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Upcoming Schedule PSU Stat Jan 2015

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1 Upcoming Schedule PSU Stat Jan 2015
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jan 5 Sec 7.2 Jan 6 Jan 7 Jan 8 Sec 7.3 Jan 9 Jan 12 Sec 7.4 Jan 13 Sec7.4 Jan 14 Jan 15 Review Jan 16 MLK Jr Day No School Jan 20 Chapter 7 test Jan 21 Jan 22 Jan 23

2 Finals Schedule for First Semester: Monday the 26th is a Skinny day.
Tuesday the 27th is A-Day classes. Wednesday the 28th is B-Day Finals. Thursday the 29th is A-Day Finals. Friday the 30th is the Planning Day.

3 Given CI=99%, give as much information as you can about the diagram below. Use proper symbols.
Bluman, Chapter 6

4 95% Confidence Interval of the Mean
Bluman, Chapter 7

5 Confidence Interval of the Mean for a Specific 
z 90% 1.65 95% 1.96 98% 2.33 99% 2.58 Common confidence intervals, CI, and z scores associated with them.

6 7.2 Confidence Intervals for the Mean When  Is Unknown
The value of , when it is not known, must be estimated by using s, the standard deviation of the sample. When s is used, especially when the sample size is small (n<30), critical values greater than the values for are used in confidence intervals in order to keep the interval at a given level, such as the 95%. These values are taken from the Student t distribution, most often called the t distribution. Bluman, Chapter 7

7 Characteristics of the t Distribution
The t distribution is similar to the standard normal distribution in these ways: 1. It is bell-shaped. 2. It is symmetric about the mean. 3. The mean, median, and mode are equal to 0 and are located at the center of the distribution. 4. The curve never touches the x axis. Bluman, Chapter 7

8 Characteristics of the t Distribution
The t distribution differs from the standard normal distribution in the following ways: 1. The variance is greater than 1. 2. The t distribution is actually a family of curves based on the concept of degrees of freedom, which is related to sample size. 3. As the sample size increases, the t distribution approaches the standard normal distribution. Bluman, Chapter 7

9 Degrees of Freedom The symbol d.f. will be used for degrees of freedom. The degrees of freedom for a confidence interval for the mean are found by subtracting 1 from the sample size. That is, d.f. = n - 1. Note: For some statistical tests used later in this book, the degrees of freedom are not equal to n - 1. Bluman, Chapter 7

10 Formula for a Specific Confidence Interval for the Mean When  Is Unknown and n < 30
The degrees of freedom are n - 1. Bluman, Chapter 7

11 Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size
Section 7-2 Example 7-5 Page #371 Bluman, Chapter 7

12 Example 7-5: Using Table F
Find the tα/2 value for a 95% confidence interval when the sample size is 22. Degrees of freedom are d.f. = 21. Bluman, Chapter 7

13 Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size
Section 7-2 Example 7-6 Page #372 Bluman, Chapter 7

14 Example 7-6: Sleeping Time
Ten randomly selected people were asked how long they slept at night. The mean time was 7.1 hours, and the standard deviation was 0.78 hour. Find the 95% confidence interval of the mean time. Assume the variable is normally distributed. Since  is unknown and s must replace it, the t distribution (Table F) must be used for the confidence interval. Hence, with 9 degrees of freedom, tα/2 = Bluman, Chapter 7

15 Example 7-6: Sleeping Time
One can be 95% confident that the population mean is between 6.5 and 7.7 inches. Bluman, Chapter 7

16 Chapter 7 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size
Section 7-2 Example 7-7 Page #372 Bluman, Chapter 7

17 Example 7-7: Home Fires by Candles
The data represent a sample of the number of home fires started by candles for the past several years. Find the 99% confidence interval for the mean number of home fires started by candles each year. Step 1: Find the mean and standard deviation. The mean is = and standard deviation s = Step 2: Find tα/2 in Table F. The confidence level is 99%, and the degrees of freedom d.f. = 6 t .005 = Bluman, Chapter 7

18 Example 7-7: Home Fires by Candles
Step 3: Substitute in the formula. One can be 99% confident that the population mean number of home fires started by candles each year is between and , based on a sample of home fires occurring over a period of 7 years. Bluman, Chapter 7

19 Z or t; see page 373 Please read the paragraph on top of the page.
Bluman, Chapter 7

20 z or t, page 373 Is s known? No yes
Use ta/2 values and s in the formula Use Za/2 values and s in the formula Bluman, Chapter 7

21 Homework Sec 7.2 Page 374 #1-4 all and 5-19 every other odds
Optional: if you have a TI 83 or 84 calc see page 376 Bluman, Chapter 7


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