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UOE 2006 ad hoc module, trend data collections and revision policy

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1 UOE 2006 ad hoc module, trend data collections and revision policy
ETS WG, 30 January-1 February 2006 Agenda Item 8 document 2005-ETS-08-EN Education and Training Statistics Working Group

2 This presentation aims at:
underlining the importance of time series for the follow-up of the Lisbon objectives describing the current situation as regards the availability of time series based on data from the UOE data collection proposing a revision policy that guarantees stable time series for key indicators based on data from the UOE data collection proposing an implementation timetable for the revision policy Identifying key indicators Education and Training Statistics Working Group

3 Time series are important to follow-up the Lisbon objectives:
The follow-up of the Lisbon objectives on education and training is based on a set of indicators that is published annually by DG Education and Culture in the report “progress towards the Lisbon objectives in education and training” Hence, requirement for accurate indicators that are comparable over time to precisely monitor the performance and progress Education and Training Statistics Working Group

4 Data collection activities performed since 2000 to create time series:
A strong demand for time series emerged, soon after the Lisbon agenda was formulated by the Council in 2000 To satisfy the demand for monetary indicators Eurostat launched two Rapid Data Collections in 2002 and 2003 2002: Collection of data on total public expenditure on education, as the indicator total public expenditure on education as % of GDP was selected as a structural indicator 2003: Collection of monetary data by Eurostat: to update the structural indicator and to collect new indicators on education finance which are used to monitor the progress of the concrete objective “making the best use of resources”. To satisfy the demand for non-monetary indicators no extra data collection was necessary Education and Training Statistics Working Group

5 When does a revision becomes necessary?
Data on education statistics should reflect „real“ changes in the data as they illustrate the evolution of education systems in Member States No revision is needed in case: Changes in the education system occur (for example if an educational programme appears or disappears from the ISCED mapping) A revision becomes necessary as soon as: Changes in the ISCED mapping due to prior misclassification occur (for example if an educational programme is shifted from one level of education to another due to earlier misclassification) Changes in the coverage of the data collection occur (for example ex-/inclusion of educational programmes compared to last year‘s data collection) Changes in national or international methodology employed occur (for example if new/modified methodologies or estimation techniques are introduced in the data reported within the data collection) Education and Training Statistics Working Group

6 Need to introduce a revision policy now:
Current situation: No systematic revision policy was formulated Some countries provide revised data on an ad-hoc basis Revision of UOE data collection in 2005 Implementation of revised concepts in the 2005 round of the UOE data collection => Break in data series => Need to agree on a revision policy now Education and Training Statistics Working Group

7 Requirements of a database oriented revision policy:
Database oriented revision policy means that: UOE Data Collection is seen as an instrument to produce time series on enrolment, finance, graduates, mobility, teachers, classes, etc. Requirement of stable data that are comparable over time => Requires revisions of data from data provider each time a change in concept or methodology at national or international level occurs Education and Training Statistics Working Group

8 2 options for revision policies:
Option 1: systematic and complete database-oriented revision policy Any data affected by a change in coverage or methodology would be updated for some reference years backwards every time a revision occurs Disadvantage: very heavy burden for data providers and data requesters Advantage: guarantees a data set which is completely coherent and comparable over time If option 1 would be implemented: Any education indicator based on UOE data and disseminated in New Cronos would be comparable over time Set of education indicators is coherent Education and Training Statistics Working Group

9 2 options for revision policies:
Option 2: time series oriented revision policy Only data relevant for key indicators necessary to follow up the monitoring process of the Lisbon objectives would be revised Advantage: extra burden for data providers and data requesters is reduced to a necessary minimum, while guaranteeing comparable time series for key indicators on education Disadvantage: integrity of production database would be abandonned, as data would be split into two groups: Historical data in which data of the UOE data collection are disseminated every year like it is done now without any revision, but with enough metadata to inform the data user of comparability problems Time series for key indicators with relevant data to monitor the Lisbon process which should be updated annually if necessary by data providers Education and Training Statistics Working Group

10 Eurostat proposal for a revision policy:
At this stage, Eurostat proposes to implement the second option (i.e. time series oriented revision policy) as revision policy: as it guarantees stable time series for key indicators while reducing the extra burden for data providers to a necessary minimum Education and Training Statistics Working Group

11 Proposed revision policy shall be based on data needs from DG EAC:
Annual monitoring process of DG EAC requires comparable data every year To follow the progress of the countries towards the Lisbon objectives complete time series are necessary from at least 1998 onwards Essential to keep time series up to date every year (annual approach of revision policy) Therefore, Eurostat proposes to add an additional table within the UOE data collection to update every year if necessary variables that are relevant for the monitoring process Identification of key indicators (anticipation of new data needs from DG EAC for the follow up of progress of the countries towards the Lisbon objectives) Education and Training Statistics Working Group

12 Implementation time table
UOE data collection 2006: Eurostat data request that is linked to the revision policy, could be included in the ad-hoc module as OECD proposes to collect trend data on finance, enrolment, graduates and mobility The final content of the ad-hoc module for 2006 would then reflect data needs from Eurostat and OECD In the future data collections (2007 onwards): Proposal to include every year an additional table with pre-filled data to enable data providers to regularly update outdated figures if necessary The timetable would be the same as for the collection and production of education data (UOE and Eurostat tables) Education and Training Statistics Working Group

