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Agricultural Marketing

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Presentation on theme: "Agricultural Marketing"— Presentation transcript:

1 Agricultural Marketing
ECON 337: Agricultural Marketing Chad Hart Associate Professor 1

2 Example Transaction for Marketing Report
Details Cash Price Basis Gross Revenue Net Return after Prod. Costs Futures/Options Return Storage and Opportunity Costs Final Net Return

3 25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Home
Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Hedged with futures Jan. 16 Offset hedge and sold Mar. 29 So the corn was in storage for 5 months

4 Relevant Prices and Costs
Cash Prices: Nov. 1 $3.02 Mar. 29 $3.42 Basis at Sale: -$0.46 Prod. Costs: -$3.27 Futures Prices: Jan. 10 $3.57 Mar. 29 $3.88 Storage Costs: $0.01/month Interest Rate: 5%

5 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
5 months * $0.01/bu/month * 25,000 bu $1,250 or $0.05/bu Opportunity Costs (5/12) * $3.02/bu * 5% * 25,000 bu $1, or $0.0629/bu Total $2, or $0.1129/bu

6 Futures/Options Return
Sold 5 May ’17 corn futures on Jan. $3.57 Offset by buying 5 May ’17 corn futures on Mar. $3.88 Paid broker $0.01/bu for the service Per Bushel Return: ($ $3.88) - $0.01 = -$0.32 Return on Hedge: -$8,000.00

7 Final Tally for On-farm Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price $3.42 $85,500.00 Production Cost -$3.27 -$81,750.00 $0.15 $ 3,750.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1129 -$ 2,822.92 $0.0371 $ Futures/Options Return -$0.32 -$ 8,000.00 Final Net Return -$0.2829 -$ 7,072.92

8 25,000 Bushels of Corn Stored at Coop
Timeline Harvested Nov. 1 Sold some Jan. 16 Sold more Feb. 5 Sold on forward contract Feb. 20 Delivered on forward contract Mar. 1 Sold the rest Mar. 29 Some of the corn was stored for 2.5 months, some for 3.2 months, some for 4 months and the rest was in for 5 months

9 Relevant Prices and Costs
Price Basis Relevent Prices: Nov. 1 $3.02 Jan. 16 $ $0.44 Feb. 5 $ $0.42 Feb. 20 $ $0.40 Mar. 29 $ $0.46 Prod. Costs: -$3.27 Storage Costs: $0.03/month Interest Rate: 5%

10 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
2.5 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $375 or $0.075/bu Opportunity Costs (2.5/12) * $3.02/bu * 5% * 5,000 bu $ or $0.0315/bu Total $ or $0.1065/bu

11 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
3.2 months * $0.03/bu/month * 10,000 bu $ or $0.096/bu Opportunity Costs (3.2/12) * $3.02/bu * 5% * 10,000 bu $ or $0.0403/bu Total $1, or $0.1363/bu

12 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
4 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $ or $0.12/bu Opportunity Costs (4/12) * $3.02/bu * 5% * 5,000 bu $ or $0.0503/bu Total $ or $0.1703/bu

13 Costs of Ownership Storage Costs Opportunity Costs
5 months * $0.03/bu/month * 5,000 bu $750 or $0.15/bu Opportunity Costs (5/12) * $3.02/bu * 5% * 5,000 bu $ or $0.0629/bu Total $1, or $0.2129/bu Grand Total $3, or $0.1524/bu

14 Final Tally for Off-farm Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price – Sale 1 $3.04 $15,200.00 Cash Price – Sale 2 $3.17 $31,700.00 Cash Price – Sale 3 $3.25 $16,250.00 Cash Price – Sale 4 $3.42 $17,100.00 $3.21 $80,250.00 Production Cost -$3.27 -$81,750.00 -$0.06 -$ 1,500.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1524 -$ 3,811.21 Final Net Return -$0.2124 -$ 5,311.21

15 Final Tally for All of My Corn
Per Bushel Total Cash Price $3.315 $165,750.00 Production Cost -$3.27 -$163,500.00 $0.045 $ 2,250.00 Costs of Ownership -$0.1327 -$ 6,634.13 -$0.0877 -$ 4,384.13 Futures/Options Return -$0.16 -$ 8,000.00 Final Net Return -$0.2477 -$ 12,384.13

16 Estimate 2018 Production Costs

17 Estimate 2018 Production Costs

18 Other Information/Decisions
Expected Production Futures Hedges Options Forward Sales Crop Storage Crop Insurance Farm Bill Programs

19 Class web site:


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