Presentation on theme: "A New Model For Solar Manufacturing Roger G. Little Spire Corporation."— Presentation transcript:
A New Model For Solar Manufacturing Roger G. Little Spire Corporation
USA to become the worlds largest solar energy market. - SolarPlaza April 1, 2009 Opportunity
US Market Drivers ARRA to jump start the market. Utility arrays growing in size to 100 MW + State incentives being implemented. ---250GW in 10 years. RPS 40 statesNational? FIT Emerging. FTC extended 8 years. Job creation goal.
America Reinvestment and Recovery Act – ARRA PV systems receive 30% grant. PV manufacturing investments receive 30% tax credit. State initiatives available Can double dip. ITC also available. Focus on America job creation.
ARRA Supports Increased Manufacturing Buy American factory equipment requirement. Tax Credits – 30% of investment. Available to expanding US companies. Foreign firms entitled for factories built in US with US equipment.
State PV Opportunities by 2011 Total Cumulative = 4.4 GW MW Barclay Capital Solar Energy, Feb. 4, 2009
US Market Projections GW Solarbuzz/Prometheus/Lazard - 2009
xSi Will Dominate Si poly costs down to $60/kg. Means lower cost of modules. xSi high efficiency drives down cost. xSi demonstrates 20 year life span. PPA Market will demand xSi. Manufacturing scales easily. Distributed manufacturing is cost effective.
US PV Manufacturing MW -- Current & Announced 20082009201020112012 Solarworld100 Sharp100 Schott15 Evergreen1790 GE35? BP50 ? Sunwize25 Annual34290190 Cumulative342432622
US xSi Distributed Module Manufacturing Modules assembled from solar cells. Module assembly is relatively standard. IP is retained in the cell. Modest levels of production are cost effective. Cost savings achieved through shipping & handling and inventory reduction. Local markets are stimulated. Local jobs are created.
USA Manufacturing Opportunity 50 MW/year production lines Production shortfall 2.5 GW 50 factories each 50 MW/year One per state? Use state + ARRA subsidies.
Module Cost Assumptions 50 MW/year production. Automated assembly line. 219 Watt module. 15.5% cell. Cell cost = $1.80/Watt. 7 year depreciation. Factory 20K ft 2 at $10/ft 2 /yr. Investment line + building = $20M
Non-Cell Module Cost $0.54/w Added Cost to Cell
DOE – Critical Mandate To ensure accountability, the Department of Energy will provide guidance to and require grant recipients to report on the number of jobs created or retained, energy saved, renewable energy capacity installed, greenhouse gas emissions reduced and funds leveraged. Funding Agencies Creating Critical Feedback
Quick Overview of Stimulus Estimates Previously, State and Federal Monies were NOT allowed to Overlap (compounded). The NEW ARRA allows for State and Federal Incentives to be INDEPENDENT factors. helps assure Customers benefit with accelerated 50% depreciation. American based Customers have an opportunity: LARGE Portions of Capital Investment PAID FOR!!!!!!!!! If done correctly…subsidies and allowed accelerated Depreciation pays for Factory/Equipment capital cost
ARRA PV System Grants ARRA supports extensive PV system expansion. Buy American systems requirement. Applicants receive 30% rebate on system costs when placed in service. Project must begin by 12/31.2010 and be complete by 1/1/2017.
US xSi Module Capacity - MW BP – No more US manufacturing. Sharp – Expanding. GE – Downsizing. Solar World – Expanding.