1. The CAP post-2013: statistical needs in the field of rural development
Inma García de Fernando
DG AGRI – L2
Economic analyses of EU agriculture
Luxembourg, 5th October 2011

2. Structure 1- CAP post-2013 2- Rural development policy
3- DG AGRI data needs

3. 1- CAP post-2013 (i) Background of the reform
Entry of the Lisbon Treaty
End of the budgetary period in 2013
Need to align the CAP to the Europe 2020 strategy

4. To respond to challenges ahead
1- CAP post-2013 (ii)
Why is the CAP being reformed?
To respond to challenges ahead
Economic
challenges
Environmental
Territorial
Food security
Price variability
Economic crisis
GHG emissions
Soil depletion
Water/air quality
Habitats and biodiversity
Vitality of rural areas
Diversity of EU agriculture

5. Sustainable management of natural resources and climate action
1- CAP post-2013 (iii)
What are the main objectives of the reform?
Viable food
production
Sustainable management of natural resources and climate action
Balanced territorial
development
To contribute to farm income and limit its variability
To improve sector competitiveness
To compensate areas with natural constraints
To guarantee the provision of public goods
To foster green growth through innovation
To pursue climate change mitigation and adaptation
To support rural vitality and employment
To promote diversification
To allow social and structural diversity in rural areas

6. 2- Rural development policy (i)
(8.7 bn)
Direct payments
(39.1 bn)
Markets
(5 bn)
Modulation
Budget 2009
(0.45% of the GDP of the EU-27)
Pillar I
Pillar II

7. 2- Rural development policy (ii)
Total indicative rural development expenditures for EU-27 ( ) (*)
(*) Based on the notifications of the Member States, February 2009.

8. 2- Rural development policy (ii)
Distribution of the Community support between objectives (2009)
Medium-term prospects remain favourable
EU GDP growth above +2% per year
USD/EUR exchange rate to rebound to 1.5 by 2016
EU inflation around 2% per year
EU population growth would slow to 0.3% per year
Crude oil price increases to 97 USD/barrel by 2016
World GDP growth between 3.5%-4.0% per year

9. 3- DG AGRI data needs (i)
Life cycle of rural development programmes

10. 3- DG AGRI data needs (ii)
The Common monitoring and evaluation framework (according to the programming period ): a general approach developed by the Commission and the Member States defining a limited number of common indicators relating to the baseline situation and the financial execution, outputs, results and impacts of the programme.
Following the policy discussions, a new framework for the monitoring and evaluation of the CAP is being discussed.

11. 3- DG AGRI data needs (iii)
Hierarchy of objectives in the CMEF :
Baseline indicators : Rural Development Report
Input indicators: refer to the budget
Output indicators: measure activities directly realised within the programmes (i.e.: number of participants in a training)
Result indicators: measure the direct and immediate effects of the intervention (i.e.: gross number of jobs created)
Impact indicators: refer to the broad benefits of the programme (i.e.: increase in employment in rural areas).

12. 3- DG AGRI data needs (iv)
Rural development report: statistical and economic information
Its main objective is to provide, on a regular basis, a comprehensive set of information on EU rural development policy and rural areas, covering EU27.
2 types of information:
Statistical and scientific information on the main features of rural areas
Administrative information on the status of implementation of Rural Development Policy (monitoring of the measures and of the budget)

13. 3- DG AGRI data needs (v)
In the context of the CAP reform, some thematic areas might gain importance:
Farm support mainly decoupled and subject to cross-compliance: Greening of the direct payments
Rural development: greater emphasis on the environment, climate change and innovation
→ environmental data
Improved food chain functioning
→ price monitoring data at different levels along the food supply chain
Support rural vitality and employment:
→ socio-economic data, ideally at NUTS-3 level.

14. Provisional conclusions
Rural Development Policy will be further developed on the basis of comprehensive evaluations analysing the situation in rural areas and the impact of the policy.
Programming regions, Member States and the European Commission have to rely on meaningful statistical data at an adequate geographical level (i.e.: in some countries Rural development programmes are implemented at regional level).
DG AGRI supports to further improve data availability at NUTS III level for analytical and evaluation purposes to present the information following the definition of rural areas which has been elaborated and agreed between REGIO, AGRI and Eurostat.