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The Impact of IMO 2020
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IMO 2020 Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO 0.5% max. sulphur) required outside the Emissions Control Area (ECA) unless a vessel is equipped with an approved Exhaust Gas Cleaning System (Scrubber).
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Market In Transition Current Bunker demand for all fuel grades VLSFO rapidly replacing High Sulphur IF380 Fuel Oil (3.5% max sulphur) IF380 Fuel Oil (0.5% max sulphur) Low Sulphur Marine Gas Oil (0.1% max sulphur) IF % availability will decline in 2020.
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VLSFO Quality In Vancouver VLSFO will be a LSMGO/ IFO blend.
Blend to meet for sulphur specification (low viscosity) Stability of blend Fuel Compatibility (mixing fuels onboard)
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VLSFO Supply Fuel oil/ diesel blends Low viscosity
Premium to 3.5% fuel oil Discount to LSMGO
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IFO Supply IFO supply will continue to be available in Vancouver for vessels equipped with approved Scrubbers. Limited refinery/ terminal IFO tanks and limited barge capacity will be on-going supply constraints. Price will be dependent on ratable volumes/ throughput. Price discount or premium?
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LSMGO Supply Vancouver supply outlook is positive
Shortage of high flash diesel in some markets Vancouver diesel prices trade at a premium to most markets
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Operational Constraints
Tank segregation on barges Limited high sulphur capacity Demand seasonal in Vancouver Refinery optimization-ratable demand Alternative markets Change in crude slate-lower sulphur
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2020 Prices VLSFO prices dependent upon IFO/ Diesel blend ratios.
LSMGO prices will rely on supply/ demand scenario (current forecast is continued long supply in Vancouver). HFO priced on sulphur content (lower sulphur HFO will price at a premium-there is value in sulphur).
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Price Risk Geopolitical risk factors Sanctions Tariffs
Aging Refinery Infrastructre
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The Future of Bunkers LNG Bunkers Battery Power Methanol
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Q & A
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