1. Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast: 2012 Update January 6, 2011 Governor’s Advisory Commission on Coastal Protection and Restoration Kirk Rhinehart - OCPR

2. Overview of 2012 Master Plan Update 2

3. Coastal Louisiana is Facing a Crisis

4. Builds on Other Efforts 4

5. Uses Original 2007 Master Plan Science- based Objectives as Foundation 1.Reduce economic losses from storm-based flooding 2.Promote a sustainable coastal ecosystem by harnessing natural system processes 3.Provide habitats suitable to support an array of commercial and recreational activities coast-wide 4.Sustain Louisiana’s unique heritage and culture

6. More than Concepts and Broad Strategies – An Implementation Plan with Expected Outcomes 6

7. Elements of 2012 Master Plan with Building Blocks for Other Efforts

8. Specific & Realistic Goals & Objectives Prioritized Project List Map showing the selected projects and what they provide: Levels of protection Levels of ecosystem services across the coast Extent and character of future landscape Detailed Implementation plan with: Schedule, Costs, Expected sources of funding An Adaptive Management plan to guide implementation Key Components of 2012 Update 8

9. Project Team & Collaborative Effort 9

10. Master Plan Delivery Team 10 Coastal ScientistsPlannersEngineersSocial Scientists

11. Review and Coordination Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Master Plan Delivery Team Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority

12. Project-Effects Models Steve Ashby, USACE Eng. Res. Dev. Center John Callaway, University of San Francisco Fred Sklar, South Florida Water Mgmt. District Si Simenstad, University of Washington Prioritization Tool TAC John Boland, John Hopkins Ben Hobbs, John Hopkins Len Shabman, Virginia Tech Cultural Heritage TAC Don Davis, Louisiana State University Carl Brasseaux, University of Louisiana Lafayette Maida Owens, LA Dept. of Cultural, Recreation, Tourism Technical Advisory Committee Members 12

13. Review and Coordination Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Master Plan Delivery Team Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Modeling Workgroups

14. Project - Effects ModelsTeam Leader Eco-hydrologyDr. Ehab Meselhe, ULL + 9 members VegetationDr. Jenneke Visser, ULL + 8 members Wetland MorphologyDr. Greg Steyer, USGS + 6 members Barrier Island MorphologyDr. Mark Kulp, UNO + 6 members Upper Trophic LevelDr. Andy Nyman, LSU + 8 members Storm SurgeDr. Joe Suhayda/Arcadis, + 3 members Storm Damage/RiskDr. Jordan Fischbach, RAND + 7 members Project - Effects Models Team Members 14 Over 60 Team Members, Support Staff, and Technical Advisory Committee Members

15. Review and Coordination Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Master Plan Delivery Team Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Modeling Workgroups

16. Ecosystem Science / Coastal Ecology William Dennison, University of Maryland Mark Brinson, East Carolina University Ed Houde, University of Maryland Engineering Robert Dalrymple, Johns Hopkins University Jos Dijkman, Deltares Geosciences Charles Groat, University of Texas at Austin Social Science and Risk Greg Baecher, University of Maryland Philip Berke, University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill Climate Change Virginia Burkett, U.S. Geological Survey National Science and Engineering Board - Independent Technical Review 16

17. Review and Coordination Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Master Plan Delivery Team Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Framework Development Team (FDT) Stakeholders Modeling Workgroups

18. Framework Development Team- Over 30 Federal, State, NGO, Academic, Community, and Industry Organizations 18

19. Framework Development Team as Key Consultative Group Represent broad range of interests Ports and Navigation Fisheries and Restoration Oil and Gas Focal point for communications Local Outreach Political and PR Strategies Coastal Louisiana Website Communication & Outreach Elements of Framework Development Team

20. Review and Coordination Project Effects Models Technical Advisory Committee Prioritization Tool Technical Advisory Committee Master Plan Delivery Team Cultural Heritage Technical Advisory Committee CPRA Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority Gulf Recovery Plan Other Federal Programs Science & Engineering Board (MP-SEB) Framework Development Team (FDT) Stakeholders Modeling Workgroups

21. Restoration and Protection Vision

22. Realistic expectations for protection and restoration What we want to achieve not what we want to do Confront trade-offs upfront Provide an expectation of future conditions Why a Vision? 22

23. Support of navigation and commercial activities Protection for major population centers, strategic assets, and historic properties at varying levels A coastwide emphasis on non-structural protection, especially in outlying communities Maximum use of river resources and natural processes, and management of estuarine gradients to provide ecosystem services Strategic use of dredging/placement of sediment to bolster ‘skeleton’ of the system Preliminary Vision – Key Aspects 23

24. Unless We Act, the Future is Bleak 24

25. Vision – Strategic Assets

26. Approach – Identify ports of national significance as strategic assets to be protected Account for effects of protection and restoration projects on navigation and ports Coordinate with the USACE, DOTD and navigation interests to integrate coastwide port and navigation strategy and targets in future Coastal Louisiana Master Planning Incorporation of Ports and Navigation into Master Plan Process 26

27. Levels of Protection 27 Both Structural and Non-structural >100-Year Level of Protection 100-Year Level of Protection 50-Year Level of Protection 25-Year Level of Protection `No Additional Protection Provided

28. Restoration Vision: Ecosystem Services 28 Agricultural/aquaculture production Oyster harvest Saltwater fisheries harvest Carbon/nutrient uptake Ecotourism Shoreline recreation Surge/wave attenuation Shrimp harvest Freshwater-dependent services

29. Prioritization Tool 29

30. Planning Framework Guides Investments Towards a Sustainable Future 30 How do we get there? What should we do now? How can we adapt to evolving uncertainties and improved information? What tradeoffs remain? A sustainable future -Sustainable coastline & ecosystems -Resilient communities and assets -Long-term cost savings through strategic investments Future without action -Severe land loss -Increasing hurricane flood risk -Loss of ecosystem services -Loss of cultural heritage -Reactive expenditures

31. Key Steps: 1.Define a future vision for the coast 2.Estimate individual project effects on the coast 3.Compare individual projects 4.Construct feasible project portfolios 5.Select robust project portfolios 6.Consider trade-offs among robust portfolios 7.Define implementation strategy 8.Examine expected outcomes Prioritization Process 31

32. Maps showing ranges of Master Plan outcomes Levels of flood protection Levels of ecosystem services Extent and character of landscape An adaptive management plan to guide implementation Maps of near-term projects Maps of potential future project Schedule Costs Expected sources of funding 2012 Master Plan Outputs

33. Any Questions? 33