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Adaptation costs and finances
BASIC Workshop (Dr Habiba Gitay)
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Exposure to climate change and cost of adaptation
Amount per yr Exposure to CC Costs of Adaptation Cost $B ODA and concessional lending $100B 40% 10-20% 4 to 8 Foreign Direct Investment $160B 10% 2 to 3 Gross Domestic Investment $1500B 2-10% 3 to 30 TOTAL 10 to 40
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What will inaction cost?
Various estimates : $10B - $100B per year in direct impacts in developing countries c.f. - Costs of adaptation $10B to $40B per year
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Mitigation cost (i) voluntary actions; (ii) international grants; and
(iii) trade Trade : biggest flow of funds for developing countries (about $20-$120 billion per year)
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Various Funds for adaptation
Adaptation fund 2% of the CDM: US$ million Special Climate Change fund Technology transfer, adaptation and mitigation LDC fund – about US$40 million pledged GEF adaptation (SPA): 50 million in GEF III; GEF IV ???
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Least Developed country actions on adaptation
About 40 LDCs producing National Adaptation Plans of Action (NAPAs) 3 formally submitted now – several in draft Requests for “urgent priorities” for adaptation range from c.$8M- $200M Bangladesh requests $74M (0.1% of GDP) At recent workshop, LDCs requested $0.5M per country grant as next phase
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Overall…. The costs of adaptation are substantial (i.e. billions of dollars per year) Costs of inaction are most likely very much greater Finances available/pledged are less than a billion Need to think innovatively of financing adaptation
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