1. University of Colorado at Boulder Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU- Boulder Lou McClelland CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis June 2006 L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCkIR@colorado.edu

2. University of Colorado at Boulder The index predicts outcomes at CU- Boulder  The higher the index  The higher the 6-year graduation rate  The higher the 4-year graduation rate  The higher the one-year retention rate  The faster students graduate  For CU-Boulder full-time first-time freshmen entering fall 1997, ’98, ’99  All analyses use the “old” index calculation – Before the Oct 2003 revisions

3. University of Colorado at Boulder The basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen  The same relationships hold for  Colorado residents and out-of-state freshmen  Male and female freshmen  Minority freshmen  African-American, Hispanic/Latino, and Native American freshmen combined

4. University of Colorado at Boulder The following plots demonstrate the relationship  Each plot shows  A different outcome measure  For the 12,919 entering freshmen divided into deciles on index  Outcome measures plotted  6- and 4-year graduation rates  Retention to second fall  Average number of elapsed terms to graduation

5. University of Colorado at Boulder The plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups  Black dots show results for all freshmen  Blue: Residents and Non-residents  Red: Males and Females  Green: Minority and BHN – Black-Hispanic- Native American  Each point plotted is based on at least 40 entering freshmen; 90% are based on 100 or more freshmen

6. University of Colorado at Boulder

10. The index predicts outcomes at CU- Boulder  Index also predicts first-year GPA’s at CU-Boulder  Within CU-Boulder, HS GPA is by far the strongest single predictor of outcomes.  Test scores only add a small bit of predictive power  Past CCHE work says that the index predicts outcomes within and across other schools as well L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCkIR@colorado.edu