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Modification 501 slides for Workgroup

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Presentation on theme: "Modification 501 slides for Workgroup"— Presentation transcript:

1 Modification 501 slides for Workgroup
Lesley Ramsey Matthew Hatch

2 Background Currently, commercial arrangements for gas flows at Bacton ASEP, (both interconnectors and off shore production) are covered by the provisions of the UNC. EU Codes introduce rules to apply to IPs To ensure CAM/CMP procedures are only applied at Interconnection Points (IPs), the existing BACTON ASEP will need to be split into two new ASEPS Bacton UKCS ASEP Bacton IP ASEP Existing UNC processes would continue to apply at the new Bacton UKCS ASEP CAM/CMP process will apply at Bacton IP ASEP 2 2

3 EU Regulation -requires changes to capacity arrangements
Continues to be covered by GB UNC FIELD Production FIELD Production Bacton UKCS Terminal Sub Terminals FIELD Production FIELD Production BBL ST IUK ST To be covered by EU Regulation

4 Requirement to split existing holdings between the two new ASEPs
[June 2015] NGG issue Invitation Letter Shippers indicate where existing Bacton holdings are required Further invitation letter to again indicate where existing holdings required Are aggregate level below obligated levels Requests are aggregated and compared to obligated levels Are aggregate level below obligated levels NO YES NO YES Requests pro rated Requests allocated in accordance with Shipper requests 4 4

5 Main principle Following the reallocation of existing capacity between the 2 Bacton ASEPs Users will : hold the same amount of NTS Entry Capacity in aggregate (at the two new Bacton ASEPs) as they currently hold at the existing Bacton ASEP be liable for the same costs at the 2 new Bacton ASEPs as they currently are at the existing Bacton ASEP (under the current charging methodology) 5 5

6 Proposed timeline for the Bacton Reallocation process
Existing UNC processes RMT&TSEC and Daily auctions continue for each month Once Bacton Reallocation process is complete, re-instate relevant UNC processes Mar 2015 QSEC auction held Need to suspend RMT&TSEC and Daily auction for Nov at Bacton ASEP Need to stop Capacity Transfers at Bacton once new process begins Mar 2015 QSEC auction allocated Feb 2015 AMSEC auction held 2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov New processes Write out with reallocations (where determined) hold second process if necessary Write out with reallocations from final process if necessary 10 days after QSEC auction is allocated Invite Users CAM implemented Inform Users of new ASEPs following Ofgem direction of GT Licence changes Inform Users of any new charge types or changes to invoices Final Capacity Reallocation if necessary First Capacity Reallocation 6

7 Obligated levels at Bacton Entry Point
Obligated level of capacity at the existing Bacton ASEP (Table 6 of Special Condition 5F of GT Licence) is : GWh/d The creation of 2 new points and obligated levels will require Ofgem to issue a Section 23 notice. The October 2013 Ofgem Open letter suggested the following: Bacton UKCS GWh/d and Bacton IP GWh/d The final values in the GT licence could be different, but the Ofgem Open letter values have been used in the following examples 7 7 7 7

8 UNC processes to be suspended
From [June – October 2015], whilst the reallocation process is taking place, the following processes will be suspended Transfers of NTS Entry Capacity (TPD B5) for the period 01 November 2015 onwards New Capacity Constraint Management agreements (TPD B2.8) for the period 01 November 2015 onwards There will be no October 2015 RMT&TSEC auction for November 2015 NTS Entry Capacity at Bacton ASEP There will be no relevant daily auctions held in October 2015 for November 2015 NTS Entry Capacity 8

9 Invitation Letter Invitation letter issued requesting that Users signal how they want their existing registered NTS capacity at Bacton to be reallocated between the two new ASEPs Issued following Feb 2015 AMSEC and Mar 2015 QSEC Invitation letter will contain User’s current capacity holdings at existing Bacton ASEP A proforma for the User to indicate quantity of capacity to be allocated at each new ASEP NTS Entry Capacity requested at the two new ASEPs should be equal to the existing holdings held at the Bacton ASEP for each relevant period Completed profoma to be faxed back to NGG by [26 June 2014] 9 9

