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Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study  Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD, Sara Ahmadi-Abhari,

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Presentation on theme: "Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study  Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD, Sara Ahmadi-Abhari,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study  Dr Maria Guzman-Castillo, PhD, Sara Ahmadi-Abhari, PhD, Piotr Bandosz, PhD, Prof Simon Capewell, DSc, Prof Andrew Steptoe, DSc, Prof Archana Singh-Manoux, PhD, Prof Mika Kivimaki, PhD, Martin J Shipley, MSc, Prof Eric J Brunner, PhD, Prof Martin O'Flaherty, PhD  The Lancet Public Health  Volume 2, Issue 7, Pages e307-e313 (July 2017) DOI: /S (17) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

2 Figure 1 Projected number of cases (A) and prevalence (B) of disability in men and women aged 65 years or older from 2015 to 2025 in England and Wales Shaded areas represent 95% uncertainty intervals. Prevalence of disability is standardised to 2015 population estimates for England and Wales. The Lancet Public Health 2017 2, e307-e313DOI: ( /S (17) ) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions

3 Figure 2 Projected life expectancy trends between 2015 and 2025 in England and Wales decomposed by years lived with and without disability from different age points Error bars show 95% uncertainty intervals. The Lancet Public Health 2017 2, e307-e313DOI: ( /S (17) ) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license Terms and Conditions


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