1. Complex Systems, Dynamics & Design KEY NOTE Professor Jeffrey Johnson, Principal Investigator: ECiD2 Research Cluster.

2. Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex

3. Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex

4. Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex design environment can be complex

5. Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex design environment can be complex design - a complex cognitive social process

6. Complexity, Dynamics & Design Design involves assembles parts into wholes predicting the behaviour of the whole

7. Complexity, Dynamics & Design Design involves assembles parts into wholes predicting the behaviour of the whole dynamics

8. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience

9. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Halleys Comet

10. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Halleys Comet Newtons Laws – a triumph for science

11. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Predictive science for engineering design

12. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Some systems: point prediction impossible

13. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

14. Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Dynamics and prediction in design ? Science versus pre-science: just knowing How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

15. Complexity & Dynamics

16. Complex Systems & Prediction Dynamics emerge from interactions of many heterogeneous parts at many levels Trial and error not an option Must understand transitions

17. Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t Now time horizon ?

18. Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction Now t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t time horizon ?

19. Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction Now t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t time horizon ? designing the future

20. Complexity & Dynamics Design as the Lab of Complex Systems map out possible futures from data make a change create artificial system observe what happens Experiments not replicable

21. Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money

22. Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers

23. Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers But they know nothing of design as process

24. Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers CS Scientists need to know about design …together we are designing the future