1. ARTS – Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity
Workshop Session 1.1
ESPON Seminar Krakow, Nov. 2011
Bernd Schuh (OIR)

2. ESPON ARTS: The Task
to develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA)
to analyse the impact of EU policy proposals taking the sensitivity of regions into account
testing the TIA quick check with a set of 12 directives
supplying policy makers with an operational procedure that could work as a “evidence based policy support”

3. The theoretical approach
The vulnerability concept
Exposure: the intensity by which EU directives and policies involve particular “fields” of the territorial realm (e.g. surface water quality, emissions, sectoral production)
(Territorial) Sensitivity: how single regions are sensitive to, or evaluate, impacts in specific exposure fields, due to their socio- economic and geographical characteristics
Territorial Impact : the potential effect (in the future) of a given EU policy as a consequence of exposure and regional sensitivity
Policies
Regions
Exposure
Territorial sensitivity
Territorial impact

4. The result: TIA Quick Check
An excel tool and a procedure
a user-friendly methodology that allows to make a ‘quick and dirty’ ex-ante analysis of the potential impact of EU policy proposals on the development of regions
combining
a standardised indicator-based Excel –tool with
a means to systematically collect expert knowledge in a workshop setting

5. 9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals
The TIA quick check
9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals
The conceptual model : How do a directive affect the development of regions?
Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains (branching)
Which types of regions are affected? (regional exposure)
What is the intensity of exposure on different fields?
What is the territorial impact on regions?
Do the results make sense? (plausibility and quality check)
Which regions are affected in which fields? (mapping t)
What are the policy implications? (adaptive capacity discussion)
How to communicate the results (write-up)

6. Result Maps
Effects of Directive of recognition of qualification on migration balance in countries of origin

7. Some results – TIA of directive
Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch b) pollutants in air
Regions affected by Directive on air quality – Branch a) economic growth (GDP/ cap.)
Some results – TIA of directive

8. Experiences of the Project:
Development of an excel tool and a procedure
The standard TIA quick check
helps to identify the relevant thematic fields that are effected by a policy proposal.
allows to select NUTS2 regions with a potentially high positive or negative impact.
helps to set a focus an further and more detailed impact analysis.
The advanced TIA quick check
allows users to define special indicators describing the exposure to policy proposals and the regional sensitivity
provides the technical framework for the vulnerability analysis
can serve for a more detailed analysis of a specific potential impact of policy proposals.