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Photovoltaic key figures 2016
Guillaume Razongles, Nouha Gazbour
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Environmental footprint
Summary Slides 3 to 4 Slides 5 to 7 while: 3.96 c€ product 1.58 c€ maintenance & operation 1.21 c€ capital Additional costs and losses for the existing grid: 1 to 2 c€/kWh Cumulative capacity Installed in 2016 : 72.6 GWp (48% ground) whose 7.3 GWp in Europe Cumulated end 2016 : 310 GWp (32% ground) whose 102 GWp in Europe PV part in the global electric mix : 1.2 % PV part in the european electric mix : 4 % PV electricity cost 310 GWc (+32%) 6,8 c€/kWh Environmental footprint Slides 8 to 11 Recycling Slides 12 to 13 Scenario of the European Product Environmental Footprint (% total mass) : Energy Pay-Back Time = 1.43 ans EROI = 21.5 Water consumption = 0.8 L/kWh Ozone depletion = kg CFC-11 eq /KWh) 2015 Rates: Recovery : 75% Re-use and recycling : 65% Recycling (Glass, copper, aluminium) : 82.2% Carbon footprint = 41 g CO2 eq/kWh (french electricity = 114 gCO2 eq/kWh) Incineration - prod energy (plastics) : 9.4% Enfouissement (cellules) : 8.4% Additional informations Slides 14 to 18 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Global power installed between 2005 and 2016
Installations Global power installed between 2005 and 2016 Source: JRC PV status report 2016 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Cumulative Installed PV power between 2005 et 2016
Installations Cumulative Installed PV power between et 2016 Source: JRC PV status report 2016 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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European geographic average weighted by the location of the plants
Solar irradiance Annual solar irradiance received by PV Modules optimally inclined in European urban environments on kWh/m².year Source: PVGIS 2130 Southen Europe Most cases in Europe South Central Europe 1690 European geographic average weighted by the location of the plants 1496 Northen l’Europe 1070 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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LCOE (c€/kWh) Cost of the PV on ground ≈ 5.50 ≈ 4.50 ≈ 6.75 ≈ 5.60
Calculations based on data from JRC (European community ) Observed price on the Germany market (BNA) Price calculated in Europe with Germany price structure (BNA, SPE) Le LCOE (Levelized Cost Of Energy) define the total cost of energy estimated aver the life time of the project. 6.75 c€/kWh, include 3.96 c€ product 1.58 c€ maintenance & operation 1.21 c€ capital Sources: JRC PV status report 2014 JRC PV status report 2016 5th German call for tender from BNA (Grids Federal Agency) Global Market Outlook de Solar Power Europe (SPE) 2130 ≈ 5.50 Madrid ≈ 4.50 1690 ≈ 6.75 Bordeaux ≈ 5.60 1496 6.89 7.25 ≈ 8.78 Berlin 7.41 1070 7.77 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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PV COST :additional costs and losses from the exiciting grid
Additional costs and losses for the exciting grid, estimated for 2 to18% of PV penetration in the grid, in €/MWh : Equals 1 to 2 c€/kWh Greece imports a lot of electricity, any local production relieves its network. Source: PV Parity EU Reading : 10 €/MWh equals 1 c€/kWh Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Environmental footprint : Assumptions of the study
PV system parameters : Solar Irradiance kWh/m².year (1) Initial Performance Ratio % (2) Degradation Rate % par an (3) Life Time ans (3) Electricity Mix Representative of the global PV production (4) Installation Type Open ground with optimal angle Technologies Efficiencies (5) System Boundary Manufacturing and installation of the modules European Geographical average of the solar irradiance weighted by plants location , based PVGIS data, Current trends of the initial Performance Ratio Tendance observed by Fraunhofer ISE (p28) Average value based on hundred plants ( Presented by the NREL on the 3è Atlas/NIST Workshop on PV Materials Durability). 30 years is a service life genarally admitted for the plants and conform the commercial garantees. (4) Electricity mix weighted by the market share of the PV materials ( PV market 2014). ( « GLO » of EcoInvent 3.1) (5) Efficiencies 2016 of the top 10 : mono-Si 16.7%, multi-Si 16.1%, Cdte 15.6%, CIGS 13.8%. NREL study : Photovoltaic Degradation Rates - An Analytical Review Evolution of the PV plants life time overtime (based on publications date) Tools and data sources : Software SimaPro 8.1 Data sources Ecoinvent V3.1 & CEA-INES Methods of the assesment of the impact categories : Energy demain (CED) Cumulative Energy Demand V1.09 Energy Pay Back Time EPBT = CED. Grid efficieny Annual Production Energy Return on Energy Invested EROI = Life Time EPBT Carbon Footprint IPCC2013GWP100a.V1.02 Ozone depletion ILCD 2011 Midpoint+ , V1.06 Water depletion Pfister et al 2009 (Water Scarity) Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Carbon Footprint (g CO2 eq/kWh)
