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Introduction to Macroeconomics

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Presentation on theme: "Introduction to Macroeconomics"— Presentation transcript:

1 Introduction to Macroeconomics
Chapter 22. Keynesian Macroeconomics

2 Chapter 22. Keynesian Macroeconomics
1. John Maynard Keynes 2. Consumption 3. Simple Equilibrium Model 4. Add Investment to the Model 5. Add Government Spending to the Model 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier 7. Recessionary, Inflationary, and Output Gaps 8. Government Fiscal Policy

3 Objections to Classical Model
1. John Maynard Keynes General Theory… (1936) Objections to Classical Model Equilibrium with Unemployment because of inadequate demand Advocated Activist Government Fiscal Policy Short-run model of aggregate demand only

4 1. John Maynard Keynes Objections to Classical Model
Interest rates, prices, and wages are rigid (“sticky”) Savings (consumption) is a function of income, not interest rate. Supply doesn’t create its own demand, it responds to changes in demand

5 1. John Maynard Keynes Equilibrium with Unemployment
Full-employment output Horizontal Aggregate Supply Curve Sticky prices Interest rates have only a long run effect Long-run growth factors can be ignored in short-run model AS Equilibrium AD

6 1. John Maynard Keynes Keynesian Activist Fiscal Policy
Equilibrium Output less than full-employment output increase government spending reduce taxes Aggregate Demand (AD) shifts to right Full-employment output AS AD

7 1. John Maynard Keynes Short-Run Model of Aggregate Demand Only
Changes in Aggregate Supply have no effect on spending (contrary to Say’s Law) Aggregate Supply responds to changes in demand Economy can be modeled by looking at Aggregate Demand only

8 Graph Consumption Function Autonomous Consumption
Marginal Propensity to Consume Savings Marginal Propensity to Save Average Propensity to Consume Average Propensity to Save

9 2. Consumption Consumption Function
C = C0 + b • Y C = desired consumption C0 = autonomous consumption b = marginal propensity to consume 0 < b < 1 Y = income

10 2. Consumption Graph Consumption Function
C = C0 + b • Y Slope = b Intercept = C0

11 2. Consumptioon Autonomous Consumption
Autonomous consumption = C0 Level of consumption at zero income Consumption independent of the level of income “Subsistence” level of income

12 2. Consumption Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
The change in consumption that results from a $1 change in income MPC = dC / dY Slope of the consumption function (b)

13 2. Consumption Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
MPC = dC / dY = 10 / 15 = 0.667 dC = 10 dY = 15 dC = 10 dY = 15 dC = 10 dY = 15 dC = 10 dY = 15

14 3. Simple Equilibrium Model
Aggregate Expenditures: AE = C + I + G + NX Assume: No government, G = 0 No investment, I = 0 No international trade, NX = 0 AE = C

15 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Aggregate Expenditures
AE = C = C0 + MPC • Y Slope = MPC Intercept = C0

16 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Equilibrium - the 45o Line
The 45o line: all points that represent potential equilibrium (aggregate expenditures = income) 45o

17 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Aggregate Expenditures and the 45o Line
AE Equilibrium

18 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Disequilibrium
Income > Spending Undesired Inventory Build 45o Line AE Income < Spending Undesired Inventory Decline

19 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Autonomous Consumption Multiplier
Shift in AE - if autonomous consumption increases by $1, how much does national income increase by? National income increases by the Multiplier times the change in autonomous consumption

20 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Shift in Autonomous Consumption
Slope = MPC = 0.67 dC0 = ± 5 dY = ± 15

21 3. Simple Equilibrium Model Autonomous Consumption Multiplier
Spending = Income x Marginal Propensity to Consume

22 4. Add Investment to Model
I = I0 = Autonomous Investment Investment independent of the level of income AE = Consumption + Investment = C + I = C0 + MPC • Y + I0

23 4. Add Investment to Model Aggregate Expenditures
AE = C + I = C0 + MPC • Y + I0 AE = C + I C Slope = MPC I0 = 10 C0 = 10

24 4. Add Investment to Model Aggregate Expenditures and Equilibrium
45o Line AE = C + I Equilibrium C I0 = 10 C0 = 10

25 5. Add Government Spending to Model
G = G0 = Autonomous Government Spending Spending independent of the level of income AE = C + I + G = C0 + MPC • Y + I0 + G0

26 5. Add Government Spending Aggregate Expenditures with Equilibrium
45o Line Equilibrium AE = C + I + G C + I C G0 = 10 I0 = 10 C0 = 10

27 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier
Autonomous Spending: Spending that is independent of any other variable (e.g., income, prices, interest rate) C0 = Autonomous Consumption I0 = Autonomous Investment G0 = Autonomous Government Spending Autonomous (adj.) - self-governing

28 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier The Multiplier
1 - MPC If MPC = 0.9, Multiplier = 10 A $1 increase in autonomous spending leads to a $10 increase in national income If MPC = 0.8, Multiplier = 5 A $1 increase in autonomous spending leads to a $5 increase in national income

29 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier Change in Autonomous Spending
45o Line AE1 C AE0 D A B Change in Automous Spending = CD Change in National Income = AB Marginal Propensity to Consume = Slope = BD / AB

30 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier Graphical Derivation of Spending Multiplier
Multiplier = Change in National Income___ Change in Autonomous Spending = AB / CD = AB / (BC - BD) = AB / (AB - BD) where BC = AB for 45o triangle = (AB / AB)______ (AB / AB) - (BD / AB) = _____ 1 - (BD / AB) where MPC = BD / AB Multiplier = _ __ 1 - MPC

31 6. Autonomous Spending Multiplier Algebraic Derivation of Spending Multiplier
AE = C + I + G = C0 + MPC • Y + I0 + G0 In equilibrium: Y = AE Y = C0 + MPC • Y + I0 + G0 Y - MPC • Y = C0 + I0 + G0 (1 - MPC) • Y = C0 + I0 + G0 Y = ___1___ • (C0 + I0 + G0) 1 - MPC

32 Recessionary Gap Inflationary Gap Output Gap 7. Gaps
output in equilibrium less than full-employment output Inflationary Gap output in equilibrium greater than full-employment output Output Gap difference between actual output and full-employment output

33 7. Gaps Gaps and the Keynsian Cross
45o Line Inflationary Gap AE Full-employment Recessionary Gap Output Output Gap Output Gap

34 8. Government Fiscal Policy
Lump Sum Tax Lump Sum Tax Multiplier Balanced Budget Multiplier

35 8. Government Fiscal Policy Lump Sum Tax
Consumption = C0 + MPC • Yd Yd = disposable income = total income (Y) - lump sum tax (T0) Consumption = C0 + MPC • (Y - T0) = C0 + MPC • Y - MPC • T0 Multiplier = - MPC_ 1 - MPC

36 8. Government Fiscal Policy Derivation of Lump Sum Tax Multiplier
AE = C + I + G + NX AE = C0 + MPC • Y - MPC • T0 + I0 + G0 In equilibrium: Y = AE Therefore: Y = C0 + MPC • Y - MPC • T0 + I0 + G0 Y - MPC • Y = C0 - MPC • T0 + I0 + G0 (1 - MPC) • Y = (C0+ I0 + G0) - MPC • T0 Y = ___ • (C0+ I0 + G0) MPC_ • T0 1 - MPC MPC

37 8. Government Fiscal Policy Balanced Budget Multiplier


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