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MacroEconomics of Quality
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Issues + Why Estimate Cost of Quality Failures? + Quality Costs are Far Greater than Those that are Readily Identifiable (Iceberg Principle) + Gains to be Made if Cut Measured Quality Losses in Half + How to Reduce Quality Losses uRule of “Tens” uEradicate Killer Re’s uPlay Offense (Prevention) vs. Defense (Detection) + Sound Quality Practices
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Why Estimate Cost of Quality Failures + Quantify the Cost of Quality Failures for the Business uIdentify magnitude of potential savings uSensitize Management to the size of the opportunity uHelp to re-expose problems we have learned to tolerate + Identify the Highest Loss Areas + Permit Prioritizing the Loss Areas for Corrective Action
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Economics of Quality: TCE Statistics 1994 + TV Units Sold5 million + Estimated Revenues$2.5 billion (5 x $500 per set) + Estimated Earnings$125 million (5% of Sales)
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+Scrap (Measured)$12 million +Total Cost of Quality$72 - 600 million (Measured & Hidden) +Cost of Scrap per TV(12/5)$2.40 per unit +Total Cost of Quality$14.40 - $120 (M+H) per TV Sold (6/1 to 50/1 Iceberg) +% Total Cost of Quality3% - 24% per TV/Selling Price (14.40/500 -120/500) +# Defects per TV? Economics of Quality: TCE Statistics 1994
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Economics of Quality: STB Systems Statistics 1998 4 Units Sold6 million 4 Estimated Revenues$300 million (6 x $50 per unit) 4 Estimated Net Earnings$16.2 million (5.4% of Sales)
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Average 4 Scrap (Measured)$ 1.875 million $1.875 4 Total Cost of Quality$11.25-93.75 million $52.5 (Measured & Hidden) Cost of Scrap per Unit$.3125 per unit $.3125 (1.875/6) 4 Total Cost of Quality $1.875 - $15.625 $8.75 (M+H) per Unit Sold (6/1 to 50/1 Iceberg) 4 % Total Cost of Quality3.75% -31.25% 17.5% per Unit/Selling Price (1.875/50-15.625/50) 4 # Defects per Unit???
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Cost of Quality Failures
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ICEBERG PHENOMENON Direct/Measured Costs: Scrap/Rework Service Calls Service Calls Warranties/Concessions Warranties/Concessions Indirect/Hidden Costs: Excess Inventory Excess Inventory Overtime Overtime Reputation/Image Reputation/Image Hidden Costs = 6 to 50 times Measured Costs
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Cost of Quality Failures Worksheet FAILURE COST CATEGORIESESTIMATED ANNUAL COSTS $(000) MEASURED COST OF QUALITY +Internal uWaste, Scrap____________________ uRework____________________ uReinspect____________________ +External uWarranties____________________ uGuarantees____________________ uConcessions____________________ TOTAL MEASURED__________________
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HIDDEN COST OF QUALITY + Internal uTroubleshooting and failure analysis__________________ uEvaluation to determine usability of off specification material__________________ uEngineering changes, redesign, buy-offs__________________ uCosts of reviewing quality problems (i.e.,replanning, meetings, expediting, firefighting, reports, etc.)__________________ uInventory costs on held material__________________ uOvertime because of quality problems __________________ uLate shipment premiums (delayed collections)__________________ uMaterial handling__________________ uTool & fixture redesign__________________ uMachine wear__________________ uFringe benefits on labor__________________ uLoss of productivity due to rework, scrap__________________
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HIDDEN COST OF QUALITY + External uLoss of market share due to poor quality reputation____ uLoss of profitability____ uLoss of bond credit rating____ uOther ___________________________________________________ ______________________________________________ Total Hidden ____ Grand Total ____
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WHAT IF ??? We could cut losses in half? 1/2 x $12,000,000 …………………......$6,000,000 If ICEBERG is between 6/1 to50/1……$36,000,000 to $300,000,000 Total TCE net earnings in 1994 were?
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WHAT IF??? 4 We could cut losses in half? 4 1/2 x $1,875,000$937,500 4 IF ICEBERG is between 6/1 to 50/1 $5,625,000 to $46,876,000 4 Total STB Systems net earnings for 1998 estimated to be $26,250,000 $16.2 million
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Economics of Quality: STB Systems Statistics (1997 vs. 1998) 19971998 Sales$190 million$300 million Net Earnings (Income) $10.26 million$16.20 million (5.4% of Sales) COQ as of % of Sales10 - 25% COQ ($)$19 - 47.5 million$30 - 75 million What if COQ cut in half?$9.5 - 23.75 million$15 - 37.55 million (Savings)($16.63 million)($26.25 million) Net Income with Savings $26.89 million$42.45 million
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How to Reduce Quality Losses + Rule of “Tens” + Eradicate Killer Re’s…Waste + Play Offense (Prevention) vs. Defense (Detection)
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RULE OF “TENS” Not doing it right the first time costs ten times as much to find and fix each time errors escape to a subsequent stage of handling. $1 Design Effort =$10 Production Cost =$100 Assy/Test Cost =$1000 Field Cost
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The Killer Re’s
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Computing Cost of Quality Internal Failure 4 Scrap 4 Rework 4 Scrap/Rework - Supplier Appraisal 4 Inspection 4 Test 4 Quality audits 4 Test equipment - initial cost & maintenance External Failure 4 Cost to customer 4 Warranty costs 4 Complaint adjustments 4 Returned material Prevention 4 Quality planning 4 Process planning 4 Process control 4 Training Note: The listed categories provides an understanding of the COQ structure. In general, COQ is comprised of costs due to failure, appraisal, and prevention.
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The Enlightened Perspective Quality Internal & External Failure Appraisal & Prevention 44 55 66 Old Belief New Belief
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Sound Quality Practices + Operational Definitions and Standards (Metrics) + Manage by Fact u“In God we trust. But everyone else must bring data!” uWithout good data, everyone is an expert + Focus on Process (Offense) vs Product Results (Defense) + Reduce Variation
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Questions?
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