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Required Returns and the Cost of Capital

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1 Required Returns and the Cost of Capital
Chapter 15 Required Returns and the Cost of Capital © Pearson Education Limited 2004 Fundamentals of Financial Management, 12/e Created by: Gregory A. Kuhlemeyer, Ph.D. Carroll College, Waukesha, WI

2 After studying Chapter 15, you should be able to:
Explain how a firm creates value and identify the key sources of value creation. Define the overall “cost of capital” of the firm. Calculate the costs of the individual components of a firm’s cost of capital - cost of debt, cost of preferred stock, and cost of equity. Explain and use alternative models to determine the cost of equity, including the dividend discount approach, the capital-asset pricing model (CAPM) approach, and the before-tax cost of debt plus risk premium approach. Calculate the firm’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and understand its rationale, use, and limitations. Explain how the concept of Economic Value Added (EVA) is related to value creation and the firm’s cost of capital. Understand the capital-asset pricing model's role in computing project-specific and group-specific required rates of return.

3 Required Returns and the Cost of Capital
Creation of Value Overall Cost of Capital of the Firm Project-Specific Required Rates Group-Specific Required Rates Total Risk Evaluation

4 Key Sources of Value Creation
Industry Attractiveness Other -- e.g., patents, temporary monopoly power, oligopoly pricing Growth phase of product cycle Barriers to competitive entry Marketing and price Superior organizational capability Perceived quality Cost Competitive Advantage

5 Overall Cost of Capital of the Firm
Cost of Capital is the required rate of return on the various types of financing. The overall cost of capital is a weighted average of the individual required rates of return (costs).

6 Market Value of Long-Term Financing
Type of Financing Mkt Val Weight Long-Term Debt $ 35M 35% Preferred Stock $ 15M 15% Common Stock Equity $ 50M 50% $ 100M 100%

7 Cost of Debt Cost of Debt is the required rate of return on investment of the lenders of a company. ki = kd ( 1 - T ) n Ij + Pj P0 = S (1 + kd)j j =1

8 Determination of the Cost of Debt
Assume that Basket Wonders (BW) has $1,000 par value zero-coupon bonds outstanding. BW bonds are currently trading at $ with 10 years to maturity. BW tax bracket is 40%. $0 + $1,000 $ = (1 + kd)10

9 Determination of the Cost of Debt
(1 + kd)10 = $1,000 / $ = (1 + kd) = (2.5938) (1/10) = 1.1 kd = .1 or 10% ki = 10% ( ) ki = 6%

10 Cost of Preferred Stock
Cost of Preferred Stock is the required rate of return on investment of the preferred shareholders of the company. kP = DP / P0

11 Determination of the Cost of Preferred Stock
Assume that Basket Wonders (BW) has preferred stock outstanding with par value of $100, dividend per share of $6.30, and a current market value of $70 per share. kP = $6.30 / $70 kP = 9%

12 Cost of Equity Approaches
Dividend Discount Model Capital-Asset Pricing Model Before-Tax Cost of Debt plus Risk Premium

13 Dividend Discount Model
The cost of equity capital, ke, is the discount rate that equates the present value of all expected future dividends with the current market price of the stock. D D D P0 = + (1+ke)1 (1+ke) (1+ke)

14 Constant Growth Model The constant dividend growth assumption reduces the model to: ke = ( D1 / P0 ) + g Assumes that dividends will grow at the constant rate “g” forever.

15 Determination of the Cost of Equity Capital
Assume that Basket Wonders (BW) has common stock outstanding with a current market value of $64.80 per share, current dividend of $3 per share, and a dividend growth rate of 8% forever. ke = ( D1 / P0 ) + g ke = ($3(1.08) / $64.80) + .08 ke = = .13 or 13%

16 Growth Phases Model The growth phases assumption leads to the following formula (assume 3 growth phases): D0(1+g1)t Da(1+g2)t-a a b P0 = S + S + (1+ke)t (1+ke)t t=1 t=a+1 Db(1+g3)t-b S (1+ke)t t=b+1

17 Capital Asset Pricing Model
The cost of equity capital, ke, is equated to the required rate of return in market equilibrium. The risk-return relationship is described by the Security Market Line (SML). ke = Rj = Rf + (Rm - Rf)bj

