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Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 29.3 Working Days in April

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Presentation on theme: "Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 29.3 Working Days in April"— Presentation transcript:

1 Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 29.3 Working Days in April
Dr. Steven J. Davis University of Chicago Booth School of Business June 8, 2016

2 Sample Statistical Products Derived from JOLTS Data
Charts and tables produced using data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey following the analytical framework and measurement methods in Davis, Faberman and Haltiwanger (2012, 2013). Steven J. Davis faculty.chicagobooth.edu/steven.davis/ June 8, 2016

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4 Decennial Census Hiring

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7 Three-Month Moving Averages

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10 Three-Month Moving Averages

11 Recruiting Intensity Index By Industry and Time Period
2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Apr. 2016 Resources 0.99 1.06 1.05 0.70 1.01 0.98 1.04 0.92 0.96 Construction 1.07 0.89 0.90 0.94 0.88 Manufacturing 1.02 1.09 0.95 0.85 Wholesale and Retail Trade 1.10 0.84 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 1.13 1.11 Information 1.08 0.87 0.83 0.91 1.15 1.16 Financial Services Professional and Business Services 1.00 Education Health Services 0.93 Leisure and Hospitality 0.97 Other Services Government 1.12 Non-Farm 0.86 1.03

12 Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working Days)
By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Apr. 2016 Resources 12.0 14.0 18.1 13.5 18.7 17.3 22.5 16.5 14.2 Construction 7.9 8.8 7.3 4.3 6.1 9.5 10.9 11.5 14.5 Manufacturing 17.4 20.9 21.6 13.8 23.4 28.4 29.2 30.6 33.0 Wholesale and Retail Trade 15.8 15.5 13.1 15.9 19.8 18.6 20.6 22.9 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 17.0 11.3 18.2 23.9 28.0 30.1 Information 25.8 36.0 34.4 40.9 36.6 36.7 35.3 30.0 Financial Services 32.1 27.6 25.7 33.3 36.2 37.2 43.0 42.8 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 21.9 26.5 Education 25.0 22.0 18.5 21.1 23.8 26.6 31.2 31.8 Health Services 39.1 35.8 36.4 29.8 33.5 34.6 38.4 45.0 48.3 Leisure and Hospitality 13.7 14.8 14.9 10.4 13.3 19.3 19.7 Other Services 25.2 16.9 18.9 20.0 20.8 30.4 Government 33.2 30.7 35.7 32.2 35.9 37.7 38.0 35.5 Non-Farm 24.1 26.8 27.8

13 Focus on Professional & Business Services
Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working days) By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Apr. 2016 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 21.9 26.5 25.8 Private 19.3 20.1 15.5 19.0 21.6 23.2 26.0 27.2 Non-Farm 20.0 21.1 22.5 24.1 26.8 27.8 Recruiting Intensity Index 1.08 1.07 0.90 0.83 0.94 0.96 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.05 0.95 0.86 0.92 0.99 1.03

14 Mean Vacancy Duration by Establishment Size
Selected Time Periods Class Size 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Feb. 2016 1-9 19.4 18.2 17.2 19.9 13.3 16.7 19.2 23.3 27.8 25.2 10-49 15.2 14.9 17.4 16.5 12.9 15.7 19.0 20.7 22.9 50-249 17.0 19.3 15.1 17.9 21.0 21.2 23.9 21.5 25.4 24.8 17.7 24.4 24.0 26.5 29.4 29.1 36.3 34.8 44.2 35.8 30.8 34.4 37.2 36.7 39.5 44.8 5000+ 48.8 44.3 39.4 39.9 40.8 55.9 56.7 57.0 60.8 52.0 Recruiting Intensity Index By Establishment Size and Time Period 0.98 1.10 1.06 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.9 1.05 1.07 0.89 0.99 1.0 1.09 1.08 0.81 0.91 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.04 1.14 0.97 1.11 1.35 1.12 0.78 0.79 0.83 1.1

15 References Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2012), “Recruiting Intensity during and after the Great Recession: National and Industry Evidence,” American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings, 102, no. 3 (May), Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2013), “The Establishment-Level Behavior of Vacancies and Hiring,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128, no. 2 (May), Hornstein, Andreas, Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange, 2014, “Measuring Resource Utilization in the Labor Market,” Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 1Q 2014.


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