1. Data and results from the infection rate model (submodel 1).
Data and results from the infection rate model (submodel 1). Left: seropositivity levels of EV-A71 with fitted curve. Red data points are from China, blue from Taiwan and orange from Singapore, green from Vietnam and brown from Thailand. The black line is the fitted model with 95% Bayesian credible intervals. Middle: required and observed rate of EV-A71 infection. The brown line shows the age-specific infection rate of EV-A71 implied from the seropositivity curve and is the required rate to get the observed seropositivity levels; the blue line shows the calculated average EV-A71 infection rate based on Singapore’s data from submodel 2. The difference between the two lines are the unobserved cases. Right: asymptomatic infection rate. Calculated from the percentage difference between the required and observed rates of infection in the middle.
Wee Ming Koh et al. BMJ Glob Health 2018;3:e000442
© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.