18 Determination of the Cost of Equity (CAPM)
Assume that Basket Wonders (BW) has a company beta of Research by Julie Miller suggests that the risk-free rate is 4% and the expected return on the market is 11.2% ke = Rf + (Rm - Rf)bj = 4% + (11.2% - 4%)1.25 ke = 4% + 9% = 13%

19 Before-Tax Cost of Debt Plus Risk Premium
The cost of equity capital, ke, is the sum of the before-tax cost of debt and a risk premium in expected return for common stock over debt. ke = kd + Risk Premium* * Risk premium is not the same as CAPM risk premium

20 Determination of the Cost of Equity (kd + R.P.)
Assume that Basket Wonders (BW) typically adds a 3% premium to the before-tax cost of debt. ke = kd + Risk Premium = 10% + 3% ke = 13%

21 Comparison of the Cost of Equity Methods
Constant Growth Model 13% Capital Asset Pricing Model 13% Cost of Debt + Risk Premium 13% Generally, the three methods will not agree.

22 Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
n S Cost of Capital = kx(Wx) WACC = .35(6%) + .15(9%) (13%) WACC = = or 9.95% x=1

23 Limitations of the WACC
1. Weighting System Marginal Capital Costs Capital Raised in Different Proportions than WACC

24 Limitations of the WACC
2. Flotation Costs are the costs associated with issuing securities such as underwriting, legal, listing, and printing fees. a. Adjustment to Initial Outlay b. Adjustment to Discount Rate

25 Economic Value Added A measure of business performance.
It is another way of measuring that firms are earning returns on their invested capital that exceed their cost of capital. Specific measure developed by Stern Stewart and Company in late 1980s.

26 Capital x Capital Employed]
Economic Value Added EVA = NOPAT – [Cost of Capital x Capital Employed] Since a cost is charged for equity capital also, a positive EVA generally indicates shareholder value is being created. Based on Economic NOT Accounting Profit. NOPAT – net operating profit after tax is a company’s potential after-tax profit if it was all-equity-financed or “unlevered.”

27 Adjustment to Initial Outlay (AIO)
Add Flotation Costs (FC) to the Initial Cash Outlay (ICO). Impact: Reduces the NPV n CFt S - ( ICO + FC ) NPV = (1 + k)t t=1

28 Adjustment to Discount Rate (ADR)
Subtract Flotation Costs from the proceeds (price) of the security and recalculate yield figures. Impact: Increases the cost for any capital component with flotation costs. Result: Increases the WACC, which decreases the NPV.

29 Determining Project-Specific Required Rates of Return
Use of CAPM in Project Selection: Initially assume all-equity financing. Determine project beta. Calculate the expected return. Adjust for capital structure of firm. Compare cost to IRR of project.

30 Difficulty in Determining the Expected Return
Determining the SML: Locate a proxy for the project (much easier if asset is traded). Plot the Characteristic Line relationship between the market portfolio and the proxy asset excess returns. Estimate beta and create the SML.

31 Project Acceptance and/or Rejection
X SML X X X X O X X EXPECTED RATE OF RETURN O O O O Reject O Rf O SYSTEMATIC RISK (Beta)

32 Determining Project-Specific Required Rate of Return
1. Calculate the required return for Project k (all-equity financed). Rk = Rf + (Rm - Rf)bk 2. Adjust for capital structure of the firm (financing weights). Weighted Average Required Return = [ki][% of Debt] + [Rk][% of Equity]

33 Project-Specific Required Rate of Return Example
Assume a computer networking project is being considered with an IRR of 19%. Examination of firms in the networking industry allows us to estimate an all-equity beta of Our firm is financed with 70% Equity and 30% Debt at ki=6%. The expected return on the market is 11.2% and the risk-free rate is 4%.

34 Do You Accept the Project?
ke = Rf + (Rm - Rf)bj = 4% + (11.2% - 4%)1.5 ke = 4% % = 14.8% WACC = .30(6%) + .70(14.8%) = 1.8% % = 12.16% IRR = 19% > WACC = 12.16%

35 Determining Group-Specific Required Rates of Return
Use of CAPM in Project Selection: Initially assume all-equity financing. Determine group beta. Calculate the expected return. Adjust for capital structure of group. Compare cost to IRR of group project.

