1. Human Resources Development Project (HRDP) – Tanzania Case Study
Group 4
Human Resources Development Project (HRDP) – Tanzania Case Study
Index
Theory of Change
Assumptions and Contextual Factors
Design Matrix
EPDET, 2011
Vilanec, The Czech Republic

2. 1. Theory of Change
Output
Int. Outcomes
Outcomes
Input
Activities
Impact
$ 20.9 million from IDA + $ 3.16 million from Government
Project Support Group (PSG)
Technical Assistance
School Committees training and mobilization
Parents aware and trained
Increased parents participation
Raised enrollment rate (primary)
Improved quality of primary education
Imroved capabilities and opportunities particularly of women
Strengthened Education System
Formulation of School Plans
School plans created and approved
Implemented components of school Plans
Training for MOEC staff including district level
Staff at district level trained
Improved management of educ. at school and district level
Selection of girls who will receive support for sec. education
Girls in secondary schools obtain scholarships
Increased Nr. of girls with access to upper sec: level education
Expanded career opportunities for girls sec. education
MOEC develop a M&E System
MOE officials trained on how to use the information
Database being used by MOE staff
Better informed ed. policy decisions
Database developed

3. Contextual Factors / Risks
2. Assumptions and Contextual Factors
Government contributes steadily to co-financing
Sustainable political commitments to the education sector
Other interventions don‘t influence the result of the project
Project
Coordination between PIUs /donors takes place
Government has made supplementary funds available through GBS e.g for salaries of teachers
Complementarity with other projects especially in secondary education
Family agree/afford to send girls to schools
Parents are motivated to participate in school committees
Girls have necessary English skills to go to secondary school
Pilot study potential for replication analyzed
Assumptions
Contextual Factors / Risks

4. 3. Design Matrix Questions
To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
To what extent did the implementation of school plans improve the management of schools?
To what extent did the project result in an improved test score of pupils?
To what extent did the project improve the educational management at district level?
What were the beneficiaries opinion of the project?
To what extent are the project results are sustained over time?

5. 3. Design Matrix (Cont.)
1. To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
1.1 Did enrollment in targeted areas reach the desired target 90%?
Type of Question
Normative
Measures / Indicators
Baseline 70% average enrollment rate
Target 90% enrollment rate by end of project in targeted district
Design
One shot
Data Sources
Census since 1 year before beginning of project
Sample or Census
MOE records
Data Collection Instrument
Compilation into a data retrieval form
Data Analysis
Comparison to standard

6. 3. Design Matrix (Cont.)
1. To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
1.2 To what extent did the enrollment in the targeted areas increase compared to enrollment in non-targeted areas?
Type of Question
Cause and Effect
Measures / Indicators
Enrollment rate at targeted areas (gender disaggregated data) x not targeted areas
Design
Time series triangulated by other time series
Data Sources
MOE records
Sample or Census
Census for districts closest in terms of welfare index + national average
Data Collection Instrument
Compilation into a data retrieval form
Data Analysis
Comparison to projection each year and over the time period + comparison with national average

7. 3. Design Matrix (Cont.)
1. To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
1.3 How many components of school plans implemented targeted enrollment?
Type of Question
Descriptive
Measures / Indicators
% of school plans with components explicitly targeting enrollment
% of components implemented explicitly targeting enrollment
Design
One-shot
Data Sources
School plans, Project Support Group
Database
Interviews
Sample or Census
Random sample of 350 school plans
Random sample of 300 funded school plans
Data Collection Instrument
Desk review
Data Analysis
Frequency count

8. 3. Design Matrix (Cont.)
1. To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
1.4 How is higher participation of parents in school committees linked with increased enrolment in schools?
Type of Question
Descriptive
Measures / Indicators
Nr. of school committee meetings per year
Nr. of parents attending meetings
Enrolment rates for targeted districts
Design
Correlation design
Data Sources
Attendance sheets of school committees and enrollment
Sample or Census
Random sample of 350 school committees
Data Collection Instrument
School record
Data Analysis
Correlation analysis

9. 3. Design Matrix (Cont.)
1. To what extent did the project improve the enrollment of pupils?
1.5 In which ways did parents participate in school committees?
Type of Question
Descriptive
Measures / Indicators
Parents formulate recommendations for school plans
Mechanisms in which way parents recommendations were taken into account
Design
One-shot
Data Sources
Parents representatives
Sample or Census
2 focus groups for each of 3 strata based on frequency of participation
Data Collection Instrument
Focus groups
Data Analysis
Content analysis

10. Thank you! Group 4: Charlotte Hjertsstrom Katka Zezulkova
Matthias Bechtolsheim
Ondrej Nadvornik
Patricia Baptista
Radka Kotinska
Sarah Seus