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Time Series and Trends at GAW Global Site Hohenpeissenberg

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Presentation on theme: "Time Series and Trends at GAW Global Site Hohenpeissenberg"— Presentation transcript:

1 Time Series and Trends at GAW Global Site Hohenpeissenberg
Christian Plass-Duelmer, Stefan Gilge, Harald Flentje, Anja Werner, Stéphane Sauvage And the GAW Team at Hohenpeissenberg TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

2 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Long-term observations at Hohenpeissenberg TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

3 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Time series by monthly means (anthropog. VOC) Fit of an exponential decay and sine-curve Zeitreihen ausgewählter anthropogener Kohlenwasserstoffe Yields: exponential decay seasonal amplitude phase shift Comparison of different time series TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

4 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Exponential decay compared for different stations Different Central European Stations show similar trends - gives confidence in observed trends TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

5 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Hohenpeissenberg NOxy: Monthly means, linear trends, 12 months running mean 12 months running means enable visualization of long-term changes TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

6 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Linear trends of 12-months-running-means: before and after 2000 trends need long-term observation TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

7 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Non-organic trace gases 12-M-running-means, normalized to year 2000 Max. Min. TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

8 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Organic gases (alkanes) Max. Min. Again, similar general max/min = „chemical weather“ Similar sources(fossil)/sinks(OH)/transport(meteo) fluctuations Interesting tool for long-term trends: use of ratios TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

9 Hohenpeissenberg aerosol time series Linear trends of monthly means
-37 ± 9 cm-3yr-1 Declining aerosol concentrations whereas increasing scattering ? Neph data need to be checked w.r.t. humidity and sampling changes TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

10 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
PMF yields factors representing different sources and different ageing Factor contributions to total NMHC Factor contributions to individual NMHC NMHC annual/weekly patterns represent various source impacts – powerful tool for model evaluation Leuchner et al., 2015 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

11 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Evaluation of CAMS Model (Copernicus) Expand NRT delivery from ACTRIS/GAW/ EMEP stations for CO, O3, NO, NO2, SO2 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

12 ACTRIS Aerosols, Clouds, and Trace gases Research Infrastructure Network FP7-INFRASTRUCTURES ACTRIS – 2 H2020-INFRAIA “Integrating the key ground-based facilities for long-term observation of aerosols, cloud-aerosol interactions, and trace gases in Europe” GAW+ EMEP-Aerosol EMEP-VOC EMEP-NOx IGACO GALION Longitude [°] Latitude [°] Example: European VOC network TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

13 Round Robin and Side-by-side intercomparison OVOC NOx in guest-lab
ACTRIS Quality Assessment Round Robin and Side-by-side intercomparison OVOC NOx in guest-lab Hohenpeissenberg 10x CLD LIF CEAS CAPS CRDS 5 on-line GC 1 off-line GC DNPH/HPLC 3 PTR-MS Good results can be achieved by suitable techniques, but challenging Need for enhanced quality management – ACTRIS-2 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

14 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Questions in trend assessment / verification of emissions Which measurements do we need? Those regulated (EC) and those relevant for atmospheric processes (GAW and EMEP) important: NO2 not by MO-converters, VOC not just NMHC but also OVOC/BVOC What quality of measurements do we need? Such that we can evaluate regulations and understand processes e.g. GAW/ACTRIS DQO‘s of 5-10%, standardized quality management (ACTRIS) Which density of measurements do we need? Model related question How can we verify emissions? Models, inverse modelling, source apportionment (e.g. PMF), trend analyses How can we separate emission changes from transport/meteorology changes? Models, variability in weekly and seasonal cycles, Models and long-term observations must go hand in hand TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015

15 TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015
Thanks! We acknowledge the contribution by the ACTRIS Research Infrastructure Project supported by the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/ ) under grant agreement n TFMM Meeting, Krakow, May 2015


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