1. The Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution on Engineering Education
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao
Pratya Nuankaew, Wongpanya Nuankaew, Kanakarn Phanniphong, Rerkchai Fooprateepsiri, Sittichai Bussaman
ICL2019
The Impact of the 4th Industrial Revolution on Engineering Education
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

2. Presentation Outline State of the Problems Research Methodology
Research Results
Research Discussion
Suggestions and Future Research
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

3. State of the Problems
The research purpose of this paper is to analyze the situation of dropout of business computer students at University of Phayao, Thailand.
The composition of the goal consists of three main points, including
(1) summarizing the situation from the past to the present of the dropout of business computer students at University of Phayao,
(2) statistical analysis of dropout situations of students in business computer disciplines at University of Phayao, Thailand, and
(3) use the machine learning process to analyze the current situation of student dropout situations in the business computer disciplines at University of Phayao.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

4. State of the Problems
The expectation from the study in this research is to know the past problems, trends and opportunities that will occur in the future of business computer students.
In addition, the research results will be used to plan the problem solving of students in the business computer disciplines and will be used to improve the curriculum to appropriate future situations.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

5. Research Methodology 1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

6. Research Results (From Input Section)
Data scoped for modeling, which is defined only academic year
Reasons for choosing and limiting specific data , because it is a current data that is in the current situation and there are still students who are studying, which the researcher will be able to bring the results to suggest solutions for students who are studying.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

7. Research Results (From Process Section)
Details in Data Scoped
Displays the number of students who drop out by showing data over the last eight academic years (Program allows students to take twice the duration of curriculum)
Most students dropout during the first year. (96 students or 24.68%).
Majority students dropout from their academic results (68 students or 70.83%).
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

8. Research Results (From Output Section)
Rule Model
The rule model of the student achievement prediction model.
It has the ability to predict at a very high level (Correct = 93.80% or 242 out of 258 training examples).
The results of the model can be used to guide and plan student’s learning in the business computer program at the University of Phayao.
The model also shows the factors that are important to the student’s study plan, which consisting of , , , , , and
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

9. Research Results (From Output Section)
Model Performance
The model is reasonable with the decision tree model at depth 3 with used the 15-fold and leave-one-out cross-validation methods as shown in Table 7, with the accuracy of 87.21% as shown the significant model testing in Table 8.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

10. Research Discussion Number of student dropout
Research clearly that the number of students who drop out is very high (619 students or 32.79% from all dataset).
It was found that the cause of dropout was their academic results (388 students or 20.55% from all dataset).
The first year had the highest dropout.
It can be concluded that the impact of dropout mainly comes from academic results and the 1st year had the highest dropout. Therefore, those involved in business computer programs at University of Phayao should be aware of such problems and facts.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

11. Research Discussion Model obtained from machine learning
This model is appropriate, which shows high efficiency in Table 6 (93.80% accuracy), Table 7 (87.21% accuracy) and Table 8 (87.21% accuracy).
It contains courses that are critical to the model: , , , , , and
The most important course is , in which the course acts as a root node.
From the developing and testing process, it shows that the model is reasonable to be accepted and deserves to be used to expand research in the future. Therefore, should promote and expand the results as a further application
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

12. Suggestions and Future Research
It clearly shows that the number of students who drop out has a very high number of students, which raises concern for those involved (619 students or 32.79%).
At the same time, it was found that the dropout was the academic results (388 students or 20.55%). It also found that the level with the most dropout is the 1st academic year.
The model obtained a high performance with an accuracy is equal to % as shown in Table 7 and Table 8.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

13. Suggestions and Future Research
For future research, researchers should expand the sample to be more diverse. For example, use all data for analysis, compare data in each period of the curriculum, and so on.
Additional research is to gather student information from a network of researchers, such as from universities in Thailand, to provide more diverse examples.
In addition, researchers should develop a mobile application to facilitate future use.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

14. Acknowledgment
This research was supported by the School of Information and Communication Technology, University of Phayao. The researcher would like to thank the, advisors, lecturers, staffs, and students, at the University of Phayao, Rajabhat Mahasarakham University, Rajamangala University of Technology Tawan-Ok that support and provide the information needed in this research.
1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao

15. Thank You :) Question and Answer 1/19/2020
Analysis Dropout Situation of Business Computer Students at University of Phayao