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Kai Kaiser & Shahrooz Badkoubei Applied Inclusive Growth Analysis

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1 Kai Kaiser & Shahrooz Badkoubei Applied Inclusive Growth Analysis
Governance and Political-Economy in WBG Growth Analysis Kai Kaiser & Shahrooz Badkoubei Applied Inclusive Growth Analysis Day 4, March 26, 2009

2 Binding Constraints in Practice
Survey of Recent CEM Practice FY : Grey/Quasi-Grey Cover Desk Review & Follow-up Dialogue with TTLs Various Methodologies 8 HRV Approach 1 Multidimensional Policy Priorities Varied Growth focus: acceleration, diversification sustainability, inclusive, pro-poor…

3 Objectives Identify Reform Challenges in Practice
Country Specificity Examine how GPE being addressed for country growth policy dialogue Develop resource materials for task teams

4 Caveats CEM Categorization Only Indicative
Many CEMs don’t use explicit (HRV) binding constraints to growth methodology Constraints time-specific Impacts of Global Economic Crisis GPE Dialogue May Be Off-Line Not explicit in Grey Cover CEMs Implementation counterparts problem…

5 Revealed Binding Constraints

6 CEM Highlights: Angola

7 CEM Highlights: Benin

8 CEM Highlights: Ghana

9 CEM Highlights: Kenya

10 GPE & “Second Best” Institutions
Differentiate Form from Function E.g., China’s Reforms Shift from Normative/Presumptive Good Enough Governance (Grindle) Contextual Fit  Which forms are effective and politically feasible?

11 Findings Governance, Political-Economy, Institutional Issues Inherent to All Binding Constraints Addressing constraint requires technical & GPE skills “Governance/micro-risks” identification and remedies diffuse Clarify terminology Sharpen diagnostics Need to document value added Don’t erode CEM “objectivity” Led to alternative/succesfull engagement

12 Resources Governance & Political-Economy for Growth Analysis SharePoint Intranet Site Selected References Rodrik, Dani, (2008), Second Best Institutions, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University (mimeo)


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