1. JACK DYER University of Tasmania
CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS, COSTS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR GLOBAL AND PACIFIC MARITIME SUPPLY CHAINS
JACK DYER
University of Tasmania

2. Global Mean Surface Temperature, Climate Change Projections

3. Yearly Occurrence of Pacific Climate-Related Natural Disasters

4. Global Sea Level Rise, Climate Change Risk Projections

5. Defining A ‘Maritime’ Supply Chain For A Commodity

6. CLIMATE CHANGE LONG TERM RISKS
SEA LEVEL RISE
AIR, LAND AND OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE
CHANGES IN PRECIPITATION
CHANGES IN WIND VELOCITY
CHANGES IN CURRENTS, WAVE ENERGY AND SEDIMENTATION
CHANGES IN SPECIES MIGRATION AND BIODIVERSITY

7. CLIMATE CHANGE SUDDEN, SHORT TERM RISKS
STORMS/SUPERSTORM SURGES AND FLOODS
HURRICANES/CYCLONES,
DROUGHTS
HEATWAVES
LANDSLIDES
TSUNAMIS

8. CLIMATE CHANGE RISK EVENT IMPACT COSTS
Loss of life
Physical Damage to assets, cargo commodity, infrastructure to operations and performance, to other supply chains
Threat to Navigation/Physical Accessibility
Financial Cost –Adaptation, Repair, Lost Profits, Storage, Taxes, Insurance, Chartering Costs –vessels –fixed and operating,
Health/Safety
Environmental
Communication, Information and Warning Systems
Delay To Throughput/Productivity
Opportunity Cost
Reputational Cost, Administrative, Marketing, Legal; Policy
Changes in Competitiveness
Potential Trade Diversion/Intermodal Shift

9. CLIMATE CHANGE SUPPLY CHAIN ADAPTATION SOLUTIONS
Producers, Retail/Distributors and Other Stakeholders
Consumers/Customers
Information Gathering/Early Warning Systems
Acquiring information
Communication
Responsive to communications
Education/training, risk management, disaster and emergency response
Prioritising climate change awareness
Physical engineering, elevation, relocation
Possible migration/relocation
Natural engineering/environmental rehabilitation, greenhouse gas mitigation
Increasing environmental sustainability
Intermodalism
Flexible delivery arrangements
Flexibility – changing operations, markets, routes, commodities/input sourcing
Altering preferences, sourcing, supply and demand
Investing in new/modifying existing technology, equipment/processes
Changing demand/altering preferences
Responding to government legal, tax and regulatory policy changes

10. CLIMATE CHANGE LITERATURE RESPONSE STRATEGIES
Mitigation
Ecological Rehabilitation
Retreat/Surrender
Elevation
Migration
Adaptation

11. CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION PROJECTS REALITY CHECK Jack Dyer

12. Climate Change and Maritime Supply Chains Adaptation Strategy Reality Check Evaluation Criteria

13. CLIMATE CHANGE OPPORTUNITIES
Pacific Climate Futures –Projections (Information Uncertainty).
Paris COP21….Climate Adapt 2016 Adelaide….
Pacific Legislation
Climateproofing of Avatiu, Mangaia, Pohnpei Harbour
Renewable vessel energy
Trade Diversion/Trade Creation
Climate Change Financing Sources
Community Awareness and activism –coal…
Pacific community stakeholder case studies mitigation, adaptation, ecological rehabilitation, migration, elevation and relocation…
Current PHD…..

14. JACK DYER

15. Any questions ? ? ?
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