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Expected Value (MAT 142) Expected Value.

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Presentation on theme: "Expected Value (MAT 142) Expected Value."— Presentation transcript:

1 Expected Value (MAT 142) Expected Value

2 Expected Value (MAT 142) Vocabulary expected value decision theory

3 Find the expected hourly wage that a worker at this factory makes.
Of all workers at a certain factory, the proportions earning certain hourly wages are as follows: hourly wage $8.50 $9.00 $9.50 $10.00 $12.50 $15.00 proportion 20% 15% 25% 5% Find the expected hourly wage that a worker at this factory makes.

4 Suppose you are taking a multiple-choice test where each question has choices a through e. If you get the answer correct, you get 4 points. If you get a wrong answer, you lose 1 point. Find the expected value of a random guess.

5 Suppose you are taking a multiple-choice test where each question has choices a through e. If you get the answer correct, you get 4 points. If you get a wrong answer, you lose 1 point. Find the expected value of eliminating one answer and guessing among the remaining 4 possible answers.

6 Suppose you are taking a multiple-choice test where each question has choices a through e. If you get the answer correct, you get 4 points. If you get a wrong answer, you lose 1 point. Find the expected value of eliminating two answers and guessing among the remaining 3 possible answers.

7 Expected Value (MAT 142) Suppose you are taking a multiple-choice test where each question has choices a through e. If you get the answer correct, you get 4 points. If you get a wrong answer, you lose 1 point. Use decision theory and your previous answers to create a guessing strategy for this multiple-choice test.


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