1. July 8, 2014 Webinar: Explore patterns in space and time with the Visualization Tool

2. Alyssa Rosemartin Assistant Director & IT Coordinator Erin Posthumus Outreach Associate Theresa Crimmins Partnerships and Outreach Coordinator Webinar Team

3. Phenology The science of the seasons Blooms and buds Hibernation, migration, emergence Easy to observe Photo credit: L. Barnett …it is the study of the timing of recurring plant and animal life- cycle stages, or phenophases, and their relationship to environmental conditions.

4. U NDERSTAND HOW SPECIES AND LANDSCAPES ARE RESPONDING TO CLIMATE CHANGE. Primary goal Create a standardized dataset for use in multiple types of research. Mission Make phenology data, models and related information available. Encourage people of all ages and backgrounds to observe and record phenology. USA National Phenology Network Photo credit: C. Enquist

5. Nature’s Notebook for scientists, naturalists, volunteers, land managers, park rangers, and YOU! Photo credit: L. Romano USA National Phenology Network Poll

6. Observing change over time I observed an unusual circumstance this spring on the foothill of Moscow Mountain, northern Idaho, elev. 3000‘. I have been monitoring the arrival of hummers for many years here--they range in arrival from early to late April. Usually the Calliope is first, followed by the Rufous. Over the last few years, the Rufous have been either arriving at the same time or before the Calliope. This year the two were nearly simultaneous on Apr. 23. About a week later I spotted the Black Chinned--usually not often seen, and never before late June/July (followed in late summer by the Broadtailed).

7. Structuring observations April 23, 2012

8. Models leaf budburst across the eastern U.S. under climate scenarios; by the end of the century, species like red maple will leaf out 17 days earlier. Develops more precise models for changes in ecosystem function in Alaska, accounting for the phenology of individual species, rather than estimating an average day of year across species. Cloned plants had a more consistent response to warming spring temperatures than natural populations Publications

9. SpeciesPhenophaseSpaceTimeClimate Dimensions Represented Poll

10. Questions – Map Interface 1.Where are most sites located? 2.Where is my site located? 3.Where are people observing Trillium? 4.Exploring the green wave, with spring warming in 2014

11. Questions – Map Interface 1.Where are most sites located? 2.Where is my site located?

12. Questions – Map Interface 3. Where are people observing Trillium? Photo credit: Paul Donahue

13. Questions – Map Interface 4. Exploring the green wave, with spring warming in 2014

14. Questions – Graph Interface 1.Comparing across scales: How does red maple phenology compare across: individual tree, site, state and region? 2.Management: When do Siberian elm (invasive) and Cottonwood (native) fruit? 3.Species Interactions: 1.Monarch and milkweed 2.White-winged doves and Saguaros

15. Questions – Graph Interface 1.Comparing across scales: How does red maple phenology compare across: individual tree, site, state and region?

16. Questions – Graph Interface 2. Management: When do Siberian elm (invasive) and Cottonwood (native) fruit? Photo credit: Erin Posthumus

17. Questions – Graph Interface 3. Species Interactions: Monarch and milkweed Photo credit: Marty Nevils Davis

18. Don’t get tripped up! 1.Lots of sites with no data Check plant and animal leaderboards, to see which species have a good amount of data On the tool, filter by species first 2.Species box – filters just limit species list, you can’t limit data by partner (yet) 3.Long loading time, especially with climate data

19. Other tricks 1.Multiple site selection is key for looking at regional patterns 2.Plot data, and then change location in the graph tool to compare regions or years 3.Use direct URL to share your findings: http://www.usanpn.org/files/viz/index.html

20. What places, species or phenophases would you like to explore? Poll – more mapping or graphing?

21. What is this tool good for? 1.Seeing which species and locations are data-rich 2.Finding potential patterns for example, relationships between climate and phenology 3.Answering straightforward questions for example, did my poppies flower earlier or later this year than last year?

22. What is this tool NOT good for? 1.Conclusively showing a relationship between two species Negative data is not completely taken into account (yeses override no’s in the graph if both are present for day/site/species) Animals are more likely to be seen if people spent longer looking for them, this is not accounted for in the tool Statistical tests (comparison of means, correlations) not available 2.Conclusively showing a relationship between climate variables and phenology

23. Resources 1.Videos: http://www.usanpn.org/nn/connect/visualizations http://www.usanpn.org/nn/connect/visualizations 2.Tutorial: https://www.usanpn.org/data/viz-tutorial https://www.usanpn.org/data/viz-tutorial 3.Training slides: https://www.usanpn.org/files/shared/files/VizToolTra ining.pdf https://www.usanpn.org/files/shared/files/VizToolTra ining.pdf

24. Upcoming webinars:  Tuesday, September 2, 2014: Special for Local Phenology Leaders: Partner showcase: Learn how other groups are using Nature's Notebook  Tuesday, September 23, 2014 Gaining 100% confidence in intensity estimates Mark your calendars… www.usanpn.org/nn/connect/Webinars2014

25. Thank you! Alyssa Rosemartin alyssa@usanpn.org You’re invited to connect with USA-NPN… Join the phenology community of practice, for research, education or management. Use NPN protocols, tools or data to advance your mission. Sign up for our quarterly newsletter.

26. Questions – Graph Interface 1.White-winged doves and Saguaros

27. Questions – Graph Interface Acorns on Valley Oaks

28. STATIC DEMO SLIDES

29. Comparing regionally

30. Precipitation: 1981-2010 Normals

31. Precipitation: 2010 Actuals

32. Precipitation: 2011 Actuals

33. Precipitation: 2012 Actuals

34. Selecting species to explore

38. Comparing regionally

39. Comparing years for one species

40. Comparing individual plants in 2013

41. Comparing species in 2012

43. Leafing in quaking aspen (2010-12)

45. Comparing Trillium West to East (2012)

46. Siberian Elm and Cottonwood fruiting

47. Monarch and two milkweed species

48. Saguaro and White-winged Dove

49. Three years of Valley Oak phenology in So Cal

50. Comparing Trillium West to East (2012)