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ESTP Course Balance of Payments – Introductory course Paris, 22-23 May 2014 Economic Analysis of BOP.

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Presentation on theme: "ESTP Course Balance of Payments – Introductory course Paris, 22-23 May 2014 Economic Analysis of BOP."— Presentation transcript:

1 ESTP Course Balance of Payments – Introductory course Paris, May 2014 Economic Analysis of BOP

2 L16 - Economic analysis of BOP/IIP statistics

3 Summary of 2013 Balances on Current Account (WEO – april 2014)
USD bill. % GDP US –379.3 - 2.3 ZE 366.0 +2.9 EU 328.9 +1.9 Emerging and developing countries (by source of export earnings) 210.0 Fuel : Non fuel : -235 +0.7 These data are extracted from the WEO statistical annex.

4 Use of BOP data in economic analysis
Openness degree : credits + debits/GDP (vulnerability in case of decrease of external demand) Measure of competitiveness : goods and services/GDP Gap between savings and investment rates : current account balance/GDP Financial account : degree of financial integration   FDI : degree of insertion of domestic companies in the international environment

5 Euro area IIP (% of GDP)

6 BOP versus monetary statistics
Ecb : monetary approach of bop Monetary presentation

7 BOP data use in economic analysis : the WEO example

8 MIPC : detection of macroeconomic imbalances

9 Concluding remarks : new challenges for BOP compilers …
Link micro and macro data, Balance internal consistency, « cross-datasets » domestic consistency and cross-country consistency, Balance frequency, coverage, timeliness « Link without tightening » BoP/IIP data and other sets of external statistics


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