13 Education and Training Statistics Working Group
Proposed procedure: For each country, time series included in pre-filled files would be put on the circa web site when launching the next data collection round Data would correspond to data that are currently included in the Eurostat production database and on which indicators disseminated in New Cronos are based on. Data providers would be asked: To download from the circa web site the file including the pre-filled table with their time series To check the figures included in the file To update outdated data To confirm that the freshest data have been provided To complete the time series by providing data for the reference year of the ongoing data collection To send back the updated time series in the format of the pre-filled table when submitting the UOE data collection questionnaires to the unique address Education and Training Statistics Working Group

14 Members of the WG are invited to:
Note the need for comparable data to allow a monitoring of the progress towards the Lisbon objectives Agree on a time series oriented revision policy Education and Training Statistics Working Group

15 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Improving the quality of teachers and trainers Indicator titles Data needs Teachers aged < 30; 30-39; 40-49; 50 - teaching in public and private at ISCED level 1 - as % of total teachers teaching in ISCED level 1 PERS 1, column 4, rows A1 to A12 Teachers aged < 30; 30-39; 40-49; 50 - teaching in public and private at ISCED level as % of total teachers teaching in ISCED level 2-3 PERS 1, columns 5 and 6, rows A1 to A12 Ratio of Students to teachers ISCED 1-3; ISCED 1; ISCED 2; ISCED 3 PERS1, columns 4, 5 and 6, row A43 PERS_ENRL2, columns 4, 5 and 6. row A3 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

16 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Increasing recruitment to scientific and technical studies Indicator titles Data needs Students at ISCED levels 5-6 enrolled in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction - as % of all students ENRL5, column 1, rows A1, A13, A18, A33 Female/Male students at ISCED levels 5-6 enrolled in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction - as % of all female/male students ENRL5, column 1, rows A34, A46, A51, A66, A67, A79, A84, A99 Graduates (ISCED 5-6) in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction - as % of all graduates, all fields GRAD5, columns 3, 9, 12; rows A1, A13, A18, A33 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

17 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Increasing recruitment to scientific and technical studies Indicator titles Data needs Female/Male graduates (ISCED 5-6) in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction - as % of total female/male graduates, all fields GRAD5, columns 3, 9, 12; rows A34, A46, A51, A66, A67, A79, A84, A99 Graduates/Female graduates/Male graduates (ISCED 5-6) in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction (1000) Graduates/Female graduates/Male graduates (ISCED 5-6) in the following fields: science, mathematics, computing, engineering, manufacturing, construction - per 1000 of population/female population/male population aged 20-29 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

18 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Making best use of resources Indicator titles Data needs Total public expenditure on education as % of GDP FINANCE1, column 17, row G20 Foreseeable additional data needs: FINANCE1, columns 2, 3, 6, 10, 15; row G20 FINANCE1, columns 2, 3, 6, 10, 15, 17; rows G5, G5b, G10 to G14; FINANCE1, columns 15 and 17, row G5c Private expenditure on educational institutions as % of GDP FINANCE1, column 17, row P5 FINANCE1, columns 2, 3, 6, 10, 15; row P5 FINANCE1, columns 2, 3, 6, 10, 15, 17; rows H5 and E5 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

19 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Making best use of resources Indicator titles Data needs Total expenditure on (public and private) educational institutions per pupil/student, by level of education (in EUR PPS) FINANCE2, columns 2 to 8, 10 to 12, 15, 17; row A20 FIN_ENRL2, columns 2 to 8, 10 to 12, 15, 17; row A3 Foreseeable additional data needs: FINANCE2, columns 2 to 8, 10 to 12, 15, 17, row A30 FINANCE2, columns 15 and 17; row A40 Total expenditure on (public and private) educational institutions per pupil/student relative to GDP per capita, by level of education Education and Training Statistics Working Group

20 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Making learning more attractive Indicator titles Data needs Students (ISCED 1_6) by sex aged years - as % of corresponding age population ENRL1, columns 4, 6, 7,12 and 17, rows A15 to A25, A51 to A61, A87 to A97 Access to pre-primary education (participation rates in education of 4-year olds) Foreseeable additional needs ENRL1, columns 2 and 4, rows A4, A40 and A76 Upper secondary students in vocational streams and in ISCED 3A, B and C destinations ENRL1A, columns 10 to 16, rows A1 to A3 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

21 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Improving foreign language learning Indicator titles Data needs Average number of foreign languages learned per pupil at ISCED level 2/ISCED level 3 General programmes ENRLLNG1, columns 3 and 6, rows A26 and B1 Percentage of pupils at ISCED levels 2 and 3 (GEN) learning 0/ 1/ 2/ 3 and more foreign languages ENRLLNG2, columns 3 and 6, rows A1 to A7 Education and Training Statistics Working Group

22 Identified key indicators:
Objective: Mobility and co-operation Indicator titles Data needs Students (ISCED 5-6) studying in another EU-25, EEA or Candidate country - as % of all students ENRL8A/ENRL8B, columns 1 and 5, rows A1, A114, A149, A159, A161, A163 to A170, A172, A 174 to A182, A185 to A189, A193 to A197, A200 Inflow of students (ISCED 5-6) from EU-25, EEA and Candidate countries - as % of all students in the country Education and Training Statistics Working Group

23 Members of the WG are invited to:
Note the need for comparable data to allow a monitoring of the progress towards the Lisbon objectives Agree on a time series oriented revision policy Comment on the proposed list of data for which comparable data is necessary Education and Training Statistics Working Group


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