1. THE MESSAGE: GRADUATE! Presenter: Debora Williams, Special Assistant Graduation and Dropout Prevention Initiatives NC Department of Public Instruction

2. Do You Know?

3. The number of students dropping out of school annually in U.S.

4. The answer is….

5. Do You Know? The number of students dropping out of school each day in the U.S.

6. The answer is …

7. Do You Know? The number of students in North Carolina who dropped out of school in 2011

8. The answer is …

9. AND…..

10. Session Objectives Discuss Why Students Dropout of School Identifying Students At-Risk of Dropping Out How You Can Help Opportunities to Collaborate

11. Approximately 15% of the nation’s high schools produce more than half of its dropouts and close to 75% of its minority dropouts. Half of these schools are found primarily in the cities of the North, Midwest, and West. The other half are found throughout the South and Southwest in urban, suburban, and rural areas. -Everyone Graduates Center http://new.every1graduates.org/locating-the-dropout-crisis-full-repor/

12. Table Talk

13. Why Students Drop Out School Related Issues Job Related Issues Family Related Issues Other Reasons

14. GRADUATION RESILIENCY

15. P URPOSE OF G RADUATION R ESILIENCY To facilitate an early warning system with research-based risk factors for identifying students who may be at risk of dropping out of school.

16. R ESEARCH - BASED R ISK F ACTORS On-track Credits An on-track student has accumulated the requisite number of credits to move to the next grade level. An on-track student has no more than one semester “F” in a core subject. (Allensworth, 2009)

17. R ESEARCH - BASED R ISK F ACTORS Attendance Eight times more predictive of failure than prior test scores. A student who has more than 5 absences in one semester of the 9 th grade year has a 63% chance of graduating in four years. (Allensworth, 2009)

18. R ESEARCH - BASED R ISK F ACTORS GPA Students with a “B” (3.0) average or higher in the first year have better than a 93% chance of graduating; students with a D+/C- (1.0-2.5 GPA) average have a 53-92% chance of graduating; students with less than a “D” average (1.0) have less than a 6% chance of graduating. (Allensworth, 2009)

19. R ELEVANT NCWISE D ATA Attendance data, both current and historical State assessment achievement level data Final marks for all middle school/high school courses Most recently calculated GPA (calculated at year-end for grades 9-12) Student name, pupil number, birth date, ninth-grade entry date

20. Report Organization There are 4 available reports A ninth grade report, to be run at the start of ninth grade, considering the previous 3 years A tenth grade report, to be run at the start of tenth grade, considering ninth grade data An eleventh grade report, to be run at the start of eleventh grade, considering tenth grade data An twelfth grade report, to be run at the start of twelfth grade, considering eleventh grade data

21. Information Source All report data is historical. Only attendance data is updated after the start of school year. Reports are run at the start of the school year. Reports consider data from previous years. Ninth grade report considers student data from grades 6, 7, and 8. Tenth, eleventh, and twelfth grade report considers the data from the previous school year only.

22. Ninth Grade Risk Criteria Final grade for standard required Math course (grades 6,7,8) < C Final grade for standard required English course (grades 6,7,8) < C Total daily absences, in any one school year, exceed 5 daily absences

23. Tenth/Eleventh/Twelfth Grade Risk Criteria GPA < 2.0 Total daily absences exceed 5 daily absences Achievement Level of I or II for EOCs English I Algebra I Biology Failure to achieve an expected level of course credits after each year in high school At beginning of grade 10, less than 5 earned credits At beginning of grade 11, less than 10 earned credits At beginning of grade 12, less than 15 earned credits

24. Report Details All reports are school level reports Each report only contains students “at risk” for dropout Each student has only one record in the report Each column of the report represents a potential dropout risk factor

25. Ninth Grade Sample Report SCHOOL NAME PUPIL # 9th Grade Entry Date BIRTH_ DATE STUDENT Name SIXth _Grd ABS SEVN Grd ABS EIGHT Grd ABS SIXth Grd ENGL SEVN Grd ENGL EIGHT Grd ENGL SIXth Grd MATH SEVN Grd MATH EIGHT Grd MATH RISK NC WISE HS17/1/20106/30/1995Student1285C+DFD-FD0.67 NC WISE HS27/1/20117/12/1996Student214328no dataCF80CD-0.5 NC WISE HS37/1/20119/20/1996Student31660no dataBA-no dataB-A-0.29 NC WISE HS47/1/20108/29/1993Student4no data618no data F PF0.8 NC WISE HS57/1/20104/10/1995Student5924no dataD F 1 NC WISE HS67/1/20108/18/1995Student6355C+DFCFD0.44 NC WISE HS77/1/20113/20/1996Student71413AC-B-AC-C0.33 NC WISE HS87/1/20102/20/1995Student85913C-B-FC+B-D0.56 NC WISE HS97/1/20118/23/1996Student9766ACDCCC0.44 NC WISE HS107/1/20112/18/1996Student10no data97 9492no data94920.33

26. Ninth Grade Sample Report SCHO OL NAM E PUP IL# 9th Grade Entry Date BIRTH_ DATE STUDT Name 6 th Grd ABS 7th Grd ABS 8th th Grd ABS 6th Grd ENG L 7th Grd ENGL 8T Grd ENGL 6th Grd MAT H 7th Grd MATH 8th Grd MAT H RISK NC WISE HS 17/1/20106/30/95Studt1285C+DFD-FD0.67 NC WISE HS 27/1/20117/12/96Studt214328ndCF80CD-0.5 NC WISE HS 37/1/20119/20/96Studt31660ndBA-ndB-A-0.29 NC WISE HS 47/1/20108/29/93Studt4 no data 618nd F PF0.8 NC WISE HS 57/1/20104/10/95Studt5924ndD F 1

27. Next Step? Your Role?

28. Recommendations District and/or School-based Action Team Scheduled data review Design appropriate interventions Monitor results

29. This Presentation Will Be Posted The Message: Graduate! Graduation Resiliency http://dpi.state.nc.us/graduate/

30. Third Annual Town Hall Meeting on Graduation and Dropout Prevention 2013 Collaborative Conference on Student Achievement March 25-27 Sheraton Four Seasons/Koury Convention Center Greensboro For More Information, Visit http://dpi.state.nc.us/academicservices/conference/

31. Contact Debora Williams, Special Assistant Graduation Initiatives (919) 807-3912 debora.williams@dpi.nc.gov