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Maine Economic & Demographic Trends By Galen Rose Economist Maine State Planning Office August 2005.

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Presentation on theme: "Maine Economic & Demographic Trends By Galen Rose Economist Maine State Planning Office August 2005."— Presentation transcript:

1 Maine Economic & Demographic Trends By Galen Rose Economist Maine State Planning Office August 2005

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5 Reasons for Maine’s slow Population Growth Average age is oldest of all US states (40.2 in 2003) Predominately white population (97%) Not a major immigration destination

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15 Employers in Waterville Micropolitan Area with 100 or More Employees, October to December, 2004 RankEmployerTownEmpl. RangeDescription 1MAINEGENERAL MEDICAL CTR AUGUSTAWATERVILLE1001-1200General medical and surgical hospitals 2L L BEAN INCWATERVILLE801-900Mail-order houses 3COLBY COLLEGEWATERVILLE601-700Colleges and universities 4WATERVILLE SCHOOL DEPTWATERVILLE401-450Elementary and secondary schools 5INLAND HOSPITALWATERVILLE401-450General medical and surgical hospitals 6HUHTAMAKI PACKAGINGWATERVILLE401-450All other converted paper product mfg. 7MESSALONSKEE HIGH SCHOOL ET ALOAKLAND301-350Elementary and secondary schools 8CARE & COMFORTWATERVILLE301-350Home health care services 9WAL MART ASSOCIATES INCWATERVILLE201-250Discount department stores 10MOUNT ST JOSEPH NURSING HOMEWATERVILLE201-250Nursing care facilities 11COLBY COLLEGE FOOD SERVICEWATERVILLE151-200Food service contractors 12ASSISTANCE PLUSWATERVILLE151-200Services for the elderly and disabled 13REHABWORKS LLCWATERVILLE151-200Offices of specialty therapists 14SHAWS SUPERMARKETS INCWATERVILLE151-200Supermarkets and other grocery stores 15COMPUTER SCIENCES CORPORATIONWINSLOW151-200Computer facilities management services 16BENTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOLBENTON101-150Elementary and secondary schools 17FORMTEK INCCLINTON101-150Other metalworking machinery manufacturing 18HANNAFORD BROS COWATERVILLE101-150Supermarkets and other grocery stores 19HOME DEPOT USA INCWATERVILLE101-150Home centers 20OAK GROVE NURSING CARE CENTERWATERVILLE101-150Nursing care facilities 21HANNAFORD BROS COWATERVILLE101-150Supermarkets and other grocery stores 22UNITED PARCEL SERVICEWATERVILLE101-150Couriers 23THOMAS COLLEGEWATERVILLE101-150Colleges and universities 24J C PENNEY CO INCWATERVILLE101-150Department stores, except discount 25HEALTH REACH NETWORKWATERVILLE101-150Home health care services 26MID STATE MACHINE PRODUCTS INCWINSLOW101-150Machine shops 27THULE TRAILERS INCWINSLOW101-150Travel trailer and camper manufacturing

