1. The Theory of Zeta Graphs with an Application to Random Networks Christopher Ré Stanford

2. Social Network Data Social network data is ubiquitous and high value. Since 2000, many studies of the dynamics of these graphs, Watts-Strogatz, Preferential Attachment, etc. Design new random graph models to capture some new aspect of an observed network. Above is not the goal of this work…

3. What’s the matter with Erdös-Rényi? G(N,p) does not match real-world graphs (degree distribution, diameter) G(N,p) does not match real-world graphs (degree distribution, diameter) But we have a beautiful theory of G(N,p) (zero-one laws, the “movie”, threshold phenomenon, ….) Much of this work enabled by simple, declarative G(N,p). Find an ER-like model to replace generative models for DB theory-style theorems? May lead to rigorous hypothesis testing for these models (key question in motifs).

4. Which model should we study? “At each time step, a new vertex is added. Then, with probability δ, two vertices are chosen uniformly at random and joined by an undirected edge.” – CHKNS Many models. For this study: simple & popular. Callway, Hopcroft, Kleinberg, Newman, Strogatz (CHKNS) CHKNS captures one salient aspect of many models: Arrival order of node affect its properties. NB: Does not capture all phenomenon of interest.

5. Zeta Graphs Simple model to capture “arrival order” NB: We’ll use a directed variant, all queries are binary since its easier to describe.

6. Zeta graphs Bare bones model to break symmetry: 1 connects to many nodes (~ log N). N connects to 1 node (in expectation) Bare bones model to break symmetry: 1 connects to many nodes (~ log N). N connects to 1 node (in expectation) ER-like: Edges are present independently. Zeta graphs are a family of sets of graphs indexed by N Fixed node set: [N] = {1,…,N} (Index ≈ arrival order) Stochastic edge set (independent edges)

7. Informal Main Result Conjunctive Graph Queries cannot distinguish between Zeta graphs and CHKNS as N to ∞. 1. Determine the Theory of Zeta Graphs 2. Show the Theory of CHKNS is sandwiched between two “slices” of Zeta Graphs. Here, Theory is set of CQs with probability 1

8. 1 st Technical Challenge: Graph Patterns

9. Our goal for this section Given (1) a Language of Boolean queries L, and (2) a family of probability models M(1), M(2), …,M(N) check if lim N to ∞ Pr M(N) [q] = 1 for q in L Given (1) a Language of Boolean queries L, and (2) a family of probability models M(1), M(2), …,M(N) check if lim N to ∞ Pr M(N) [q] = 1 for q in L For the talk: (1)L will be “graph patterns” positive conjunctive queries over binary relations. (2)The family of probability models M(N)= “Theory” Th(L,M) = { q in L : lim N to ∞ Pr M(N) [q] = 1 }

10. Boolean Query Answering on ER Graphs (2) Compute expected number of tuples. (1) Form “full query” corresponding to q. (3) Use Janson’s Inequality to relate E[Q] to Pr[q]

11. Recall: Classical Janson’s Inequality A classical sufficient condition for Pr[q] to 1. A Q(c) and Q(d) properly overlap if they are not identical, but they share at least one identical subgoal see Alon & Spencer, Random Graphs A corollary of Janson’s inequality is:

12. Boolean Query Answering on ER Graphs (2) Compute expected number of tuples. (1) Form “full query” corresponding to q. (3) Use Janson’s Inequality to relate E[Q] to Pr[q] What changes for Zeta graphs?

13. Computing Expectation

14. Multiple Valued Zeta (MVZ) Functions Only use integer s i in this talk MVZs show up in some strange places…

15. Order Matters: Paths of Length 2 If x < y < z If x < z < y So in our “atoms” variables will be totally ordered. 011 0 02

16. Why Multiple-Valued Zeta (MVZ)? Well-studied special function. We get for free: 1.Asymptotics [Costermans et al. 2005] 2.Algebraic Identities [Zudilin & Zudilin 2003] 3.Fancy sounding function (not helpful)

17. Asymptotic Estimates for MVZs This is a small variation of Costermans et al. result. (expected # of edges) (expected # of triangles) (expected # of K 4 )

18. Indicates shared identical goal Pr[2 Paths] Consider pairs of properly overlapping 2 paths. And others o(E[Q] 2 ) and since E[Q] =  (1), Pr[Q] = 1 – o(1) 0 0 0 0 1 21 11 11 …

19. Two cycles you’re out! r cycle r cycle s cycle s cycle (1) For all r, s ≥ 2, Pr M(N) [ B(r,s) ] 0 as N to ∞, i.e., no bicycles. B(r,s) (2) Any connected graph q with at most one cycle appears with probability 1. 1 st result: Two Parts: (A) Any individual pattern, check E, and (B) Different “orderings” are non-negatively correlated.

20. Back to CHKNS

21. Central Message How different is CHKNS from the family of Zeta graphs? Up to CQs, the answer is not at all.

22. Key Technical Issues 1. CHKNS Edge probabilities have a painful form. – But can be sandwiched by “Zeta slices” 2. CHKNS Edges are correlated! - Develop bounds on correlations 3. Show that CHKNS can be essentially embedded in a part of Zeta graphs. Goal: Establish that Th(“Graph Patterns”, CHKNS ) = Th(“Graph Patterns”, Zeta Graphs)

23. Other Related Work Graph Models. Huge amounts. Volumes! [Lynch 05]: Conditions on a skewed degree distribution, but symmetrizes labels. Proves a 0-1 law for all of FO! Zeta graphs and CHKNS have no 0-1 law. Inspired by this paper!

24. Future Work & Conclusion “Conjunctive” theory of simple random graph models with order. Does a simpler model capture CHKNS? Could one capture Albert & Barabasi’s preferential attachment model? Richer Languages?

26. Expectations for Ordered Graphs Since sensitive to order, consider graph patterns with order among variables. Then expectation has a semi-closed form. This function has an MVZ

27. Computing Expectations of General CQs If variables in Q are totally ordered, then we can compute E[Q] using MVZs. Obvious algorithm: given a query, add in equality and inequality in all possible ways. This takes exponential time in Q (#P-hard).