1. VERIFICATION – DAY 3
- 71 (noon)
- 74 (high)
- CLD: 2.5/10

2. FORECAST TECHNIQUES (TMP) CLIMO = 80F PERSISTENCE (YESTERDAY) = 68 MODIFIED PERSISTENCE …..

3. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.

4. NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.

5. VERIFICATION – DAY 3 - 71 (noon) - 74 (high) - CLD: 2.5/10
RADAR LOOP
VERIFICATION – DAY 3
- 71 (noon)
- 74 (high)
- CLD: 2.5/10
- torn reports = yes
And the winners are …

6. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
SVR. WX.
TRIANGLE

14. SPC MESO

18. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL

19. Cloud top
Height ?
(50,000 ft. vs. 20,000 ft.)
500 mb
-15C
-10C
-15C

21. Cyclogenesis

26. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL

27. NAM MODEL FCST – 4 panel map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

28. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

29. NAM MODEL FCST – 700 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) THR.

30. NAM MODEL FCST – 4 panel map Valid at 8 p.m. (00z) THR.

31. GFS MODEL FCST – Precip. From 2 pm to 8 pm

34. MOS – Model Output S …
Accu Friends
Wx Channel Friends
NWS Friends

35. RISING AIR = CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
Ways to produce rising motion:
FRONTS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS
MOUNTAINS (ORAGRAPHY)
CONVECTION