10 Existing holdings Example of Users holdings over all the QSEC auctions over the quarters 1 October 2016 until 30 September 2018 are as per the table below: kWh/day 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A 400,000,000 10,000,000 User B 200,000,000 User C 300,000,000 User D 100,000,000 TOTAL 1,000,000,000 1,300,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 10 10 10 10

11 Reallocation If the Initial Capacity Reallocation fully reallocates all the existing Registered NTS Entry Capacity to the two new ASEPs then NGG will reallocate on Users behalf as per Users request User will not be required to undertake any actions If Users do not respond by the required date then the default will be reallocation between the Bacton UKCS ASEP and the Bacton IP ASEP in the same proportion as the Obligated levels at the two ASEPs. 11

12 Eg -Requests aggregated and compared to baselines
Initial Capacity Reallocation IP kWh/day 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A 200,000,000 5,000,000 User B 40,000,000 2,000,000 User C 120,000,000 160,000,000 4,000,000 User D 60,000,000 180,000,000 6,000,000 Total 420,000,000 580,000,000 17,000,000 11,000,000 UKCS 8,000,000 240,000,000 720,000,000 23,000,000 19,000,000 TOTAL 1,000,000,000 1,300,000,000 30,000,000 Above Obligated level Obligatd level 1302Gwh Obligatd level 481.4Gwh For the other four quarters, the User requests will be allocated as requested as the aggregate requests are below the Obligated levels The aggregate requested level at the UKCS ASEP are above the Obligated level of 481.4Gwh 12 12 12 12

13 Final Capacity Reallocation
Where Users have signalled an aggregate level of capacity > obligated level for any Months/Quarters to the two new ASEPs NGG will issue on [3rd August 2015] another Bacton capacity reallocation invitation for relevant months/quarters to give Users another opportunity to indicate where they would wish their Registered NTS Entry Capacity rights to be held in future This final capacity reallocation will take place by [14th September 2015] The whole process is anticipated to be completed by [28th September 2015]. 13

14 Final Capacity Reallocation
Example User requests Final Capacity Reallocation IP kWh/day 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A 200,000,000 5,000,000 240,000,000 User B 80,000,000 4,000,000 100,000,000 User C 120,000,000 160,000,000 User D 60,000,000 180,000,000 6,000,000 Total 460,000,000 620,000,000 19,000,000 520,000,000 13,000,000 UKCS 40,000,000 540,000,000 680,000,000 21,000,000 480,000,000 17,000,000 TOTAL 1,000,000,000 1,300,000,000 30,000,000 Above Obligated level Obligatd level 1302Gwh Obligatd level 481.4Gwh After the Final Capacity Reallocation, there are still three quarters where the Users aggregate requested level of capacity at the UKCS ASEP is above the Obligated level (481.4Gwh), so pro-ration will take place for those quarters The requests in the quarter beginning 1 January 2018 will now be allocated in full as they are below the two Obligated levels 14 14 14 14

15 Pro-ration Example Previous slide shows UKCS
oversubscribed, compared to new baseline of 481,400,000kwh (for period ) User A 200,000,000 User B 120,000,000 User C 180,000,000 User D 40,000,000 Total 540,000,000 Pro-ration is applied (User Bids/ Total User Bids x Baseline = Prorated allocation) User A 178,296,296 User B 106,977,778 User C 160,466,667 User D 35,659,259 Total 481,400,000 15

16 Pro-ration Example User requests through Bacton Reallocation Process - Pro-ration Process Need to pro-rate in 3 Quarters IP kWh/day 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A 221,703,704 258,411,765 5,000,000 240,000,000 User B 93,022,222 115,047,059 4,000,000 100,000,000 User C 139,533,333 230,094,118 120,000,000 User D 64,340,741 215,047,059 6,000,000 60,000,000 Total 518,600,000 818,600,000 19,000,000 520,000,000 13,000,000 UKCS 178,296,296 141,588,235 160,000,000 106,977,778 84,952,941 160,466,667 169,905,882 180,000,000 35,659,259 40,000,000 481,400,000 21,000,000 480,000,000 17,000,000 TOTAL 1,000,000,000 1,300,000,000 30,000,000 Original Bacton ASEP holding re-allocated to other point Remember bids need to end up >= Minimum Eligible Amount of 100,000 Pro-rate as above Obligated level User requests are pro-rated back to the Obligated level at the UKCS ASEP in the three quarters highlighted and the remaining amount of requested NTS Entry Capacity is reallocated to the IP ASEP 16 16 16 16

