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Probability and Statistics for Engineers

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Presentation on theme: "Probability and Statistics for Engineers"— Presentation transcript:

1 Probability and Statistics for Engineers
Descriptive Statistics Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Variability Probability Distributions Discrete Continuous Statistical Inference Design of Experiments Regression JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

2 Descriptive Statistics
Numerical values that help to characterize the nature of data for the experimenter. Example: The absolute error in the readings from a radar navigation system was measured with the following results: the sample mean, x = ? 17 22 39 31 28 52 147 ( )/7 = 48 JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

3 Calculation of Mean Example: The absolute error in the readings from a radar navigation system was measured with the following results: _ the sample mean, X = ( ) / 7 = 48 17 22 39 31 28 52 147 ( )/7 = 48 Ordered data: n odd median = x (n+1)/2 n even median = (xn/2 + xn/2 +1)/2 If n=8, median is the average of the 4th and 5th data values. JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

4 Calculation of Median Example: The absolute error in the readings from a radar navigation system was measured with the following results: the sample median, x = ? Arrange in increasing order: n odd median = x (n+1)/2 , → 31 n even median = (xn/2 + xn/2+1)/2 If n=8, median is the average of the 4th and 5th data values. 17 22 39 31 28 52 147 ~ ( )/7 = 48 order: median = x (n+1)/2 , n odd median = (xn/2 + xn/2+1)/2 JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

5 Descriptive Statistics: Variability
A measure of variability Example: The absolute error in the readings from a radar navigation system was measured with the following results: sample range = Max – Min = 147 – 17 = 130 17 22 39 31 28 52 147 range = max – min (useful measure, but very susceptible to extreme values and doesn’t say much about what happens in between) Variance measures the spread of the data around the mean JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

6 Calculations: Variability of the Data
sample variance, sample standard deviation, 17 22 39 31 28 52 147 mean median variance std dev JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

7 Other Descriptors Discrete vs Continuous Distribution of the data
discrete: countable continuous: measurable Distribution of the data “What does it look like?” JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

8 Graphical Methods – Stem and Leaf
Stem and leaf plot for radar data Stem Leaf Frequency 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Stem Leaf Frequency 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

9 Graphical Methods - Histogram
Frequency Distribution (histogram) Develop equal-size class intervals – “bins” ‘Rules of thumb’ for number of intervals 7-15 intervals per data set Square root of n Interval width = range / # of intervals Build table Identify interval or bin starting at low point Determine frequency of occurrence in each bin Calculate relative frequency Build graph Plot frequency vs interval midpoint JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

10 Data for Histogram Example: stride lengths (in inches) of 25 male students were determined, with the following results: What can we learn about the distribution (shape) of stride lengths for this sample? Stride Length 28.6 26.5 30.0 27.1 27.8 26.1 29.7 27.3 28.5 29.3 26.8 27.0 26.6 29.5 28.0 29.0 25.7 28.8 31.4 JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

11 Constructing a Histogram
Determining frequencies and relative frequencies Lower Upper Midpoint Frequency Relative Frequency 24.85 26.20 25.525 2 0.08 27.55 26.875 10 0.40 28.90 28.225 7 0.28 30.25 29.575 5 0.20 31.60 30.925 1 0.04 Class intervals – divide max-min by 5 (sqrt of 25), then either add that number to successive intervals OR let Excel find the bins (caution – Excel bins are determined differently … you may want to play a little to get a good picture of the data…) JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

12 Computer-Generated Histograms
There is no single convention for the x-axis. JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

13 Relative Frequency Graph
Preferred method is to use cell midpoints on x-axis JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012

14 Graphical Methods – Dot Diagram
Dot diagram (text) Dotplot (Minitab) General rule: one dot for each data point JMB Chapter 1 EGR Spring 2012


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