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International finance 120181-1165 The international monetary system
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International finance 120181-1165 Lecture outline The notion and the functions of the IMS Gold standard system The gold bullion standard The Bretton Woods system
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International finance 120181-1165 IMS definition A set of rules, procedures, instruments and institutions which are necessary to settle international payments Source: A. Budnikowski, Międzynarodowe stosunki gospodarcze, PWE, Warszawa 2006.
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International finance 120181-1165 The reasons for the creation of IMS The necessity of international economic cooperation The efficiency of the international payment system Facilitation of international trade Facilitation of international capital flow
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International finance 120181-1165 IMS functions Ensuring international money supply Ensuring international liquidity Ensuring a global payment equilibrium Creating a framework for the national economic policy Contributing to international economic stabilisation
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International finance 120181-1165 International money Unit of account Medium of exchange Store of value
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International finance 120181-1165 International money L. Oręziak, Euro nowy pieniądz, PWN, Warszawa 2002. Private transactions Official transactionsFunction Price quotationReference currencyUnit of account Transaction currencyIntervention currency Medium of exchange Investment currencyReserve currencyStore of value
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International finance 120181-1165 International money Criteria Large share in global exports Credibility concerning the value of the currency A well developed financial market
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International finance 120181-1165 International money Main international currencies USD, EUR, JPY Transaction function USD 84%, EUR 39%, JPY 19% Reference function USD- 69 państw, EUR- 40 państw Reserve currency USD 63,9% EUR 26,5%, GBP 4,7% Source: BIS, IMF
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International finance 120181-1165 International liquidity A stock of assets enabling settling international payments An appropriate level and quality of reserves Reserves- assets held by the monetary authority, which may serve to reinstate the external equilibrium
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International finance 120181-1165 International liquidity Reserves types Foreign currency Gold SDR (special drawing rights)
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International finance 120181-1165 Reserves structure (bln USD) Source: IMF
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International finance 120181-1165 Global payment equilibrium Tools enabling balance of payments adjustments Automatic mechanisms Adjustment policy
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International finance 120181-1165 Global payment equilibrium BP surplus China 296 bln USD, Germany 131 bln USD, Japan 110 bln USD BP deficit USA, -380 bln USD, Spain -70 bln USD Source: IMF
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International finance 120181-1165 Framework for the national economic policy External and internal equlibrium IMF Measures to reinstate the BP equilibrium
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International finance 120181-1165 Stabilisation of the international economy ER volatility Various ER regimes The role of reserves
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International finance 120181-1165 Currency convertibility The legaly established possibility to convert freely the national currency for any foreign currency and vice versa at a single ER
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International finance 120181-1165 Currency convertibility Internal convertibility External convertibility Unlimited convertibility
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold standard 1870-1914 Creation of the world economy the necessity to create an IMS The main goal- maintaining the external equilibrium
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold standard Main rules: Fixed ER at the level of the mutual gold parity of two currencies The amount of money in circulation strictly depends on the stock of gold reserves BP imbalances adjusted through gold flows
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold standard The mechanism: BP deficit outflow of gold reserves decrease of money supply decrease of national prices increase of exports, decrease of imports BP equilibrium reinstated
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold standard Fast BP adjustments + Low ER volatility + Scarce set of measures enabling the reinstatement equilibrium - The internal equilibrium subordinated to the external eqilbrium - Deficit countries bear the burden of adjustments -
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold bullion standard 1918-1939 No convertibilty of money to gold Gold served the purpose of equilbrium adjustments
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International finance 120181-1165 The gold bullion standard Great depression 30-ties Protectionism Economic desintegration
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system 1944-1971 Endavour to reconcile the external and internal equilibrium IMF and World Bank
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system Rules: Fixed ER versus USD Fixed price of gold in USD Official foreign reserves- gold and USD
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system IMF The possibility to adjust ER Member quotas Loans
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system Currency convertibility Liberalisation of capital flow Growing economic integration Speculative capital flows
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system The problem of the US external equilibrium The necessity to hold large gold reserves The credibility problem
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system Fiscal expansion in the USA inflation terms of trade deterioration BP deterioration Expansionary monetary policy of the FED Speculation on USD depreciation A two-level gold market
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International finance 120181-1165 The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system 1970- recession in the USA the necessity to devalue USD 1971- suspension of USD convertibilty to gold Revaluation of the other currencies The Smithonian agreement
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International finance 120181-1165 The breakdown of the Bretton Woods system Intensive speculative attacks on USD The necessity to close the currency market Floating ER
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system- an assessment Stabilisation throughout 20 years International money supply ensured ER stability ensured
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International finance 120181-1165 The Bretton Woods system- an assessment Insufficient international liquidity The internal equilibrium subordinated to the external eqilbrium Changing economic environment
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International finance 120181-1165 After Bretton Woods Floating ER- Kingston 1976 Expanded international liquidity The foundations of the contemporary IMS
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International finance 120181-1165 Summing up IMS functions IMS evolution The Bretton Woods system rules The reasons for the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system
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International finance 120181-1165 References P. Krugman, M.Obstfeld, International economics: theory and policy., Pearson, Addison Wesley, Boston 2009 E. Truman, The International Monetary System and Global Imbalances, IMF conference paper 2010 P. Clark, J. Polak, International liquidity and the role of SDR in the International Monetary System, IMF Working Paper, 2002 A. Kester, International reserves and foreign currency liquidity, IMF, 2001
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