36 Comparing Group-Specific Required Rates of Return
Company Cost of Capital Expected Rate of Return Group-Specific Required Returns Systematic Risk (Beta)

37 Qualifications to Using Group-Specific Rates
Amount of non-equity financing relative to the proxy firm. Adjust project beta if necessary. Standard problems in the use of CAPM. Potential insolvency is a total-risk problem rather than just systematic risk (CAPM).

38 Project Evaluation Based on Total Risk
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate Approach (RADR) The required return is increased (decreased) relative to the firm’s overall cost of capital for projects or groups showing greater (smaller) than “average” risk.

39 Adjusting for risk correctly may influence the ultimate
RADR and NPV Adjusting for risk correctly may influence the ultimate Project decision. $000s 15 10 RADR – “low” risk at 10% (Accept!) Net Present Value 5 RADR – “high” risk at 15% (Reject!) -4 Discount Rate (%)

40 Project Evaluation Based on Total Risk
Probability Distribution Approach Acceptance of a single project with a positive NPV depends on the dispersion of NPVs and the utility preferences of management.

41 Firm-Portfolio Approach
Indifference Curves C B EXPECTED VALUE OF NPV A Curves show “HIGH” Risk Aversion STANDARD DEVIATION

42 Firm-Portfolio Approach
Indifference Curves C B EXPECTED VALUE OF NPV A Curves show “MODERATE” Risk Aversion STANDARD DEVIATION

43 Firm-Portfolio Approach
Indifference Curves B EXPECTED VALUE OF NPV A Curves show “LOW” Risk Aversion STANDARD DEVIATION

44 Adjusting Beta for Financial Leverage
bj = bju [ 1 + (B/S)(1-TC) ] bj: Beta of a levered firm. bju: Beta of an unlevered firm (an all-equity financed firm). B/S: Debt-to-Equity ratio in Market Value terms. TC : The corporate tax rate.

45 Adjusted Present Value
Adjusted Present Value (APV) is the sum of the discounted value of a project’s operating cash flows plus the value of any tax-shield benefits of interest associated with the project’s financing minus any flotation costs. Unlevered Project Value Value of Project Financing APV = +

46 NPV and APV Example Assume Basket Wonders is considering a new $425,000 automated basket weaving machine that will save $100,000 per year for the next 6 years. The required rate on unlevered equity is 11%. BW can borrow $180,000 at 7% with $10,000 after-tax flotation costs. Principal is repaid at $30,000 per year (+ interest). The firm is in the 40% tax bracket.

47 Basket Wonders NPV Solution
What is the NPV to an all-equity-financed firm? NPV = $100,000[PVIFA11%,6] - $425,000 NPV = $423,054 - $425,000 NPV = -$1,946

48 Basket Wonders APV Solution
What is the APV? First, determine the interest expense. Int Yr 1 ($180,000)(7%) = $12,600 Int Yr 2 ( 150,000)(7%) = 10,500 Int Yr 3 ( 120,000)(7%) = 8,400 Int Yr 4 ( 90,000)(7%) = 6,300 Int Yr 5 ( 60,000)(7%) = 4,200 Int Yr 6 ( 30,000)(7%) = 2,100

49 Basket Wonders APV Solution
Second, calculate the tax-shield benefits. TSB Yr 1 ($12,600)(40%) = $5,040 TSB Yr 2 ( 10,500)(40%) = 4,200 TSB Yr 3 ( 8,400)(40%) = 3,360 TSB Yr 4 ( 6,300)(40%) = 2,520 TSB Yr 5 ( 4,200)(40%) = 1,680 TSB Yr 6 ( 2,100)(40%) =

50 Basket Wonders APV Solution
Third, find the PV of the tax-shield benefits. TSB Yr 1 ($5,040)(.901) = $4,541 TSB Yr 2 ( 4,200)(.812) = 3,410 TSB Yr 3 ( 3,360)(.731) = 2,456 TSB Yr 4 ( 2,520)(.659) = 1,661 TSB Yr 5 ( 1,680)(.593) = TSB Yr 6 ( )(.535) = PV = $13,513

51 Basket Wonders NPV Solution
What is the APV? APV = NPV + PV of TS - Flotation Cost APV = -$1,946 + $13,513 - $10,000 APV = $1,567


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