1. Accession and Promotion
Planning Overview
CAPT Julie McNally
Medical Department & Nurse Corps OCM
14 Nov 2012

2. Officer Accession Planning
Demand Signal
End Strength & Fiscal Controls
Source Factors for Accession Planning:
“Locked”: USNA, NROTC, STA-21, MM, OCS SWO (N)
“Flexible”: OCS and Direct Accessions (DA)
Fleet
Requirements
N10
Planners
OPA
Approves Plan N1
OCM
Input
N13
Accession
Plan
Projected Yield to Planner
USNA
NROTC STA21
OCS
MMR, IST, Recalls, Directs
Community Factors
Other
Sources

3. The Balancing of Accessions: How we get there…
Requirements
What do we need?
Each OCM conducts in depth analysis and presents a defense for accession need
Influences
CNP Direction
Community sponsor input
What is the trade space? (LOCKED VICE FLEXIBLE)
Stated need applied against guidance & fiscal constraints
Start with a number (4150) and work backwards by determining what areas can be affected
not “locked” or constrained by CNP policy, OCS contracts, multi-year training pipelines
Multiple Courses of Action are developed and briefed

4. “Locked” Accession Sources
USNA output programmed 4 years prior.
NROTC similar, but with some flexibility with College Program and 2 year scholarships.
STA-21 programmed 3 years in advance.
Thus, OCS (DA & BDCP) is used as a “throttle” to cover shortfalls in other programs. One of the few Direct Accession sources that can be cut within the FY.

5. Accession Source Constraints
Roughly 87% of the FY13 accession quotas are constrained by prior planning
FY14-FY16 ~ 60% constrained against total of 4000
Accession Tradespace is Limited in the Months Prior to Execution

6. Excerpt - FY 13 Accession Plan
Yellow indicates “Locked” Accession sources

7. Officer Promotion Basics
Promotions are a function of:
Requirements
Defined by Officer Programmed Authorizations (OPA)
Includes both designator discrete and non discrete 1000/1020/1050 OPA
Vacancies
Promotions, Retirements, Resig’s, Lat Transfers
Legal limits
DOPMA Grade Table - Limits the number of CAPTs, CDRs, & LCDRs based on total officer strength

8. Legal Limits Grade LAW DoD Navy OPP FLOW OPP FLOW OPP FLOW CAPT CDR
(Title 10 §623)
OPP FLOW
DoD
(DODINST )
OPP FLOW
Navy
(SECNAVINST B)
OPP FLOW
CAPT
CDR
LCDR LT
LTJG
“Relatively similar opportunity for promotion in each of the next five years”
50% yrs
70% yrs
80% yrs
AFQ yrs
AFQ yrs
40-60% yrs
60-80% yrs
70-90% yrs
AFQ yrs
AFQ yrs

9. Promotion Basics
Flowpoint: Average years of service when a due course officer is promoted to the next grade
Opportunity: the in-zone possibility of selection
Selection Rate: Percentage of all officers selected for promotion
Selections (AZ + IZ + BZ)
Total Officers in Zone
Max below zone - 10% (statutory limit)
No above zone limits (by law or policy)
All officers on the Active Duty List are considered
= Selection Rate

10. 50 Selections for Promotion
Promotion Basics
Start with FY beginning inventory
Add gains (lateral transfer, accessions)
Subtract losses (retire, resign, lateral transfer etc.)
Compare total against FY Authorized Strength
If total < Auth Strength, select the difference
If total > Auth Strength, no selections
Auth Strength
Sum
Difference
50 Selections for Promotion
Begin INV 600
Gains
Losses
Sum = 550

11. Promotion Basics Example - If 50 is the fixed number of promotions...
Zone size = #Promotions  Percent Opportunity
125 =  %
100 =  %
83 =  %
Opportunity, Zone Size, and Flowpoint are all related
Higher OPPORTUNITY means smaller ZONES, which means longer (increased) FLOWPOINT
Larger zones will increase the FOS rate

12. Questions/ Discussion