2. 2012 Presidential Poll Kenya
Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
Samburu Room
January

3. Introduction
The survey was necessitated by the coming General election in 2012
The survey sort to establish the Presidential candidate’s popularity
The polls were conducted in countrywide on Monday 12th December 2012 and Monday 2rd of January 2012.
The sample size considered was 2300 out of which 94% turned out to be registered voters

4. The respondents were proportionally distributed in majority of counties with respect to the population and geographical location.
The questionnaire captured different issues with sub issues that are compared in these surveys
The survey was sponsored by ISS Africa in partnership with CPR International.
Random sampling and quota sampling methods were employed

5. The degree of confidence was 99% for the survey results.
The survey calculated margin of error of +/-3%
The response rate was 98% for the questionnaires administered

6. Objectives of the Survey
Presidential candidates popularity, strengths and weakness
Political party popularity in the country and at the county level.

7. Analysis by Sample

8. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY GENDER
Most approachable gender in terms of politics is male.
Females are a bit conservative in terms of politics.

9. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY AGE
This data can be interpreted to mean that majority of the respondents or population are youthful and hence as indicated by the registered voters from IEBC young people will have the say in the coming general election.

10. SAMPLING BY VOTER’S CARD
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY VOTER’S CARD
Validation point of this survey and the finding of the survey can be considered the opinion of the registered voters largely

11. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY RELIGION

12. SAMPLING BY EMPLOYMENT
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY EMPLOYMENT
Majority of the respondents were self employed.
The unemployed rate is high at 26.8 % this shows that unemployment needs to be tackled seriously as an entity

13. SAMPLING BY POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT
This shows that the awareness level of this country is high and hence a presidential candidates should tackle real issues in the upcoming campaigns rather than dwell on propagandas’.

14. SAMPLING BY VOTING IN GENERAL ELECTIONS
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
SAMPLING BY VOTING IN GENERAL ELECTIONS
This question tends most of the times to be MISREPRESENTED as its shows the willingness to vote rather than the actual people who will vote.
This is so largely by the fact that people are held up by other “Important” engagements.

15. REASON FOR NOT VOTING OTHER ASPIRANTS
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
REASON FOR NOT VOTING OTHER ASPIRANTS

16. Analysis by Regions

17. POPULAR CANDIDATE – NAIROBI
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – NAIROBI

18. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi POPULAR CANDIDATE - CENTRAL

19. POPULAR CANDIDATE – RIFTVALLEY
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – RIFTVALLEY

20. POPULAR CANDIDATE – WESTERN
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – WESTERN

21. POPULAR CANDIDATE – EASTERN
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – EASTERN

22. POPULAR CANDIDATE – NYANZA
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – NYANZA

23. POPULAR CANDIDATE – COAST
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – COAST

24. POPULAR CANDIDATE – NORTH EASTERN
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR CANDIDATE – NORTH EASTERN

25. National Average

26. POPULAR POLITICAL PARTY
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
POPULAR POLITICAL PARTY

27. Political Parties to watch..
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
Political Parties to watch..

28. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
NATIONAL POPULARITY

29. NATIONAL POPULARITY Turning out to be a 2 Horse Race
ISS Africa Presidential Poll – Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
NATIONAL POPULARITY
Turning out to be a 2 Horse Race
RAILA ODINGA Losing Ground why?
MIGUNA MIGUNA ISSUE
ODM ELECTION WRANGLES
UHURU KENYATTA – Gaining ground, why?
STRONG RECOVERY FOR SHILLING
HAGUE SYMPATHY
REVAMPING OF KANU

30. ISS Africa Presidential Poll – 2012 Published 11th January 2012, Intercontinental Hotel, Nairobi
The gains and losses

31. ThankYou