17 Charges Users will be liable for the same charges (at the two new Bacton ASEPs) as they currently are at the existing Bacton ASEP under the current charging methodology A weighted average price for the capacity for the relevant periods will be used (calculated for each User) Note: original clearing price of relevant auction 17

18 Assumed QSEC clearing prices to calculate WAP
Consider the quarters from 1 October 2016 until end of September 2018 The following table shows example clearing prices which were set in the three different QSEC auctions: QSEC Clearing prices p/kWh/d 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 QSEC1 0.0008 0.0012 0.0001 QSEC2 0.0007 QSEC3 0.0010 0.0005 18 18 18

19 Assumed User holdings at Bacton ASEP
The User holdings in the three QSEC auctions over that period are shown in the table below: Example User detailed holdings at existing Bacton ASEP kWh/day 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A QSEC1 100,000,000 5,000,000 QSEC2 200,000,000 QSEC3 Total 400,000,000 10,000,000 User B User C 50,000,000 150,000,000 300,000,000 User D 45,000,000 55,000,000 TOTAL 1,000,000,000 1,300,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 19 19 19

20 Assumed User holdings at Bacton ASEP - £s
The following table shows the charges which the Users are liable for from each of the QSEC auctions: Example User detailed holdings at existing Bacton ASEP £s 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A QSEC1 73,600 108,000 455 460 72,000 QSEC2 128,800 126,000 3,185 3,220 QSEC3 110,400 90,000 92,000 Total 312,800 324,000 3,640 3,680 294,400 288,000 User B 2,275 2,300 184,000 198,000 2,730 2,760 165,600 162,000 User C 36,800 36,000 64,400 63,000 180,000 138,000 135,000 266,800 351,000 239,200 234,000 User D 28,980 94,500 28,350 60,720 50,600 49,500 89,700 229,500 5,460 5,520 79,580 77,850 TOTAL 853,300 1,102,500 14,560 14,720 778,780 761,850 9,100 9,200 20 20 20

21 Assumed User holdings at Bacton – User WAPs
So the individual User weighted average prices can be calculated from the original QSEC auction clearing prices for the relevant periods And these WAPs will be used during the Bacton Reallocation process at both the Bacton UKCS and Bacton IP ASEPs Example User detailed holdings at existing Bacton ASEP p/kWh/d 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 WAP User A 0.0009 0.0004 0.0008 User B 0.0010 0.0011 0.0003 User C User D 0.0006 0.0000 21 21 21

22 Results of the Reallocation Process £s
Original User holdings at existing Bacton ASEP £s 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A 312,800 324,000 3,640 3,680 294,400 288,000 User B 184,000 198,000 2,730 2,760 165,600 162,000 User C 266,800 351,000 239,200 234,000 User D 89,700 229,500 5,460 5,520 79,580 77,850 Total 853,300 1,102,500 14,560 14,720 778,780 761,850 9,100 9,200 Reallocated User holdings £s 01/10/2016 01/01/2017 01/04/2017 01/07/2017 01/10/2017 01/01/2018 01/04/2018 01/07/2018 User A IP 173,372 209,314 1,820 1,840 163,174 172,800 UKCS 139,428 114,686 131,226 115,200 Total 312,800 324,000 3,640 3,680 294,400 288,000 User B 85,580 113,897 1,092 1,104 77,022 81,000 98,420 84,103 1,638 1,656 88,578 184,000 198,000 2,730 2,760 165,600 162,000 User C 124,092 201,908 111,255 93,600 142,708 149,092 127,945 140,400 266,800 351,000 239,200 234,000 User D 57,714 164,511 3,276 3,312 51,202 46,710 31,986 64,989 2,184 2,208 28,378 31,140 89,700 229,500 5,460 5,520 79,580 77,850 TOTAL 853,300 1,102,500 14,560 14,720 778,780 761,850 9,100 9,200 Users are therefore liable for the same financial commitment for their NTS Entry Capacity rights at the two new ASEPs as they were at the original Bacton ASEP 22 22 22 22


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