Environnemental footprint Carbon Footprint (g CO2 eq/kWh) Energy Pay Back Time (years) Energy Returned On Invested (EROI) Mono-Si standard Multi-Si standard Cdte standard CIS standard Market share 2015 * 24% 69% 5% 2% * Sources : Fraunhofer ISE report 2016 Carbon Footprint (g CO2 eq/kWh) EPBT (years) EROI Weighted average 40.68 1.43 21.50 Chiffres clés du photovoltaïque 2016
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Environmental Footprint
Carbon Footprint (g CO2 éq/kWh) EPTB (years) EROI EPTB = Energy Pay-Back Time. Reading : After 1.43 year , the PV module has produced the same amount of energy consumed to manufacture it. EROI = Energy Return On energy Invested. Reading :The module generates 21.5 times more energy during its lifetime than it demands to manufacture it. 2130 29.2 1.03 29.3 1690 40.7 1.43 21.5 1496 58.2 2.06 14.7 1070 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Ozone depletion (kg CFC-11 éq /KWh)
Environmental FOOTPRINT : Comparison with other sources of electricity Ozone depletion (kg CFC-11 éq /KWh) Software : SimaPro 8.01 Method : IPPC2013, GWP 100 ans , V1.1 Software : SimaPro 8.01 Method : Pfister et al 2009 (Water Scarity) Software : SimaPro 8.01 Method ILCD 2011 Midpoint + ,V1.06) Carbon Footprint of 1 kWh of the french mix 114 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Treatments et valorisations
Recycling End of life or defective PV modules are treated according to the WEEE directive since 2012 PV Cycle® leading European organization is offering EU-law compliant take-back and recycling solutions 2015 rates*: Recovery : 75% Reuse and Recycling: 65% Expected rates 2018 : Recovery : 85% Reuse and Recycling: 80% CABRISS** Project goal: Recovery: 90% Recycling: 90% The PEFCR PV recycling scenario * Recycling 82,2% Incineration 9,4% Landfill 8,4% Treatments et valorisations Cooper 0.442 kg/m² Recycling Recycling Glass 7.93 kg/m² Glass wool production Dismantling Chemical treatment or Thermal and mechanical treatment Collection Aluminium 3.42 kg/m² Recycling Incineration /Energy production Sources : * PEF screening report of electricity from photovoltaic panels in the context of the EU Product Environmental Footprint , 2015 ** H2020 European project started in 2015 Project aiming to recover the Indium, Silicon and Silver on PV modules within a circular economy Plastics Cells Landfill Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Recycling Exemple of a full scenario of recycling ( FRELP Project) :
Source: ENEA Consulting Projet RECORD Source : Recycling WEEE: Extraction and concentration of silver from waste crystalline silicon photovoltaic module (2016) Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Additional information
Record efficiencies in laboratory Source: click on Efficiency Chart Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Additional information
Costs Learning curve of module price as a function of the production volume Sources : Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) PV News Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Addiational information
Costs Economic analysis of the effects of the German law on renewable energies. Source: German Federal Ministry for the environment, the nature preservation, et nuclear safety Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Additional information
Costs Estimations of the LCOE ($/MWh) in the United States by the investment Lazard bank Source: Lazard's - Levelized cost of energy analysis 9.0 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Volume (GWp) (Production ou Livraison)
Additional information Top 20 PV producers en 2015 Position Companies Volume (GWp) (Production ou Livraison) 1 Trina Solar 5,7 2 Canadian Solar Inc 4,7 3 JinkoSolar 4,5 4 JA Solar 3,9 5 Hanwha 3,3 6 First Solar 2,9 7 Motech Solar 2,5 8 Yingli G.E 2,4 9 Shunfeng CE 2,8 10 Neo Solar P.C 2,0 11 Tongwei Solar 1,6 12 Zhongli Talesum Solar 1,5 13 Gintech E.C 1,4 14 Risen Energy 1,3 15 Sun Power 1,2 16 Kyocera 1,1 17 Changzhou 1,0 18 Hareon S.T 19 Solartech E.C 20 Solar Frontier 0,9 Market shares for the different PV technologies and top 20 of the PV producers around the world 7% 69% 24% Sources : Fraunhofer ISE report 2016 JRC PV status report 2016 Photovoltaic key figures 2016
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Thank you for your attention
Plants of Cestas (Gironde) Power : 300 MWc (Bigger PV plants in Europe ) Orientation : East-West Installer : Neoen (French)
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