1. Chapt 3 Modeling & Simulation Processes Intro/ steps in the process –Formulate problem –Specify the model –Build model –Simulate model –Use model –Support decision making AweSim & Visual Slam

2. Modeling & Simulation Processes Use an iterative process where relationships & parameters are continually redefined & improved. Formulate Problem Specify Model Build Model Simulate Model Use Model Support Decision Making

3. Formulate the Problem Focuses the modeling/ simulation efforts 1) Identify the Goal 2) Specify the system performance measures 3) Set objectives 4)Completely define the systems to be modeled

4. Formulate the Problem Goals –specify what is to be achieved ie lower cycle time by capital investing Performance measures –Measurable outputs ie profits/costs, inventory levels, speed, % waiting time Objectives –More specific, ie reduce queue/bottle neck for process or provide redundant machine for maintenance/ redundancy Complete definition –Scope and boundary definitions

5. Specify Model Define system but w/o unnecessary detail Easily understood but realistic Reasonable simplifying assumptions Include interactions of activities Conceptualize data requirements –collected –use statistical methods

6. Build Model Develop Simulation model –Interactive & Iterative- continually redefined, updated, modified & extended Collect data –Time studies, accessing data bases, statistical Define Experimental Controls –Number of sim runs, report types/ plots/ histograms, status of specific variables ie idle/busy All steps are interdependent

7. Simulate Model Run Model –Simulation advances time in accordance with the movement of entities thru nodes and activities Verify Model –Does the model behave as expected ie correct CPM Does the model work right? Validate the Model –Reasonable representation of the system, does the model truly represent reality? Steps are interdependent/ have interactions

8. Use Model Make the sim runs and interpretation of the data outputs –Make make several runs to find optimal solution –ie try run with one manufacturing set up - find output, tweak manufacturing set up - find out put, continue to tweak… –Evaluate alternatives…one bottle neck solved look for others that may crop up Interactions….may need to rebuild model once see output

9. Support Decision Making Presentation and documentation of the results/ outputs of the simulations Graphical is best

10. AweSim Visual SLAM Open architecture to databases, MS office, C/C++, Windows based Project Structure builds scenarios to investigate alternate designs to improve a system Build networks (models), perform simulations runs, view animations

11. AweSim Visual SLAM

13. Modeling & Simulation Process Exercises # 3-2 Discuss the use of statistics and graphics in each of the steps of a modeling/ sim process –see fig 3-1 pg 36 #3-4 Using the steps in the modeling/ sim process build an explanatory model of the university system to obtain an MSET –see fig 3-1 pg 36

14. Chapt 4 Application of Simulation Intro/ steps in the process Performance measures Examples –Capital Expenditures in the steel industry –Risk analysis of Pipeline const –MOB using Extend

15. Application of Simulation Introduction Widely used by industrial engineering, management, by service industry, industrial products and government. –Manufacturing-plant layout, efficiencies, lean production –Project Controls-cost estimation, risk analysis, planning –Health care, transportation, communications, space flight, etc Provided examples are only one solution… typically many and may take several iterations

16. Performance Measures Performance of a systems is measured by the efficiency is achieving its objectives Objectives vary dependent on type of system involved ie car production vs plant construction… general info provided by looking a manufacturing system

17. Performance Measures for Manufacturing Terms System performance is combined with cost to establish profitability….Sim focuses on performance Throughput= production rate output/time Capacity=max throughput Flow time= amount of time a job spends in the system…want to min this Resources=people, mtls,equip, machines, etc want to max their utilization=time productive

18. Performance Measures for Manufacturing Terms WIP= Work In Progress…unfinished units awaiting parts, mtl etc = want to min this

19. Capital Expenditure in the Steel Industry Improve ops involving melting scarp & desulfuring metal by determining # of submarines that cost $1M Basic Oxygen furnace Shop Dumping Area Proposed Desulfurization Area Proposed Scrap Melter Blast Furnace Area C F g H J

20. Capital Expenditure in the Steel Industry Model scheduling rules, add rule to dump hot metal if submarine is not available to accommodate blast furnace..sim save buying another sub Basic Oxygen furnace Shop Dumping Area Proposed Desulfurization Area Proposed Scrap Melter Blast Furnace Area C F g H J

21. Risk Analysis of Pipeline const Problem formulation= complete project by specific due dates Sim construction activities based on weather and inputs to resources (people, equip, etc) Prep trenchLay PipeWeld pipeCover & finish

22. Use of Models Modeling & Sim used to enhance system performance or solve problems, Also for: –Explanatory to understand a problem –Communication to describe –Training –Analysis –Review design alts

23. Application of Simulation Exercises Using a block wiring diagram, develop a model for repairing/replace a building foundation Want most efficient use of recourses Activities are: – lift up on jacks/ supports –remove existing foundation –Form/ pour new concrete foundation –Remove form/ lower building Write what variables to Sim to create most efficient system

24. Application of Simulation MOB