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18 HISTORICAL GROWTH RANKINGS Population Growth 1990 – 2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 0.4%) Full & Part-Time Empl. Growth 1990-2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 1.2%) Taxable Ret. Sales Growth 1990-2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.5%) 1 York1.3%1 Waldo3.5% 1 Lincoln5.9% 2 Lincoln1.0%2 Knox2.7% 2 Waldo5.9% 3 Waldo 1.0%3 Lincoln2.6% 3 Hancock5.5% 4 Hancock1.0%4 Hancock2.5% 4 Cumberland5.5% 5 Cumberland0.9%5 Washington1.8% 5 York 5.4% 6 Knox0.8%6 Cumberland1.7% 6 Knox5.2% 7 Sagadahoc0.5%7 Somerset1.3% 7 Androscoggin4.4% 8 Oxford0.4%8 Androscoggin1.1% 8 Penobscot4.3% 9 Somerset0.2%9 York1.1% 9 Kennebec4.1% 10 Franklin0.1% 10 Oxford1.0% 10 Oxford4.0% 11 Kennebec0.1% 11 Penobscot0.9% 11 Piscataquis2.3% 12 Penobscot -0.1% 12 Franklin0.0% 12 Franklin1.9% 13 Androscoggin -0.2% 13 Kennebec0.3% 13 Sagadahoc1.4% 14 Washington -0.4% 14 Piscataquis0.2% 14 Aroostook1.2% 15 Piscataquis -0.8% 15 Sagadahoc -0.6% 15 Washington1.2% 16 Aroostook -1.6% 16 Aroostook -0.7% 16 Somerset0.8% Personal Income Growth 1990-2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.2%) Per Capita Income Growth 1990-2000 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 3.8%) 1 Waldo5.6%1 Waldo 4.6% 2 Knox5.1%2 Washington 4.3% 3 Cumberland4.8%3 Knox 4.2% 4 York4.7%4 Penobscot 4.1% 5 Hancock4.6%5 Piscataquis 4.0% 6 Lincoln4.1%6 Cumberland 3.9% 7 Penobscot3.9%7 Aroostook 3.8% 8 Oxford3.9%8 Androscoggin 3.8% 9 Washington3.8%9 Franklin 3.7% 10 Franklin3.8% 10 Hancock 3.7% 11 Sagadahoc3.7% 11 Oxford 3.5% 12 Somerset3.7% 12 Somerset 3.5% 13 Androscoggin3.6% 13 Kennebec 3.4% 14 Kennebec3.5% 14 York 3.3% 15 Piscataquis3.2% 15 Sagadahoc 3.3% 16 Aroostook2.1% 16 Lincoln 3.1%

19 FORECAST GROWTH RANKINGS Population Growth 2000 – 2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 0.5%) Full & Part-Time Empl. Growth 2000-2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 1.7%) Taxable Ret. Sales Growth 2000-2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 5.0%) 1 York1.0%1 Lincoln4.2% 1 Waldo6.2% 2 Hancock0.9%2 Hancock2.7% 2 Hancock6.1% 3 Waldo 0.8%3 Washington2.4% 3 Cumberland6.1% 4 Lincoln0.8%4 Cumberland2.3% 4 York5.9% 5 Knox0.7%5 Waldo2.3% 5 Sagadahoc 5.9% 6 Cumberland0.7%6 Knox2.2% 6 Lincoln5.8% 7 Sagadahoc0.5%7 Somerset1.7% 7 Knox5.7% 8 Oxford0.3%8 Kennebec1.3% 8 Oxford5.0% 9 Franklin0.3%9 Oxford1.3% 9 Kennebec4.5% 10 Somerset0.2% 10 York1.2% 10 Androscoggin3.4% 11 Kennebec0.2% 11 Penobscot1.2% 11 Penobscot3.3% 12 Penobscot 0.1% 12 Aroostook1.1% 12 Franklin2.5% 13 Androscoggin -0.0% 13 Franklin1.0% 13 Washington2.3% 14 Washington -0.2% 14 Androscoggin0.9% 14 Piscataquis2.1% 15 Aroostook -0.2% 15 Piscataquis 0.4% 15 Somerset1.9% 16 Piscataquis -0.5% 16 Sagadahoc -1.4% 16 Aroostook1.8% Personal Income Growth 2000-2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.9%) Per Capita Income Growth 2000-2010 Avg. Annual Rate (Maine = 4.4%) 1 Waldo6.2%1 Cumberland 5.3% 2 Cumberland61%2 Waldo 5.3% 3 Hancock6.1%3 Hancock 5.1% 4 Knox5.7%4 Penobscot 5.0% 5 Lincoln5.6%5 Knox 4.9% 6 York5.6%6 Lincoln 4.7% 7 Penobscot5.1%7 York 4.6% 8 Sagadahoc5.0%8 Sagadahoc 4.5% 9 Oxford4.6%9 Oxford 4.2% 10 Kennebec4.3% 10 Piscataquis 4.1% 11 Franklin3.9% 11 Kennebec 4.1% 12 Somerset3.8% 12 Aroostook 3.7% 13 Piscataquis3.5% 13 Franklin 3.6% 14 Aroostook3.5% 14 Somerset 3.6% 15 Androscoggin2.9% 15 Washington 3.0% 16 Washington2.9% 16 Androscoggin 3.0%


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