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First use of satellite AOD data for EMEP model validation for PM

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1 First use of satellite AOD data for EMEP model validation for PM
Title First use of satellite AOD data for EMEP model validation for PM Svetlana Tsyro TFMM 9-th meeting, Bordeaux, April 2008

2 Aerosol components and size distribution in the EMEP model
Natural SIA PPM X Water O coarse 2.5 < D < 10 µm accumulation 0.1 < D < 2.5 µm Aitken 0.02 < D < 0.1µm nucleation D < 0.02 µm Sea salt Dust OC* EC NH4 NO3 SO4 N Size fractions PM2.5 PM10 Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

3 Implementation of AOD in the aerosol model – observation operator:
1. Mass-based AOD Mass specific cross-sections (m2/g) for 0.55 µm (Tegen et al., 1997; Seinfeld & Pandis, 1997; Kinne et al., 2005) Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. 0.4 0.9 9 5.0 8.5 Eext wet Sea salt Min. dust EC OC NH4 NO3 SO4 Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

4 2. Size-distribution-based AOD
Qext - extinction efficiency, calculated using Mie-scattering theory for spherical and internally mixed particles Effective complex refractive index is the sum of volume weighted complex refractive indices of all aerosol components, including aerosol water meff = Σ (vi∙ni) + i Σ( vi∙ki) Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Lookup tables for Qext at 0.55 µm as function of radius and complex refractive index (n+i∙k) for monodisperse and log-normal distribution Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

5 Data from MODIS on polar-orbiting NASA satellites AQUA & TERRA
Hierarchical Data Format (HDF) - as one granule per file. Each granule consists of (203x135)10-km boxes along the satellite track. Used the MODIS product “Optical_Depth_Land_And_Ocean”, which contains data for AOD at 0.55 μm. relies on primary retrieved data only has most stringent quality control is a joint product, covering both land and ocean. hourly and daily averages aggregated in the 50 x 50 km2 EMEP grid Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

6 Selected for comparison periods:
July-August and November-December in 2003 March-April and July-August in 2004 Model calculated AOD have been averaged: for hours with sunlight and cloud cover less than 50% Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

7 Modelled annual mean AOD, 2004
Mie-LogNor Mass-based Mie-MONO Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

8 Daily mean AOD MODIS 1 August 2003 1 April 2004 1 December 2003 Mie
LogNor Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Mass- based Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

9 Model vs. MODIS AOD for entire EMEP area
0.36 -62 Mar-Apr 0.30 -32 Nov-Dec -71 Jul-Aug 0.49 -69 Mass-based 0.11 -77 0.07 -58 0.17 -82 0.31 -79 Mie-mono -51 -17 0.26 -54 0.35 -52 Mie-lognor 2004 2003 R Bias (%) AOD Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

10 Model vs. MODIS AOD for some regions
0.0 -59 0.35 0.32 -33 0.28 -53 Southern N. Atlantic 0.23 -26 -51 -18 0.05 -24 Mediterranean Sea 0.44 -71 0.37 -65 - 0.21 southern Norway 0.18 -56 0.24 -64 0.29 -14*) 0.67 central Russia 0.41 -29 0.17 8 0.66 -37 SE Europe 0.48 -54 0.30 -28 33 0.61 -44 Central Europe 0.53 -47 0.45 -23 0.87 23*) 0.65 -39 UK 0.50 -41 0.54 Benelux R Bias (%) Area July-Aug 2004 March-April 2004 Nov-Dec 2003 July-Aug 2003 Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Greater underestimation in summer Correlation is worse for sea/ocean areas Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

11 Daily timeseries for July-August 2003
Southern Europe Greece, Albania and Macedonia European part of Russia Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

12 Daily time-series of modelled and MODIS AOD EMEP stations for July-August 2003:
Birkenes (NO) Aspvreten (SE) Langenbrügge (DE) Cabo de Creus for July-August November-December March-April 2004 Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

13 Daily time-series for EMEP sites (July-Aug. 2004)
measured and calculated PM2.5, modelled AOD and MODIS AOD (x25) modelled and MODIS AOD Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

14 AOD vs. PM2.5: EMEP sites, summer months
Rather mixed correlations between measured PM2.5 and MODIS AOD are found for 18 considered stations. In general, the correlation between measured PM2.5 and AOD: better for sites in Southern Europe (mostly between and 0.7) lower in Central and Northern Europe (between 0.2 and 0.5) Higher correlations between modelled and MODIS AOD than between calculated and measured PM2.5 for many sites, especially for summer 2003. For instance, AOD and PM2.5 correlations are Chaumont (CH) Ispra (IT) Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

15 are associated with both
Uncertainties are associated with both Model calculations and MODIS data COMPARABILITY….. Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

16 Sensitivity test diameters of primary emitted particles were decreased
Aitken particles from 0.04 μm to 0.03 μm accumulation particles from 0.4 μm to 0.3 μm. Relative changes in the annual mean Accum. diameter AOD Accum. number Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. % Aitken 35 – 75% accum 5 - 15% Aitken 10 – 17% accum 5 - 20% land 1 – 5% ocean The effect of increased aerosol number is overridden by the effect of decreased scattering cross-section Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

17 Summary 1 Observation operator for AOD (at 0.55 µm) has been developed in the EMEP aerosol model Several assumptions were tested: mass based, Mie-monodisperse Mie- lognormal BEST! More tests: sensitivity studies (complex reflective indices, extinction efficiency dependence on the aerosol size distribution and mixture type) Case studies (anthropogenic pollution episodes, Saharan dust, forest fires) Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

18 Summary 2 On average, model calculated AOD is lower compared to MODIS data for all seasons: by 51 to 55 % for summer and spring by about 11% for late autumn-winter months. The spatial correlation between them is rather poor for all seasons: somewhat better for summer months July and August (0.35 in 2003 and 0.26 in 2004). The temporal correlation for locations (areas, EMEP sites) is actually fairly good ( ), even better than for PM2.5 for some sites Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

19 Final remark Using new types of measurements, other than EMEP monitoring data, for model validation is very instructive and exciting (and a bit scary) … like EMEP intensive measurements, satellite total column data, LIDAR vertical profiles….. Fine and coarse particles are distinguished in order to account for the different dry and wet removal rates. Meteorologisk Institutt met.no


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