1. FUTURE Vaughn Nelson Conservation and energy efficiency Renewable energy Carbon trading National Renewable Portfolio Standard US Goal: 20% of electric from wind by 2030, www.20percentwind.org

2. FUTURE WIND 2020, World Wind 580,000 MW 2015, Texas22,000 MW WIND FARM DEVELOPMENT 1.LAND with good to excellent winds 2.ACCESS to transmission lines (proximity and carrying capacity) 3.CONTRACT to sell energy (Incentives, penalties, public education)

3. TEXAS PREDICTION

4. ELECTRIC GENERATION, MW 20092030 20% WIND Texas 101,00025,000 New Mexico7,2002,500 Oklahoma20,0006,000 In general, windy areas are far from major load centers. Need transmission to East, West, South (ERCOT).

5. TRES AMIGAS, 15,000 MW AC-DC-AC intertie

7. WIND TURBINES, MW Enormous Potential (8-15 MW/sq mile) TX Panhandle60,000 OK Panhandle, Western35,000 NM Eastern15,000 Total120,000 Future Regional (best scenario) ERCOT 8,000 Southwest Power Pool 9,000 Tres Amigas intertie13,000 Total30,000

8. WIND, MW ERCOT Transmission Upgrade 18,000 Present (08) 7,000 New 11,000 Interconnect requests (09) ERCOT50,000 Southwest Power Pool40,000 Xcel (Southwestern Public Ser)13,000 Subtotal 90,000 Future Regional (best)30,000 Land owner; contracts, queue GIR, $20,000 to 175,000

9. TX Panhandle Max 8,000 MW

11. FUTURE Wind Installed Capacity (2030)30,000 MW Only 1/4 of present contracts will be installed New contracts (a bunch) Landowners within 25 miles of major substations or high voltage lines have advantage. Curtailment will still be a problem. Flip of projects (resource option to wind farms)