Presentation on theme: "The Death of Distance Frances Cairncross Exeter College, Oxford Tel Aviv, August 31 st 2005."— Presentation transcript:
The Death of Distance Frances Cairncross Exeter College, Oxford Tel Aviv, August 31 st 2005
This presentation looks at... The changing world environment The impact of a new technology
Prediction can be difficult... Television will never be a serious competitor for radio because people must sit and keep their eyes glued on a screen; the average American family hasnt time for it. The New York Times, reporting the 1939 Worlds Fair
…but not impossible Asked in 1898 what he thought would be the decisive factor in modern history, Otto von Bismarck replied: The fact that North Americans speak English.
By 2030… -Developing countries will account for almost 2/3rds of the increase in global oil consumption -China, which became a net oil importer in 1993, will import 74% of its oil -OECDs share of global oil demand will decline from 59% in 2002 to 47%
The coming scramble for oil: Global oil-import dependency Source: OECD