under consultation) (Feb) Oct 2006: Greenhouse gases, vot and op cost, estimation and treatment of scheme costs

7. Forthcoming developments (In part in response to Eddington – more later) Reliability Freight values New Major Project Guidance (building on consultation on DfT site, including delivery, cost sharing and incentives) Developments dependent on transport schemes (clarify current guidance, later produce improved methodology) Review consistency of appraisal approaches across Departments, transport related and wider

8. Other current interests (1) Eftec work on landscape valuation New landscape valuation: 3 phases 1.Typologies for landscape and schemes 2.Develop and test valuation methods 3.Elicit and test values Aim to bring landscape impacts into the monetised vfm assessment. In time add more monetised impacts?

9. Other current interests (2) Wider Eddington / Stern repercussions –Is a major shaping factor behind current and longer term NATA revisions –Requires new look at incorporating wider economic benefits (competition, agglomeration, globally mobile resources), social inclusion / distribution, environment. –Review compatibility of vfm methodology across modes

10. Other current interests (3) Eddington implications / context –We anticipate a second regional prioritisation exercise next year –Eddington recommendations have consequences re how regional priorities are determined (their objectives, overall consequences, how regions consider vfm) among transport schemes and against other expenditures. –Need for good strategic analysis tools: option generation, testing / sifting, appropriate vfm methods, combined / strategic impact

11. TIF Actual scheme bids expected mid year Strategic modelling clearly relevant again Modelling and appraisal guidance directly relevant to TIF in response to requests from promoters (Forecasting, and uncertainty, using transport models, fares assumptions, road pricing modelling) TIF and Eddington: might there be an opportunity for further “Eddington” schemes alongside TIF, and if so how to sift, prioritise, assess?

12. Strategic modelling and analysis has featured a lot What might Distillate do to aid developments here?